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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Southern U. Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers
Thu 8:00 PM ET
Southern U. Jaguars logo
Southern U.
Jaguars
0-4
versus
Minnesota Golden Gophers logo
Minnesota
Golden Gophers
3-0
NCAAB · Southern U. Jaguars at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Your Picks on Southern U. vs Minnesota

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Southern U. vs Minnesota consensus picks

Southern U. Jaguars34%
66%Minnesota Golden Gophers
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Southern U. Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 12

Game time: November 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: The Barn by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota — Minneapolis, MN

Article updated Nov 11, 11:17 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Minnesota is the pick to beat Southern, with a projected score of Minnesota 82, Southern 58. The Gophers’ unbeaten start and recent win at Cincinnati give them the stronger case against a Jaguars team coming off four road losses. Neither Minnesota -24.5 nor the 140.5 total offers a convincing betting edge, so the official SportsJaw recommendation is Pass.

Southern U. Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction and best bet

Minnesota should win this matchup, but the spread demands much more than a successful night. Our forecast gives the Gophers a 24-point victory, just short of the supplied 24.5-point handicap. That tiny difference is too fragile to justify backing Southern, particularly given the Jaguars’ uneven results.

The best betting decision is Pass. Minnesota’s 63-61 victory at Cincinnati offers a useful reason to trust the favorite outright, while Southern’s four losses include both competitive scores and heavy defeats. Those results leave considerable uncertainty about the final margin. The projected total of 140 also sits too close to 140.5 to warrant paying -115 for the Under.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Southern U. Jaguars at Minnesota Golden Gophers, a 2026-27 men’s college basketball matchup on Thursday, Nov. 12, 2026.

Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET, as listed on Covers’ exact-game page. Minnesota’s official preview lists 7 p.m. local time.

Records: Southern U. Jaguars 0-4; Minnesota Golden Gophers 3-0.

SportsJaw odds: Southern U. Jaguars +24.5 (-102); Minnesota Golden Gophers -24.5 (-120). Moneyline: Southern U. Jaguars +3,233; Minnesota Golden Gophers -4,900. Total: Over 140.5 (-106); Under 140.5 (-114).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 140.5 (-105); Under 140.5 (-115).

SportsJaw moneyline: Southern +2,500; Minnesota -9,000.

Southern U. Jaguars outlook

Southern reaches the fifth game of its road trip after losing to SMU 85-72 on Nov. 2, TCU 106-54 on Nov. 6, Drake 75-68 on Nov. 8 and Iowa State 84-47 on Nov. 10, according to Minnesota’s official preview. The seven-point loss at Drake is the most encouraging result for anyone considering the underdog, but the TCU and Iowa State defeats make a comfortable cover far from assured.

The same preview lists Malik Ferguson and Daniel Dormu at 8.0 points per game and RChaun King at 7.8. King leads Southern in rebounds and has a team-leading 16 assists; Dormu leads with eight steals. King’s involvement across several areas makes him a central figure in Southern’s attempt to keep possessions productive.

Southern was projected second in the SWAC preseason coaches poll and received three first-place votes. That expectation offers context beyond the winless record, but it is a preseason assessment, not evidence that the Jaguars can keep this particular game close.

Minnesota Golden Gophers outlook

Minnesota’s latest victory required a dramatic finish. Bobby Durkin made the winning three-pointer with 0.4 seconds remaining at Cincinnati on Nov. 9, according to the official preview. Winning that road game strengthens the case for Minnesota here, although a two-point result should not be treated as a demonstration of overwhelming superiority.

The Gophers also committed 17 turnovers in that game. For a favorite laying 24.5 points, wasted possessions matter: Minnesota can remain in control while surrendering opportunities to stretch its lead. Cleaner execution is an important condition behind our forecast of a much wider victory.

Key matchup factors

Southern’s range of results is more useful than its record alone when assessing the handicap. A seven-point loss and a 52-point loss appear within its first four games. That variation argues against treating any single projected margin as precise, even when Minnesota is the clear editorial choice to win.

The Breakdown also favors Minnesota, projecting an 85-60 score and separately reporting a 24.6-point modeled margin. Its stated typical margin error is about nine points. Those are that publisher’s estimates, not SportsJaw probabilities or guarantees. Its 99% Minnesota win probability concerns the outright result, not the chance of covering -24.5.

Our forecast agrees with The Breakdown on the winner but expects five fewer combined points. That difference matters more to the total discussion than to the outright pick, and neither projection supplies a dependable cushion against the spread.

Southern U. Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Southern +24.5 (-110) and Minnesota -24.5 (-110).

Our 24-point margin falls half a point toward Southern, while The Breakdown’s modeled 24.6-point margin falls barely toward Minnesota. These estimates effectively straddle the price. Minnesota’s turnovers are a concern for favorite bettors, but Southern’s two largest defeats are a substantial counterargument to taking the points. Neither side earns an official recommendation.

Southern U. Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 140.5 (-105) and Under 140.5 (-115).

Our projected 140 points lean slightly below the line, but a half-point gap is not a persuasive reason to buy the Under at -115. The Breakdown’s 85-60 forecast totals 145 and points in the opposite direction. Southern’s listed games also include markedly different scoring outcomes, so there is no strong reason to force a total wager.

Southern U. Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Minnesota 82, Southern 58. Minnesota’s unbeaten start, home setting and Cincinnati victory support the winner selection. The strongest caution is its 17-turnover performance, alongside Southern’s ability to finish within seven points of Drake.

Confidence: medium. The projected score is an editorial estimate, with greater uncertainty around the margin and total than the winner. Official SportsJaw wager: Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Jaguars58

Golden Gophers82

Projected winner Minnesota Golden GophersConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Southern U. Jaguars +24.5 (-110) and Minnesota Golden Gophers -24.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 140.5 (-105) and Under 140.5 (-115)

Sources

  • University of Minnesota AthleticsGophers Return to Barn Thursday Facing Southern
  • CoversSouthern University Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Odds & Betting Lines For November 12, 2026 - NCAAB
  • The BreakdownSouthern vs Minnesota Prediction (Nov 12): Projected Score
#SouthernUJaguars#MinnesotaGoldenGophers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Jaguars vs Golden Gophers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Jaguars vs Golden Gophers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Southern U. Jaguars+2,500 → +3,233Moved
  • Moneyline · Minnesota Golden Gophers-9,000 → -4,900Moved
  • Spread · Southern U. Jaguars+24.5 (-111) → +24.5 (-102)Moved
  • Spread · Minnesota Golden Gophers-24.5 (-111) → -24.5 (-120)Moved
  • Total · Over139.5 (-115) → 140.5 (-106)Moved
  • Total · Under139.5 (-105) → 140.5 (-114)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Southern U. Jaguars
0-4 matchup record · 2-2-0 ATS · 1-3-0 O/U
Last 4 completed games on file
Minnesota Golden Gophers
3-0 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-12T04:17:34.073Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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