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  1. Home
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  3. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs
Tue 9:00 PM ET
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks logo
Louisiana-Monroe
Warhawks
0-1
versus
TCU Horned Frogs logo
TCU
Horned Frogs
2-0
NCAAB · Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at TCU Horned Frogs

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Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction, odds and best bet

Game time: November 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Schollmaier Arena — Fort Worth, TX

Article updated Nov 10, 12:25 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

TCU will beat Louisiana-Monroe, with our forecast calling for TCU 94, Louisiana-Monroe 65. The Horned Frogs’ balanced scoring and productive opening two games give them the strongest matchup advantage. Louisiana-Monroe +33.5 (-110) is our best bet because the substantial cushion exceeds both outside models’ projected margins, though the recommendation carries low confidence. The total is a Pass.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction and best bet

TCU is the winner pick, while Louisiana-Monroe +33.5 (-110) is the official SportsJaw spread wager. TCU’s own preview reports seven double-figure scorers through two games, giving the Horned Frogs several scoring options. Our projected 29-point victory would still leave the Warhawks inside the spread.

The betting case is more tentative than the winner selection. Dimers and Bandwagon both project TCU victories smaller than 33.5 points. Those are other analysts’ estimates, not proof that the spread is mispriced. They support a modest underdog position, with TCU’s dominant start the strongest reason for caution.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Louisiana-Monroe visits TCU on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, in the 2026-27 men’s college basketball season.

Time and location: 9 p.m. Eastern in Fort Worth, Texas. TCU Athletics confirms the date and host city; Covers’ exact-game listing confirms the Eastern start time.

Record: TCU enters 2-0. TCU’s preview listed Louisiana-Monroe at 1-1 before its November 9 game, so that figure is not presented as the Warhawks’ current record.

SportsJaw spread and moneyline: Louisiana-Monroe +33.5 (-110) and +4,900; TCU -33.5 (-110) and -9,900.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 159.5 (-115) or Under 159.5 (-105).

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks outlook

Louisiana-Monroe’s appeal is the room afforded by the spread, rather than a demonstrated statistical advantage. A loss by 33 points or fewer would cover +33.5. The Warhawks can therefore deliver a winning spread ticket without making the final minutes competitive.

Their central task is to limit the damage from TCU’s pressure. TCU Athletics reports 15.5 steals per game through two contests. Protecting possessions would help Louisiana-Monroe keep that pressure from producing additional scoring opportunities. This is a matchup requirement, not a claim that the Warhawks have already shown reliable ball security.

Neither outside projection calls for an upset. Both put Louisiana-Monroe at 65 points, but matching estimates should not be mistaken for an established offensive baseline.

TCU Horned Frogs outlook

TCU Athletics reports 204 points through two games, its best opening two-game scoring total since 2000-01. Micah Robinson leads the team at 18.5 points per game and has made six of eight three-point attempts. That early production supports a decisive TCU win, although two games remain a small sample.

Brock Harding averages 8.5 assists, while Xavier Edmonds contributes 11.0 points and a team-leading 8.0 rebounds. Their latest performances came in a 106-54 victory over Southern on November 6: Harding finished with 10 points and 12 assists, Edmonds had 13 points and 11 rebounds, and Robinson scored 19.

The Horned Frogs have made 23 of 46 three-pointers. That 50.0% start is a meaningful strength and a warning for anyone taking the points. Assuming the same accuracy tonight, however, would put too much weight on those first two games.

Key matchup factors

The largest uncertainty is TCU’s winning margin. Dimers projects TCU 94, Louisiana-Monroe 65 and gives TCU a 98.6% win probability. Bandwagon projects TCU 83, Louisiana-Monroe 65 with a 93% win probability. These are separate model assessments, not SportsJaw probabilities or measures of our confidence.

The models differ by 11 points on TCU’s scoring while agreeing on the winner and implying a Warhawks cover. That difference matters more for the total than for the spread.

SportsJaw’s community snapshot, updated November 10 at 00:02 UTC, lists Louisiana-Monroe +33.5 (-110) as the leader at 50%. That percentage reflects an even split, offering no persuasive community majority behind the pick.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs spread prediction

The spread recommendation is Louisiana-Monroe +33.5 (-110), with low confidence. Dimers assigns the Warhawks a 56.0% cover probability; Bandwagon’s projected 18-point defeat also leaves them inside the number. Both views favor taking the cushion.

TCU’s 52-point win over Southern is the clearest counterargument. The Horned Frogs have already produced a margin comfortably beyond this spread, although a result against Southern cannot determine tonight’s outcome. The price is attractive enough for a restrained position, not a claim of a guaranteed edge.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs total prediction

Pass on 159.5, with Over priced at -115 and Under at -105. Our forecast totals 159 points, only half a point below the line. That is too narrow a difference to justify an Under recommendation on its own.

Bandwagon’s 148-point projection offers a stronger Under argument, but Dimers lands at 159. TCU’s early scoring and shooting provide a credible route above the total. The disagreement over its output makes the total less appealing than Louisiana-Monroe’s spread cushion.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: TCU 94, Louisiana-Monroe 65. TCU’s scoring depth supports the winner selection; its recent blowout and hot shooting threaten the projected cover. Confidence is low because the detailed team evidence is concentrated on TCU and covers only two games.

The single official SportsJaw wager is Louisiana-Monroe +33.5 (-110) in the spread market. The total remains a Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Warhawks65

Horned Frogs94

Projected winner TCU Horned FrogsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Spread: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +33.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on total 159.5: Over (-115), Under (-105)

Sources

  • TCU AthleticsPreview: ULM
  • DimersLouisiana-Monroe vs. TCU Prediction, Picks & Odds
  • BandwagonUL Monroe Warhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
#LouisianaMonroeWarhawks#TCUHornedFrogs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Warhawks vs Horned Frogs game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Warhawks vs Horned Frogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks+4,900 → +4,900Unchanged
  • Moneyline · TCU Horned Frogs-9,900 → -9,900Unchanged
  • Spread · Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks+33 (-105) → +33.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · TCU Horned Frogs-33 (-115) → -33.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over159.5 (-115) → 159.5 (-115)Unchanged
  • Total · Under159.5 (-105) → 159.5 (-105)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
0-1 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
TCU Horned Frogs
2-0 matchup record · 7-2-1 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-10T05:25:51.923Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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