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  3. Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown St. Penguins
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Marshall Thundering Herd343771
Youngstown St. Penguins284674
NCAAB · Marshall Thundering Herd at Youngstown St. Penguins

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Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown St. Penguins prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 14

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center — Youngstown, OH

Article updated Nov 14, 7:46 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Marshall will beat Youngstown State, projected Marshall 80, Youngstown State 78, with Noah Otshudi’s sustained scoring production providing the strongest reason to favor the Herd. His recent 27-point performance strengthens that slight lean, but the Penguins have a scoring threat of their own in Linus Holmstrom. Neither Marshall 0 (-110) nor the total of 159.5 (-110) offers a sufficiently convincing edge. The official wager is Pass.

Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown St. Penguins prediction and best bet

Marshall gets the narrow nod, with low confidence and no official bet. Otshudi’s scoring record gives the Herd a credible offensive foundation, but Youngstown State’s home court and Holmstrom’s production keep this close. The forecast favors Marshall without treating a likely one-possession finish as a strong betting opportunity.

Other analysts also lean toward a tight Marshall victory. Dimers projects Marshall 79, Youngstown State 78, while The Breakdown predicts Marshall 80, Youngstown State 79. Those are separate forecasts, not proof that Marshall has a dependable advantage at the supplied price.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026, at 1 p.m. Eastern. Both schools’ official updates confirm the revised afternoon start, superseding the earlier 6 p.m. listing in Marshall’s preview.

Venue: Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center in Youngstown, Ohio. Broadcast: ESPN+, confirmed by Youngstown State.

Records: Marshall Thundering Herd 1-2; Youngstown St. Penguins 1-2.

SportsJaw odds: Marshall Thundering Herd -1.5 (-110); Youngstown St. Penguins +1.5 (-110). Moneyline: Marshall Thundering Herd -120; Youngstown St. Penguins +100. Total: Over 157 (-110); Under 157 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Marshall Thundering Herd outlook

Otshudi scored a team season-high 27 points in Marshall’s Nov. 9 loss at Ohio State, according to Marshall’s official preview. More useful than that single performance is his longer scoring record: double figures in 28 of his 34 Marshall games since the beginning of the 2025-26 season.

That history supports making him central to the forecast. It does not tell us how he will perform in the closing minutes, so Marshall’s case rests on sustained scoring production rather than an assumed late-game advantage.

The Herd also produced a 14-0 run against Ohio State, their longest of this young season. That burst offers encouragement, although the loss is a reminder that a strong stretch and a complete winning performance are different things.

Youngstown St. Penguins outlook

Holmstrom leads Youngstown State with 14.3 points per game, per Marshall’s official matchup preview. His 26-point performance in the Nov. 2 win at St. Bonaventure gives the Penguins a concrete offensive success to build around.

Youngstown State subsequently lost 89-65 at Ohio State on Nov. 6. That result raises questions about containing an opponent over a full game, but one score is too narrow a foundation for labeling the Penguins’ defense across the season.

The home side’s route to an upset of this forecast starts with another productive Holmstrom outing. His scoring ceiling is the clearest personnel-based counterargument to choosing Marshall.

Key matchup factors

The central comparison is between Otshudi’s longer record of double-figure scoring and Holmstrom’s promising early production. Those facts favor giving Marshall a slight nod, not declaring one offense categorically better. Neither player’s scoring history guarantees an advantage against this particular opponent.

Both teams have faced Ohio State, but the shared opponent alone is not a useful ranking tool here. Marshall’s scoring burst and Youngstown State’s final margin describe different pieces of those games.

SportsJaw’s community spread leader is Marshall 0 (-110) at 67%. That is member sentiment, separate from either analyst’s win probability, and it adds context without upgrading the forecast’s confidence.

Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown St. Penguins spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Marshall 0 (-110) and Youngstown State 0 (-110). Marshall is the preferred winner, but a pick’em line still carries a price. At -110, the break-even win rate is approximately 52.4%.

Dimers assigns Marshall a 54.6% win probability, while The Breakdown gives the Herd 52%. One estimate clears that threshold modestly; the other falls just short. Their agreement on the winner therefore masks a meaningful difference when judging the wager.

With both projected margins at one point and the factual case offering only slight separation, paying -110 on Marshall is less appealing than simply forecasting a close Herd win.

Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown St. Penguins total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 159.5 (-110) and Under 159.5 (-110). Our 158-point forecast sits below the line, but a projected score is not an estimate of how often an Under bet will win.

Dimers projects 157 total points and The Breakdown projects 159. Both lean below 159.5, although The Breakdown leaves only half a point of separation.

Sentiment also differs. SportsJaw members favor Under at 100%, the external consensus favors Over at 55%, and the blended consensus favors Under at 56%. The consensus update is timestamped 12:38 UTC on Nov. 14. These percentages describe selections, not the probability of either outcome.

Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown St. Penguins Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Marshall 80, Youngstown State 78. Otshudi’s scoring consistency earns Marshall the selection, while Holmstrom’s demonstrated production and Youngstown State’s home court are the strongest reasons to expect a narrow finish.

Confidence is low. The two outside forecasts support the direction of the pick, but their small margins leave little room for certainty. Marshall is the projected winner; both the spread and total are Pass recommendations. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Thundering Herd80

Penguins78

Projected winner Marshall Thundering HerdConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Marshall University AthleticsMarshall Men’s Basketball’s Nov. 14 Game-Time Switched To 1 p.m.
  • Marshall University AthleticsMarshall Men’s Basketball Returns to Court Saturday at Youngstown State
  • Youngstown State University AthleticsYSU Announces Event Schedule Changes For Nov. 14
#MarshallThunderingHerd#YoungstownStPenguins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Thundering Herd vs Penguins game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Thundering Herd vs Penguins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Marshall Thundering Herd-122 → -120Moved
  • Moneyline · Youngstown St. Penguins-108 → +100Moved
  • Spread · Marshall Thundering Herd0 (-110) → -1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Youngstown St. Penguins0 (-110) → +1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over160 (-115) → 157 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under160 (-105) → 157 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Marshall Thundering Herd
1-2 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Youngstown St. Penguins
1-2 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-14T04:58:09.286Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Youngstown St. Penguins defeated Marshall Thundering Herd 74-71

Youngstown St. Penguins defeated Marshall Thundering Herd 74-71 on November 14, 2026, a 3-point decision in the series. Youngstown St. Penguins' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 46-37. Against SportsJaw's recorded Marshall Thundering Herd -1.5 (-110) spread, Youngstown St. Penguins covered, while the 145 combined points finished under the recorded total of 157.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerMarshall Thundering HerdLoss
  • SpreadPass on Marshall Thundering Herd 0 (-110) and Youngstown St. Penguins 0 (-110).Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 159.5 (-110) and Under 159.5 (-110).Pass

Tipster picks

  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · Youngstown St. Penguins 0 (-110)Win
  • BadmanSpread · Youngstown St. Penguins 0 (-110)Win
  • Novacek84Total · Under 159.5 (-108)Win
  • SimonsaysSpread · Marshall Thundering Herd +1.5 (-122)Loss
  • Josh720Total · Under 159.5 (-108)Win
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