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  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Dartmouth Big Green vs Albany, N.Y. Great Danes
Wed 1:00 PM ET
Dartmouth Big Green logo
Dartmouth
Big Green
1-1
versus
Albany, N.Y. Great Danes logo
Albany, N.Y.
Great Danes
1-1
NCAAB · Dartmouth Big Green at Albany, N.Y. Great Danes

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Dartmouth Big Green vs Albany, N.Y. Great Danes Prediction, Odds and Best Bet

Game time: November 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: Broadview Center — Albany, NY

Article updated Nov 11, 7:15 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Dartmouth Big Green will edge Albany, N.Y. Great Danes 71-70 in our forecast for November 11. Dartmouth's opening wins and subsequent overtime defeat suggest a competitive road showing, while the opposing forecasts leave little separation between these teams. Neither Albany +1.5 (-110) nor the 139.5 total offers a strong enough case for an official wager. SportsJaw's betting recommendation is Pass.

Dartmouth Big Green vs Albany, N.Y. Great Danes prediction and best bet

Dartmouth is the pick to win, but confidence is low. The Big Green's verified opening results offer a modest foundation for that choice: two victories followed by an overtime loss. Our projected one-point margin also fits Dimers' forecast, though that agreement is an analytical judgment rather than independent proof of an edge.

Best bet: Pass. Albany has the stronger backing among the supplied spread opinions, but the price matters. Action Network's Colby Marchio selected Albany +2.5, a full point better than SportsJaw's +1.5. His recommendation cannot be carried over unchanged to this tighter number.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Dartmouth at Albany on Wednesday, November 11, 2026, in the 2026-27 men's college basketball season. Dartmouth Athletics confirms the date and a 1 p.m. start; Dimers specifies 1 p.m. ET.

Venue: Dimers lists Broadview Center.

Record: Dartmouth enters 1-1 after two opening wins and one overtime defeat, according to the results published by Dartmouth Athletics.

SportsJaw moneyline: Dartmouth -130; Albany +110.

SportsJaw odds: Dartmouth Big Green -1.5 (-105); Albany, N.Y. Great Danes +1.5 (-115). Moneyline: Dartmouth Big Green -125; Albany, N.Y. Great Danes +105. Total: Over 139.5 (-108); Under 139.5 (-112).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 139.5 (-105); Under 139.5 (-115).

Dartmouth Big Green outlook

Dartmouth Athletics reports a 69-62 victory over Marist, a 107-50 win against Framingham State and a 78-71 overtime loss to Central Connecticut State. Those results show why the Big Green warrant consideration as a narrow favorite, but the large Framingham State margin should not carry the entire forecast.

The overtime defeat is the more useful reminder of how small the separation can become. Dartmouth reached an extra session before losing, so the final seven-point deficit alone misses part of the game's competitive shape. That supports a close-game expectation here without promising an offensive rebound or a particular shooting performance.

Albany, N.Y. Great Danes outlook

Albany's case is strongest in the opposing analysts' assessments. Marchio favors the Great Danes with points, emphasizing their home setting and the scoring contributions of Ollie Engen and Tyler Jones. Those are components of his handicap, rather than independently verified personnel advantages adopted as facts in this forecast.

Basketora goes further, projecting Albany to win 74-71 with a 56% win probability while describing the matchup as a toss-up. Its analysis favors home court despite crediting Dartmouth with a slightly better adjusted-efficiency figure. That is a credible counterargument to our winner selection, but still a narrow model preference.

Key matchup factors

The central question is how much weight to give Dartmouth's uneven opening scorelines. A comfortable win, a seven-point win and an overtime loss suggest several possible game shapes. Treating the largest victory as the baseline would make the road favorite look more secure than this small sample warrants.

SportsJaw members favor Albany +1.5 (-110) at 83%, and the qualified-handicapper group favors the same selection at 80%. These are separate measures of pick support, not probabilities that Albany covers. They reinforce the interest in the underdog without turning that preference into a proven pricing advantage.

The outside forecasts also differ on the winner. Dimers gives Dartmouth a 51.4% win probability, whereas Basketora favors Albany. Agreement on taking points can coexist with disagreement about the outright result.

Dartmouth Big Green vs Albany, N.Y. Great Danes spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Dartmouth -1.5 (-110) and Albany +1.5 (-110). Our Dartmouth 71-70 projection would produce an Albany cover, making the Great Danes the directional preference. A one-point forecast, however, leaves only half a point between the projected margin and the spread.

Dimers selects Albany +1.5 and assigns it a 54.8% cover probability. Its stated 3.1-percentage-point edge uses a 51.7% implied probability at its cited price. SportsJaw's -110 requires approximately 52.4% to break even, so that published edge is not the edge at this price. The model's preference is worth considering, but it is too fragile to elevate to our official wager.

Dartmouth Big Green vs Albany, N.Y. Great Danes total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 139.5 (-105) and Under 139.5 (-115). Our projection totals 141 points, a slight Over lean that falls short of a compelling bet.

Dartmouth's first three combined scores were 131, 157 and 149. The last included overtime, while the highest came in the 107-50 victory. Neither supplies a dependable scoring baseline for this matchup. SportsJaw's total listing shows Over at 50%, which offers no majority signal to strengthen the case.

Dartmouth Big Green vs Albany, N.Y. Great Danes Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Dartmouth Big Green 71, Albany, N.Y. Great Danes 70. Dartmouth's opening results support a narrow winner selection, with Dimers offering a matching projection. The strongest counterargument is Basketora's Albany win forecast, reinforced by Marchio's preference for the home underdog at a more generous spread.

Confidence: Low. The competing forecasts leave the outright result finely balanced, and the projected margin offers little room at either market's supplied line. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Big Green71

Great Danes70

Projected winner Dartmouth Big GreenConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Dartmouth Big Green -1.5 (-110) and Albany, N.Y. Great Danes +1.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 139.5 (-105) and Under 139.5 (-115)

Sources

  • Dartmouth College AthleticsThis Week in Dartmouth Sports: 11.10 – 11.16
  • Action NetworkDartmouth vs Albany Prediction, Pick, College Basketball Odds for Wednesday, Nov. 11
  • DimersDartmouth vs. Albany prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 11, 2026
#DartmouthBigGreen#AlbanyNYGreatDanes

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Big Green vs Great Danes game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Big Green vs Great Danes matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Dartmouth Big Green-122 → -125Moved
  • Moneyline · Albany, N.Y. Great Danes+108 → +105Moved
  • Spread · Dartmouth Big Green-2.5 (-102) → -1.5 (-105)Moved
  • Spread · Albany, N.Y. Great Danes+2.5 (-120) → +1.5 (-115)Moved
  • Total · Over145.5 (-110) → 139.5 (-108)Moved
  • Total · Under145.5 (-110) → 139.5 (-112)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Dartmouth Big Green
1-1 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Albany, N.Y. Great Danes
1-1 matchup record · 1-1-0 ATS · 0-2-0 O/U
Last 2 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-11T12:15:49.789Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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