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Troy
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22-11
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Texas State324274
Troy Trojans413273
NCAAB · Texas State at Troy Trojans

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Texas State vs Troy Trojans Predictions January 9, 2025

Game time: January 9, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Trojan Arena — Troy, AL

Article updated Jan 9, 6:16 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Thursday, the Texas State Bobcats (8-7, 1-2 Sun Belt) will be facing the Troy Trojans (10-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) at the Trojan Arena in Alabama for a Sun Belt Conference game.

Game outlook

On Thursday, the Texas State Bobcats (8-7, 1-2 Sun Belt) will be facing the Troy Trojans (10-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) at the Trojan Arena in Alabama for a Sun Belt Conference game. Texas State is coming off a three-game losing streak, while Troy has won their last five games. Texas State has lost two out of their first three conference games, while Troy has won all three of theirs. Both teams do not have any players listed on the injury reports. Troy is currently favored to win with a betting line of -7 that has not moved.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: +235 | Trojans -297

Spread: +7 (-110) | Trojans -7 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 135 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Troy will win straight-up is 75%.

Texas State

The Texas State Bobcats have shown strong offensive capabilities, scoring an average of 75.5 points per game with a shooting percentage of 47.2% overall and 36.9% from 3-point territory. On the defensive end, they allow an average of 68.9 points per game while holding opponents to 43.3% shooting overall and 36.3% from 3-point territory. Tyrel Morgan leads the team in scoring with 15.2 points per game, while Tylan Pope contributes 13.4 points per game. Kaden Gumbs leads in assists with 4.5 per game and Morgan leads in steals with 1.8 per game. With a power ranking of 274, the Bobcats are ranked 154 in offense and 116 in defense. They have a season record of 8-7 and statistically excel in shooting percentages and rebounding. For NCAAB predictions, consider Texas State's strong offensive and defensive capabilities.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Troy Trojans Analysis

The Troy Trojans have an average of 73.7 points per game on offense and allow an average of 65.4 points per game on defense. They shoot 45.2% overall and 28.6% from 3-point range. Myles Rigsby leads the team in scoring with 12.1 points per game, while Tayton Conorway leads in assists with 4.3 per game. Troy averages 38.2 rebounds per game and Conorway leads in steals with 2.9 per game. The Trojans have a power ranking of 47 and are ranked #206 for offense and #64 for defense. They have a record of 10-4 overall. On offense, they shoot 45.7% from the field and 72% from the free-throw line. On defense, they allow opponents to shoot 41.7% from the field and 67.3% from the free-throw line.

Troy Looks to Extend Winning Streak Against Texas State's Tough Defense

Texas State is currently on a three-game losing streak while Troy is enjoying a five-game winning streak. Both teams have strong defensive capabilities, but Troy's advantage lies in their home court advantage and their ability to limit opponents' shooting percentages. Troy allows an average of 65.4 points per game on 41.6% shooting overall and 32.3% shooting from beyond the arc, compared to Texas State's averages of 68.9 points per game on 43.3% shooting overall and 36.3% from 3-point range. Despite Texas State scoring slightly higher per game, it is expected that Troy's defense will be the deciding factor in this Sun Belt conference matchup. Texas State has struggled to cover the spread in recent games, while Troy has managed to cover in the majority of their recent matchups.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Texas State vs Trojans archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas State+220 → +248Moved
  • Moneyline · Troy Trojans-275 → -310Moved
  • Spread · Texas State+7 (-110) → +7 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Troy Trojans-7 (-110) → -7 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over135 (-110) → 136.25 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under135 (-110) → 136.25 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Texas State
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Troy Trojans
22-11 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-01-09T11:16:17.219Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

On Thursday, the Texas State Bobcats (8-7, 1-2 Sun Belt) will be facing the Troy Trojans (10-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) at the Trojan Arena in Alabama for a Sun Belt Conference game. Texas State is coming off a three-game losing streak, while Troy has won their last five games. Texas State has lost two out of their first three conference games, while Troy has won all three of theirs. Both teams do not have any players listed on the injury reports. Troy is currently favored to win with a betting line of -7 that has not moved.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-11-29Merrimack 72 · Troy Trojans 68
  • 2024-03-09Texas State 74 · Troy Trojans 68
  • 2024-03-01Troy Trojans 79 · Texas State 82
  • 2024-01-24Texas State 65 · Troy Trojans 78
  • 2023-02-04Texas State 64 · Troy Trojans 68
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas State defeated Troy Trojans 74-73

Texas State defeated Troy Trojans 74-73 on January 9, 2025, a 1-point decision in the series. Texas State's strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 42-32. Against SportsJaw's recorded Texas State +7 (-110) spread, Texas State covered, while the 147 combined points finished over the recorded total of 136.25.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MrpinkTotal · Over 136 (-110)Win