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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Chicago State Cougars vs California Baptist
Wed 10:00 PM ET
Chicago State Cougars logo
Chicago State
Cougars
1-2
versus
CA
California Baptist
0-0
NCAAB · Chicago State Cougars at California Baptist

Your Picks on Chicago State vs California Baptist

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Chicago State vs California Baptist consensus picks

Chicago State Cougars28%
72%California BaptistCA
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Chicago State Cougars vs California Baptist prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 11

Game time: November 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center — Riverside, CA

Article updated Nov 11, 9:55 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

California Baptist is our pick to beat Chicago State, 72-62, with the Cougars’ early shooting struggles providing the strongest matchup reason. Chicago State has shot 38.2% overall through three games, while Terry Coner Jr. gives the Lancers an efficient scoring option. Neither California Baptist -10.5 (-110) nor the total of 141.5 (-110) offers a convincing wager. The official recommendation is Pass.

Chicago State Cougars vs California Baptist prediction and best bet

California Baptist gets the win in our forecast, but the best betting decision is Pass. Chicago State’s inefficient start makes the home side the selection, while California Baptist’s own 0-2 record keeps confidence low. Picking the Lancers to win requires less conviction than asking them to cover a double-digit spread.

The two outside prediction sources favor California Baptist outright, but their projected scores fall on opposite sides of both SportsJaw’s spread and total. That agreement on the winner is useful context, not proof of betting value. Our California Baptist 72, Chicago State 62 projection favors a lower-scoring result without making the Under an official wager.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Wednesday, November 11, 2026, at 7:00 p.m. PT and 10:00 p.m. ET. California Baptist’s official preview and Covers identify this 2026-27 men’s college basketball matchup.

Location: Riverside, California, with California Baptist hosting Chicago State.

Records: Chicago State Cougars 1-2; California Baptist 0-0.

SportsJaw odds: Chicago State Cougars +11.5 (-110); California Baptist -11.5 (-110). Moneyline: Chicago State Cougars +562; California Baptist -800. Total: Over 138.5 (-110); Under 138.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Chicago State Cougars outlook

California Baptist’s official preview reports that Chicago State averages 64.0 points through three games while shooting 38.2% from the field. The Cougars have made 15 of 56 three-point attempts, a 26.8% rate. Those numbers explain the concern about their scoring, although three games remain a small sample.

Mike Price leads Chicago State with 19.7 points per game, and Foday Sheriff averages 10.5. Price is the clearest individual scoring threat in the Cougars’ early results. His production gives Chicago State a plausible route to a competitive game even if the team’s overall shooting remains uneven.

The question is how much that perimeter percentage improves. A better shooting night could change both the margin and the total. The early results justify caution about Chicago State’s offense; they do not make another poor shooting performance inevitable.

California Baptist outlook

Terry Coner Jr. averages 14.5 points and a team-high 3.5 assists through California Baptist’s first two games, shooting 52.6%. Jordan Muller adds 12.0 points per game, according to the official preview. Coner’s combination of scoring efficiency and assists is the strongest current personnel argument for the Lancers.

Those individual contributions have yet to produce a victory under Getter. With only two games played, Coner’s shooting percentage is encouraging rather than a settled expectation. It also should not be treated as evidence that California Baptist’s entire offense is more efficient than Chicago State’s.

The Lancers lead the series 6-1 and have won all four meetings in Riverside. Their most recent victory was 74-62 in 2023-24. That history supplies context, but an older meeting deserves less weight than the current players’ performances.

Key matchup factors

The forecast turns on Chicago State’s scoring difficulty and Coner’s promising start. Neither team has played enough games to make those early patterns dependable. The main counterweight to choosing California Baptist is straightforward: the favorite is still seeking its first win.

The Breakdown projects California Baptist to win 78-66 and assigns it an 86% win probability. The Lab Analytics projects a 72-62 victory with an 80.9% win probability. These are the analysts’ estimates, not SportsJaw probabilities. The Breakdown also acknowledges that its early-season projection still relies partly on preseason information.

At the November 11, 14:49 UTC update, external and blended consensus each favored Over at 66%. The modeled equivalent selection sample was 396 Over to 204 Under, totaling 600 estimated selections. Those are not observed betting tickets or a SportsJaw member vote. The consensus label carries Over 141.5 (-108); the actionable SportsJaw price remains -110.

Chicago State Cougars vs California Baptist spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on California Baptist -10.5 (-110) and Chicago State +10.5 (-110).

Our 10-point projected margin puts Chicago State narrowly inside the spread. The Breakdown’s 78-66 score implies a California Baptist cover, while The Lab explicitly selects Chicago State at +11.5. Its recommendation includes an extra point compared with SportsJaw’s +10.5, so it cannot be transferred unchanged.

The difference between these forecasts is enough to change the winning side of the spread. With such short team samples, a half-point cushion in our projected score is too fragile to justify backing Chicago State.

Chicago State Cougars vs California Baptist total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 141.5 (-110) and Under 141.5 (-110).

Our forecast totals 134 points, matching The Lab’s projected score. The Lab also selects Under 142.0, a slightly higher line. Chicago State’s shooting supports that lower-scoring outlook, but The Breakdown projects 144 combined points and the external consensus favors Over.

Covers also displays totals of 142.5 and 144.5 at other books. Those are different market quotes, not replacements for SportsJaw’s 141.5 or proof of line movement. The competing forecasts and limited early results leave the Under as a possible outcome rather than a sufficiently strong wager.

Chicago State Cougars vs California Baptist Projected Score & Betting Picks

Projected score: California Baptist 72, Chicago State 62. Coner’s early efficiency and Chicago State’s shooting struggles tilt the forecast toward the Lancers. Price’s scoring and California Baptist’s winless start are the strongest counterarguments.

Confidence is low. The projected winner is California Baptist, but the margin is too close to the spread and the total evidence is divided. Both markets are passes, and the single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Cougars62

California Baptist72

Projected winner California BaptistConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • CBU AthleticsMBB Preview: Lancers Start Homestand Wednesday Against Chicago State
  • CoversChicago State Cougars vs California Baptist Lancers Odds & Betting Lines For November 11, 2026 - NCAAB
  • The BreakdownChicago State vs California Baptist Prediction, Nov 11
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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cougars vs California Baptist game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Chicago State Cougars+450 → +562Moved
  • Moneyline · California Baptist-625 → -800Moved
  • Spread · Chicago State Cougars+10.5 (-110) → +11.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · California Baptist-10.5 (-110) → -11.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over142.5 (-115) → 138.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under142.5 (-105) → 138.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Chicago State Cougars
1-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 9-1-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
California Baptist
0-0 matchup record · ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-11T14:55:38.472Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2026-11-09SC State 82 · Chicago State Cougars 67
  • 2023-01-14Chicago State Cougars 82 · UT Rio Grande Valley 85
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