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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Alcorn St. Braves vs Murray St. Racers
Tue 8:00 PM ET
Alcorn St. Braves logo
Alcorn St.
Braves
0-2
versus
Murray St. Racers logo
Murray St.
Racers
2-0
NCAAB · Alcorn St. Braves at Murray St. Racers

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Alcorn St. Braves vs Murray St. Racers prediction, odds and projected score for Nov. 10

Game time: November 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: CFSB Center — Murray, KY

Article updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Murray State will beat Alcorn State, with our projected score Murray State 88, Alcorn State 72. The Racers’ 93-71 victory over Northwestern State, highlighted by Brayden Shorter’s shooting, supplies the strongest reason to favor the hosts. Neither Murray State -25.5 nor the 162.5 total offers a sufficiently convincing betting edge, so the official SportsJaw recommendation is Pass.

Alcorn St. Braves vs Murray St. Racers prediction and best bet

Murray State is the pick to win this 2026-27 men’s college basketball matchup on November 10, 2026. The Racers enter 2-0 against an Alcorn State team that is 0-2. Their latest victory gives the home favorite a concrete performance to build on, although winning and covering 25.5 points require very different judgments.

Our forecast is Murray State 88, Alcorn State 72, with medium confidence. The best betting decision is Pass. Bandwagon’s model offers a much narrower winning margin than the SportsJaw spread, but one model’s disagreement with the price is not enough to make either the underdog or the Under an official wager.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: November 10, 2026, at 8 p.m. Eastern, as listed by Covers.

Venue and coverage: CFSB Center. Murray State Athletics lists ESPN+ and Froggy 103.7 FM.

Records: Alcorn St. Braves 0-2; Murray St. Racers 2-0.

SportsJaw odds: Alcorn St. Braves +25.5 (-105); Murray St. Racers -25.5 (-115). Moneyline: Alcorn St. Braves +1,438; Murray St. Racers -4,445. Total: Over 162.5 (-110); Under 162.5 (-110).

SportsJaw total: Over 162.5 (-110); Under 162.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw moneyline: Alcorn State +1,438; Murray State -4,445.

Alcorn St. Braves outlook

Alcorn State arrives after two road losses, according to Murray State’s official preview. That same report identifies this visit as the beginning of a 12-game road stretch. It is a demanding schedule on paper, but the itinerary alone should not be treated as evidence of fatigue or a particular scoring outcome.

The Braves’ task against the spread is more forgiving than their task outright. At +25.5, they can lose by 25 and still cover. Their winless start makes an upset difficult to project, but it says much less about whether they can stay within this particular number. The case for taking the points needs more than a large allowance.

Murray St. Racers outlook

Murray State’s official preview confirms a 93-71 win over Northwestern State on November 7. Brayden Shorter scored a career-high 29 points and made eight three-pointers, while Roman Domon contributed 17 points. Those performances give the Racers the clearest recent offensive evidence in this matchup.

Shorter’s shooting is a reason to expect Murray State to threaten from outside, but repeating eight made threes is a substantial assumption. The forecast favors the Racers without requiring another career night. Their official preview also credits them with wins in all six previous meetings with Alcorn State; that history receives less weight here than the recent performance.

Key matchup factors

The distinction between winning and winning big is central. Bandwagon’s Axle 2.0 model favors Murray State with an 87% win probability and projects Murray State 82, Alcorn State 69. It separately lists a Murray State -13.5 model spread. Those are Bandwagon’s estimates, not SportsJaw’s probabilities or a verified measure of betting value.

There is agreement on the favorite but disagreement about its strength. Bandwagon displays a Kalshi price of 97% for Murray State alongside its own 87% estimate. That difference cautions against treating the model and market as interchangeable. Neither percentage answers whether Murray State will cover SportsJaw’s -25.5.

The other important question is how much of Murray State’s latest scoring carries forward. A strong offensive showing supports the winner selection, while also creating a credible challenge to a lower-scoring forecast.

Alcorn St. Braves vs Murray St. Racers spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Alcorn State +25.5 (-105) and Murray State -25.5 (-115).

Our projected 16-point margin falls on the Alcorn State side of the number. Bandwagon’s narrower forecast points the same way. Still, our editorial projection is not independent confirmation of that model, and the recent team evidence offers no strong measure of how reliably the Braves can contain Murray State.

Backing the Racers requires a victory by at least 26 points. Their latest 22-point win illustrates why a convincing performance can still fall short of this spread. That result is useful context, not a direct forecast against a different opponent.

Alcorn St. Braves vs Murray St. Racers total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 162.5 (-110) and Under 162.5 (-110).

Our forecast totals 160 points, only 2.5 below the line. Bandwagon projects 151, which favors the Under more strongly, but that remains one model’s view. The 164 combined points in Murray State’s latest game supply a counterweight without proving the Over is preferable.

The scoring evidence is too narrow for a confident wager in either direction. A small difference between our projected total and the posted number is not enough to justify paying -110.

Alcorn St. Braves vs Murray St. Racers Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Murray State 88, Alcorn State 72. Confidence: medium. The Racers’ unbeaten start and documented scoring performance support the winner, while Shorter’s potential to drive another offensive surge is the strongest challenge to our restrained margin and total.

This is an editorial game forecast, not a promise of a cover. Official SportsJaw wager: Pass. Both the spread and total remain passes at the supplied prices.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Braves72

Racers88

Projected winner Murray St. RacersConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Alcorn St. Braves +25.5 (-105) and Murray St. Racers -25.5 (-115)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 162.5 (-110) and Under 162.5 (-110)

Sources

  • BandwagonAlcorn State Braves vs Murray State Racers prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
  • Murray State University AthleticsRacers Continue Homestand Tuesday Night Inside CFSB Center
  • CoversAlcorn State Braves vs Murray State Racers Odds & Betting Lines For November 10, 2026 - NCAAB
#AlcornStBraves#MurrayStRacers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Braves vs Racers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Braves vs Racers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Alcorn St. Braves+2,400 → +1,438Moved
  • Moneyline · Murray St. Racers-4,900 → -4,445Moved
  • Spread · Alcorn St. Braves+24.5 (-104) → +25.5 (-105)Moved
  • Spread · Murray St. Racers-24.5 (-118) → -25.5 (-115)Moved
  • Total · Over162.5 (-110) → 162.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under162.5 (-110) → 162.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Alcorn St. Braves
0-2 matchup record · 0-2-0 ATS · 2-0-0 O/U
Last 2 completed games on file
Murray St. Racers
2-0 matchup record · 1-9-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-10T05:00:20.640Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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