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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Texas Southern Tigers vs Murray St. Racers
Fri 8:00 PM ET
Texas Southern Tigers logo
Texas Southern
Tigers
0-2
versus
Murray St. Racers logo
Murray St.
Racers
3-0
NCAAB · Texas Southern Tigers at Murray St. Racers

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Texas Southern Tigers vs Murray St. Racers Prediction, Odds and Best Bet

Game time: November 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: CFSB Center — Murray, KY

Article updated Nov 13, 8:55 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Murray State will beat Texas Southern, with a projected score of Murray State 94, Texas Southern 68. The Racers’ consistent trips to the free-throw line and the Tigers’ two substantial road losses give Murray State the stronger case. Neither the supplied 27.5-point spread nor the 161.5 total offers a convincing betting edge, so the official recommendation is Pass.

Texas Southern Tigers vs Murray St. Racers prediction and best bet

Murray State is the winner pick, with medium confidence in the forecast. The Racers enter 3-0 against a Texas Southern team that is 1-2. Murray State’s official Nov. 12 preview reports at least 24 free-throw attempts in each of its first three games, a useful sign of sustained pressure on opposing defenses.

Winning and covering require different judgments here. Murray State must win by at least 28 points to cover -27.5, while our forecast puts the margin at 26. That small difference is too fragile to make Texas Southern the best bet by itself. The official wager is Pass.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Friday, Nov. 13, 2026, at 8 p.m. ET, as listed by Covers for this 2026-27 men’s college basketball matchup.

Venue: CFSB Center, according to Murray State University Athletics.

Records: Texas Southern Tigers 0-2; Murray St. Racers 3-0.

SportsJaw odds: Texas Southern Tigers +27.5 (-108); Murray St. Racers -27.5 (-110). Moneyline: Texas Southern Tigers +4,100; Murray St. Racers -10,000. Total: Over 161.5 (-112); Under 161.5 (-108).

SportsJaw total: Over 161.5 (-110); Under 161.5 (-110). Moneyline: Texas Southern +4,900; Murray State -9,900.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Texas Southern Tigers outlook

Texas Southern’s first victory came Tuesday at home against College of Biblical Studies of Houston, 98-78. Murray State’s official preview also records the Tigers’ preceding losses at Grand Canyon, 103-79, and LSU, 92-51. The win supplies a positive result, but the two road performances are the more relevant warning for this trip.

The Tigers’ scoring varied considerably between those road games. Their 79 points at Grand Canyon would offer a much healthier foundation for staying within a large spread than the 51 they managed at LSU. Neither result should be treated as Friday’s fixed offensive expectation.

For Texas Southern, the practical challenge is producing enough offense while limiting Murray State’s opportunities at the stripe. Tuesday’s 98 points show what happened in a different matchup; carrying that output directly into this forecast would give one home result too much weight.

Murray St. Racers outlook

Murray State’s unbeaten opening and free-throw volume provide the strongest factual foundation for the favorite. The official preview reports 33 attempts against Alcorn State on Tuesday, extending the Racers’ run of games with at least 24. Those opportunities matter even when field-goal shooting fluctuates, although attempts alone do not guarantee points.

The same preview places Murray State sixth in the latest CollegeInsider.com Mid Major Top 25. That supplies context for the Racers’ start, rather than a direct measure of how often they should cover this particular number.

The offensive question is how much separation Murray State can sustain. Repeated foul-line opportunities favor the Racers’ outlook, but projecting another win requires less precision than forecasting a margin approaching 30 points.

Key matchup factors

The outside forecasts favor Murray State outright. GordStats assigns the Racers a 98% win probability and projects a 23.8-point margin. AccuScore separately assigns Murray State a 98% chance. These are the services’ estimates, not SportsJaw probabilities or proof that their methods offer independent confirmation.

GordStats also cites favorable shot-defense and offensive-rebounding rankings for Murray State. Those are part of its analytical case. Our forecast rests primarily on the officially reported free-throw attempts and Texas Southern’s documented road results.

The spread opinions differ. The external and blended consensus both show Murray State -27.5 (-110) leading at 56%, updated Nov. 13 at 13:51 UTC. The combined modeled equivalent sample contains 600 selections, including 336 for Murray State; those are estimates, not observed betting tickets. GordStats instead favors Texas Southern +27.5. The consensus price is distinct from SportsJaw’s actionable Murray State price of -105.

Texas Southern Tigers vs Murray St. Racers spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Texas Southern +27.5 (-111) and Murray State -27.5 (-105). Our projected 26-point margin falls on the Tigers’ side, but only narrowly. GordStats’ underdog view offers some agreement, while the consensus favors laying the points.

Texas Southern’s road defeats illustrate the uncertainty: the 24-point loss at Grand Canyon would fit inside this number, while the 41-point loss at LSU would not. Those were different opponents, so neither becomes a dependable template. The cushion is substantial, but the Tigers’ uneven results make it difficult to trust.

Texas Southern Tigers vs Murray St. Racers total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 161.5 (-110) and Under 161.5 (-110). Our projected 162 points sit almost exactly on the line. GordStats separately leans Over 161.5 from its reported projected total of 169, giving the higher-scoring outcome an outside advocate.

Murray State’s foul-line opportunities could help the Over, but Texas Southern’s contribution remains a major variable. Its two road scoring outputs ranged from 51 to 79. With our forecast barely above the total, there is too little separation to justify paying -110 in either direction.

Texas Southern Tigers vs Murray St. Racers Projected Score & Betting Picks

Projected score: Murray State 94, Texas Southern 68. Murray State’s unbeaten start and repeated free-throw opportunities make it the selection. The strongest challenge to the projected margin is Texas Southern’s volatility: another performance resembling the LSU loss could produce a much larger gap.

Confidence is medium in the game forecast. The projected margin and total sit close enough to the supplied lines that neither becomes an official wager. SportsJaw’s single betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Tigers68

Racers94

Projected winner Murray St. RacersConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Texas Southern Tigers +27.5 (-111) and Murray St. Racers -27.5 (-105)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 161.5 (-110) and Under 161.5 (-110)

Sources

  • Murray State University AthleticsMen's Basketball Set for Friday Matchup
  • GordStatsTexas Southern at Murray St. Basketball Prediction and Odds (Nov 13)
  • AccuScoreTexas Southern vs Murray State Prediction (Nov 13): Murray State 98% — Odds & Live Score
#TexasSouthernTigers#MurrayStRacers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Tigers vs Racers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Tigers vs Racers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas Southern Tigers+4,900 → +4,100Moved
  • Moneyline · Murray St. Racers-9,900 → -10,000Moved
  • Spread · Texas Southern Tigers+27.5 (-110) → +27.5 (-108)Moved
  • Spread · Murray St. Racers-27.5 (-110) → -27.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over161.5 (-108) → 161.5 (-112)Moved
  • Total · Under161.5 (-112) → 161.5 (-108)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Texas Southern Tigers
0-2 matchup record · 1-2-0 ATS · 2-1-0 O/U
Last 3 completed games on file
Murray St. Racers
3-0 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-13T13:55:09.576Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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