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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Montana Grizzlies vs San Francisco Dons
Tue 10:00 PM ET
Montana Grizzlies logo
Montana
Grizzlies
0-1
versus
San Francisco Dons logo
San Francisco
Dons
2-0
NCAAB · Montana Grizzlies at San Francisco Dons

Your Picks on Montana vs San Francisco

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
Spread
Moneyline
Total

Montana vs San Francisco consensus picks

Montana Grizzlies43%
57%San Francisco Dons
Odds comparison

Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsCircaBet105BetOnlineBovadaHard RockHeritageLowvigPinnacleSportsbettingUnibetYouWagertheScore Bet
Nov 10, 10:00 PM ETMontana GrizzliesSan Francisco Dons
Best available+550YouWager-700BetMGM
DraftKings+550BEST-800
FanDuel+520-750
BetMGM+500-700BEST
Caesars+500-700BEST
Circa+530-720
Bet105+543-754
BetOnline+520-725
Bovada+500-750
Hard Rock+475-700BEST
Heritage+517-775
Lowvig+520-725
Pinnacle+543-758
Sportsbetting+520-725
Unibet+475-715
YouWager+550BEST-750
theScore Bet+550BEST-900

Montana Grizzlies vs San Francisco Dons prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 10

Game time: November 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: The Sobrato Center — San Francisco, CA

Article updated Nov 10, 10:24 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

San Francisco is our pick to beat Montana 79-68 on Nov. 10. AccuScore’s assessment of the Dons’ perimeter shooting supplies the strongest matchup reason, while three outside forecasts favor San Francisco outright. Their margin and scoring projections are less convincing at the supplied prices. Neither the 11.5-point spread nor the 148.5 total offers a compelling wager, making Pass our official recommendation.

Montana Grizzlies vs San Francisco Dons prediction and best bet

San Francisco is the projected winner, with a competitive Montana showing keeping our forecast inside the double-digit spread. Our call is San Francisco 79, Montana 68, with low confidence in the precise shape of the game. The official betting recommendation is Pass.

Dimers assigns the Dons an 88.7% win probability, AccuScore gives them 82%, and The Breakdown puts them at 79%. These are other analysts’ estimates, not a SportsJaw probability. Their agreement helps choose a winner, but their conflicting margins and scoring forecasts leave both betting markets open to debate.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Montana visits San Francisco at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026, according to Covers. This is a 2026-27 men’s college basketball matchup.

Records: Montana Grizzlies 0-1; San Francisco Dons 2-0.

SportsJaw odds: Montana Grizzlies +11.5 (-109); San Francisco Dons -11.5 (-107). Moneyline: Montana Grizzlies +520; San Francisco Dons -750. Total: Over 147.5 (-110); Under 147.5 (-110).

SportsJaw total: Over 148.5 (-110); Under 148.5 (-110).

SportsJaw moneyline: Montana +557; San Francisco -781.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Montana Grizzlies outlook

Montana’s most interesting betting case is a competitive loss. The Breakdown projects an 80-71 San Francisco victory and separately lists an 8.6-point expected margin. Both point toward the Grizzlies staying within the supplied +11.5, even though that analyst gives Montana only a 21% chance of winning outright.

AccuScore describes Montana’s upset route as holding its own on the boards and from three-point range. That is a matchup assessment rather than a verified statistical advantage. For our forecast, it offers a plausible way for the Grizzlies to stay close: limit San Francisco’s opportunities to build separation and answer enough perimeter scoring to remain within reach.

The distinction matters for anyone considering the underdog. Montana need not overturn the outside winner forecasts to cover, but a credible route to a cover still needs an attractive price. Dimers’ opposing margin projection keeps us from backing the Grizzlies.

San Francisco Dons outlook

San Francisco enters unbeaten through two games, as confirmed by Covers. AccuScore attributes its favorable Dons forecast to perimeter shooting. We give that assessment weight in selecting San Francisco, without treating it as a measured shooting advantage supported by current team statistics.

Dimers supplies the strongest numerical case for a comfortable Dons victory: an 80-67 projection and an 88.7% outright win estimate. Its 13-point margin would cover the SportsJaw spread, but only by 1.5 points.

AccuScore is more restrained on the spread. It gives San Francisco a 51.3% cover probability at -10.5, a full point easier than the SportsJaw -11.5. That estimate is specific to AccuScore’s displayed line; it should not be presented as the Dons’ cover probability at this page’s price.

Key matchup factors

The largest uncertainty is how far San Francisco separates, rather than which team the outside analysts favor. The Breakdown warns that its typical margin error is about nine points and that its early-season forecast still draws on preseason information. That caution makes small differences between a projected margin and the spread less persuasive.

The spread consensus also needs its own context. As of 15:16 UTC on Nov. 10, the external and blended leaders were San Francisco -12.5 (-110) at 61%. The combined estimated sample contained 600 selections, with 366 for San Francisco and 234 for Montana. Those are modeled equivalent counts incorporating SportsJaw participation, not observed sportsbook tickets.

The prior-day comparison shows a seven-percentage-point shift toward Montana +12.5 (-110). This is a change in selection share, not proof of a line move. The consensus line also differs from the authoritative SportsJaw spread of 11.5 points.

Montana Grizzlies vs San Francisco Dons spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on San Francisco -11.5 (-110) and Montana +11.5 (-110). Dimers gives the Dons a 55.9% cover probability at this exact spread, providing a specific argument for the favorite.

The Breakdown’s 8.6-point margin points the other way, while AccuScore’s narrow preference comes at -10.5. Our projected 11-point win falls just short of a San Francisco cover, but that half-point difference is too fragile to justify a Montana wager. The competing forecasts make Pass the stronger decision.

Montana Grizzlies vs San Francisco Dons total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 148.5 (-110) and Under 148.5 (-110). Dimers projects 147 points, which favors an Under direction at the supplied total. The Breakdown’s 80-71 score instead produces 151 points, putting its forecast above 148.5.

SportsJaw member picks favor Under 148.5 (-110) at 100%, with the community update dated Nov. 10 at 00:02:52. That share describes member preference, not the probability of an Under. Our 147-point forecast leans below the line, but the opposing scoring projection and small cushion make an official Under wager too aggressive.

Montana Grizzlies vs San Francisco Dons Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: San Francisco 79, Montana 68. The Dons are our winner, with AccuScore’s perimeter-shooting assessment helping explain the selection. This score is an editorial inference, and forecast confidence is low.

The strongest counterargument to the projected margin is Dimers’ larger San Francisco win; the strongest challenge to the scoring outlook is The Breakdown’s 151-point projection. Those differences matter more for wagering than agreement on the outright winner. Both spread and total recommendations are Pass, and the single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Grizzlies68

Dons79

Projected winner San Francisco DonsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on San Francisco Dons -11.5 (-110) and Montana Grizzlies +11.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • DimersMontana vs. San Francisco Prediction, Picks & Odds
  • AccuScoreMontana vs San Francisco Prediction (Nov 10): San Francisco 82% — Odds & Live Score
  • The BreakdownMontana vs San Francisco prediction
#MontanaGrizzlies#SanFranciscoDons

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Grizzlies vs Dons game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Grizzlies vs Dons matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Montana Grizzlies+335 → +520Moved
  • Moneyline · San Francisco Dons-400 → -750Moved
  • Spread · Montana Grizzlies+12 (-105) → +11.5 (-109)Moved
  • Spread · San Francisco Dons-12 (-115) → -11.5 (-107)Moved
  • Total · Over147.5 (-110) → 147.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under147.5 (-110) → 147.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Montana Grizzlies
0-1 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Francisco Dons
2-0 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-10T05:55:39.008Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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