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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Air Force Falcons vs San Diego St. Aztecs
Wed 10:30 PM ET
Air Force Falcons logo
Air Force
Falcons38
2-9
versus
San Diego St. Aztecs logo
San Diego St.
Aztecs67
8-3
Final
Team12T
Air Force Falcons241438
San Diego St. Aztecs333467
NCAAB · Air Force Falcons at San Diego St. Aztecs

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San Diego State Favored but Air Force Looks to Upset in MWC Matchup

Game time: January 8, 2025 at 10:30 PM ET

Venue: Viejas Arena — San Diego, CA

Article updated Jan 8, 6:01 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On January 8, 2025, the Air Force Falcons (3-11, 0-3 MWC) will take on the San Diego State Aztecs (9-3, 2-1 MWC) at Viejas Arena in San Diego. Historically, the Aztecs have

Game outlook

On January 8, 2025, the Air Force Falcons (3-11, 0-3 MWC) will take on the San Diego State Aztecs (9-3, 2-1 MWC) at Viejas Arena in San Diego. Historically, the Aztecs have dominated this series with a 64-24 all-time advantage and a 16-game winning streak against the Falcons at home. San Diego State comes into the game with momentum following a 76-68 victory at Boise State, while Air Force has struggled on the road, losing their last five away games. The Aztecs are heavily favored with the spread set at -22.5 points, but the current line has shifted to San Diego State -19.5.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Falcons +1,500 | Aztecs -4,500

Spread: Falcons +19.5 (-110) | Aztecs -19.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 130.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego St. will win straight-up is 98%.

Air Force Falcons

The Air Force Falcons have encountered difficulties this season, with a 3-11 overall record and no wins in conference play. Their offense has struggled, averaging 65.1 points per game while allowing 70.0 points to opponents. Key player Ethan Taylor has shown promise, leading the team with 14.4 points per game. In their latest game against Wyoming, the Falcons fell short with a 70-65 loss despite strong performances from Wesley Celichowski and Ethan Taylor. With a power ranking of 264, Air Force ranks 344 in offense and 148 in defense. Their shooting percentages and statistical rankings in various categories highlight areas for improvement. If you need assistance with college basketball, consider consulting the Best College Basketball Handicappers.

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San Diego St. Aztecs Analysis

The San Diego State Aztecs have maintained a strong program status with a 8-3 record, including a 2-1 conference mark. They have been dominant at home, not losing to Air Force since the 2004-05 season. Their defense has been a key factor in their success, holding opponents to 35.7% shooting from the field, which ranks fourth-best in the country. On offense, the Aztecs average 74.5 ppg, with a balanced attack led by Miles Byrd and Nick Boyd. Byrd led the team with 23 points in a recent win over Boise State. In terms of power rankings, the Aztecs rank 49th overall, with a strong defense ranking of 26th in the country, giving up an average of 63.55 points per game. Offensively, they are ranked 217th, scoring an average of 74.36 per game. They shoot 44.83% from the field and 36.47% from three-point range. Defensively, they allow opponents to shoot 35.60% from the field and 29.07% from three-point range. The Aztecs also average 37.55 rebounds per game and 13.45 assists. Consider choosing the top NCAAB Handicappers for further insights and analysis.

San Diego State's Dominance in Question against Air Force: Spread Favors Falcons

The Aztecs demonstrate superiority, however, the point spread presents reservations for endorsement. San Diego State has only covered the spread in one out of their last four games as home favorites. Despite a winning streak of nine games against Air Force, the margin of victory has been modest, with only two wins exceeding 22 points. Given the anticipated slow pace of the game, there is minimal margin for error for San Diego State to cover this extensive spread. While not a definitive choice, Air Force appears to be the more favorable option in this scenario.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#AirForceFalcons#SanDiegoStAztecs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Falcons vs Aztecs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Falcons vs Aztecs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Air Force Falcons+2,000 → +1,250Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego St. Aztecs-8,000 → -3,000Moved
  • Spread · Air Force Falcons+21.5 (-110) → +18.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego St. Aztecs-21.5 (-110) → -18.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over131.5 (-110) → 130 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under131.5 (-110) → 130 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Air Force Falcons
2-9 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego St. Aztecs
8-3 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-01-08T23:01:01.341Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-02-06San Diego St. Aztecs 77 · Air Force Falcons 64
Final result

Matchup pick recap

San Diego St. Aztecs defeated Air Force Falcons 67-38

San Diego St. Aztecs defeated Air Force Falcons 67-38 on January 8, 2025, a 29-point decision in the series. San Diego St. Aztecs' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 34-14. Against SportsJaw's recorded Air Force Falcons +18.5 (-110) spread, San Diego St. Aztecs covered, while the 105 combined points finished under the recorded total of 130.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • TphamSpread · Air Force Falcons +21.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Air Force Falcons +19.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 130.75 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Air Force Falcons +19.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 130.75 (-110)Loss