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  3. Miami-OH RedHawks vs Evansville Aces
Sat 2:00 PM ET
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Miami-OH
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NCAAB · Miami-OH RedHawks at Evansville Aces

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21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

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MikeVargas

Ranked #22 in NCAABUp $20,345

Last 30 days: 0-0 · No decisions

$1,000 pick on the spread

Guaranteed winner or credits back

Spread

Miami-OH RedHawks vs Evansville Aces prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 14

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: Ford Center — Evansville, IN

Article updated Nov 13, 10:44 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Miami-OH will beat Evansville, with a projected score of Miami-OH 81, Evansville 74. The RedHawks’ scoring balance, with six players averaging at least 10.5 points, gives them the stronger offensive case. Evansville’s productive playmaking and perimeter shooting make the margin less certain, however. Neither the supplied spread nor total offers a compelling wager; the official SportsJaw recommendation is Pass.

Miami-OH RedHawks vs Evansville Aces prediction and best bet

Miami-OH is the winner pick because its early offense has delivered through multiple contributors and in two different settings. The RedHawks scored 86 at James Madison and 80 against Bellarmine. That production supports a winning forecast, although two games offer only an early look at how dependable this group will be.

The best bet is Pass. Our seven-point projected margin falls short of Miami-OH -8.5 (-105), but the difference is too small to make Evansville +8.5 (-115) an official wager. Evansville’s guard play gives the Aces a credible route to a competitive finish without making an upset our most likely outcome.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Miami-OH RedHawks at Evansville Aces, 2026-27 men’s college basketball, Saturday, November 14, 2026.

Tipoff: 1 p.m. CST, 2 p.m. ET. Evansville Athletics confirms the local start time, and Covers lists the corresponding Eastern time.

Venue: Ford Center, Evansville, Indiana.

Recent results: Miami-OH is 2-0 after victories over James Madison and Bellarmine. Evansville lost Tuesday at Middle Tennessee State.

SportsJaw moneyline: Miami-OH -355; Evansville +278.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Philly267

Ranked #25 in NCAABUp $19,181

Last 30 days: 0-0 · No decisions

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SportsJaw odds: Miami-OH RedHawks -8.5 (-105); Evansville Aces +8.5 (-115). Moneyline: Miami-OH RedHawks -355; Evansville Aces +278. Total: Over 152.5 (-110); Under 152.5 (-110).

Miami-OH RedHawks outlook

The RedHawks opened with an 86-77 road victory at James Madison before beating Bellarmine 80-73. Those results show they have already won away from home, a relevant positive ahead of this trip. Both games also remained within single-digit margins, so the unbeaten start alone is not a persuasive reason to lay 8.5 points.

Evansville Athletics’ matchup preview lists Luke Skaljac at 19.0 points per game and Evan Ipsaro at 13.5. It also reports six Miami-OH players averaging at least 10.5 points. That distribution is the strongest reason to favor the visitors: Evansville may need answers beyond containing the leading scorer.

Justin Kirby is averaging 7.5 rebounds per game, according to the same preview. His individual production is useful context, but it is not enough to declare a team rebounding advantage. Miami-OH’s clearest demonstrated strength here remains its scoring, with the small sample limiting how aggressively to price that strength.

Evansville Aces outlook

Bryce Quinet and Max Langenfeld combined for 37 points in Tuesday’s loss at Middle Tennessee State. Quinet scored 19, while Langenfeld contributed a career-high 18. Their production gives Evansville two concrete reasons to expect scoring resistance against the favorite, even though it did not deliver a win that night.

Quinet entered this matchup averaging 8.3 assists, fifth nationally according to Evansville Athletics. His 25 assists and 12.50 assist-to-turnover ratio show productive distribution with few turnovers in the opening sample. That combination makes his decision-making central to the Aces’ chances of keeping pace.

Langenfeld made five threes at Middle Tennessee State and enters averaging 3.67 made threes per game on 45.8% shooting from deep. Freshman Caden Symons has also scored at least eight points in each of Evansville’s first three games. Langenfeld’s shooting is the more obvious swing factor, while Symons offers another scoring contribution beyond the leading pair.

Key matchup factors

The central question is whether Miami-OH’s distributed scoring outweighs Evansville’s combination of passing and three-point production. The RedHawks have the stronger winning case in this forecast. The Aces have a plausible way to narrow the margin if Langenfeld continues converting perimeter opportunities.

Other analysts also favor Miami-OH. Probable Stats projects an 81-72 win and assigns the RedHawks a 79% win probability. Its modeled matchup efficiencies are 111.8 points per 100 possessions for Miami-OH and 101.4 for Evansville. These are that publisher’s estimates, not observed performance in this game.

Dimers assigns Miami-OH an 83.4% win probability and reports a 5.9% model edge. Those figures express its own assessment; they do not make either SportsJaw spread or total a proven value. The two publishers agree on the winner but differ in their estimated certainty.

Miami-OH RedHawks vs Evansville Aces spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Miami-OH -8.5 (-105) and Evansville +8.5 (-115). Probable Stats’ nine-point projection clears the favorite’s spread by only half a point. Our seven-point forecast instead places Evansville inside the number. That narrow range makes the cover call substantially less convincing than the winner pick.

SportsJaw’s November 13 update at 17:32 UTC shows Evansville +8.5 (-115) leading community picks at 75%. Qualified handicapper picks separately favor the same selection at 75%. Those are distinct groups, and neither percentage is a win probability or a measure of forecast confidence.

The support for Evansville fits the concern about laying a large margin against productive guards. It does not supply enough additional evidence to turn a modest projected cover into an official bet.

Miami-OH RedHawks vs Evansville Aces total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 152.5 (-110) and Under 152.5 (-110). Our forecast totals 155 points, giving the Over a slight directional lean. Probable Stats’ projected 153 points is even closer to the supplied number.

Miami-OH’s opening scoring and Langenfeld’s shooting make a higher-scoring game plausible. Still, two or three early games are a thin foundation for projecting shooting accuracy and possession volume. A 2.5-point gap between our forecast and the total is not persuasive enough to pay -110, and there is no stronger case for the Under.

Miami-OH RedHawks vs Evansville Aces Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Miami-OH 81, Evansville 74. Miami-OH’s multiple scoring contributors and successful first road outing give the RedHawks the better path to victory. Evansville’s strongest counterargument is Quinet’s playmaking paired with Langenfeld’s early three-point production.

Confidence is medium in the winner forecast, with less conviction in the precise margin and total. The projected score favors an Evansville cover and a result above 152.5, but neither difference demonstrates sufficient value at the supplied prices. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

RedHawks81

Aces74

Projected winner Miami-OH RedHawksConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Miami-OH RedHawks -8.5 (-105) and Evansville Aces +8.5 (-115).

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 152.5 (-110) and Under 152.5 (-110).

Sources

  • University of Evansville AthleticsMen’s basketball welcomes Miami Ohio for Saturday matinee
  • Probable StatsMiami OH vs Evansville prediction (Nov 14, 2026): win chance and projected score
  • DimersMen's College Basketball Best Bets Today
#MiamiOHRedHawks#EvansvilleAces

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw RedHawks vs Aces game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past RedHawks vs Aces matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami-OH RedHawks-345 → -355Moved
  • Moneyline · Evansville Aces+270 → +278Moved
  • Spread · Miami-OH RedHawks-8 (-110) → -8.5 (-105)Moved
  • Spread · Evansville Aces+8 (-110) → +8.5 (-115)Moved
  • Total · Over152.5 (-115) → 152.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under152.5 (-105) → 152.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Miami-OH RedHawks
2-0 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Evansville Aces
1-1 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-14T03:44:12.759Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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