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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. UMass Minutemen vs Dayton Flyers
Sun 1:00 PM ET
UMass Minutemen logo
UMass
Minutemen60
7-3
versus
Dayton Flyers logo
Dayton
Flyers64
9-2
Final
Team12T
UMass Minutemen293160
Dayton Flyers382664
NCAAB · UMass Minutemen at Dayton Flyers

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UMass vs Dayton Predictions

Game time: January 7, 2024 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: UD Arena — Dayton, OH

Article updated Jan 6, 5:37 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The UMass Minutemen are on the road playing the Dayton Flyers at the University of Dayton Arena stadium on Sunday, 1/7/2024 @ 1:00pm EST. Dayton is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The UMass Minutemen are on the road playing the Dayton Flyers at the University of Dayton Arena stadium on Sunday, 1/7/2024 @ 1:00pm EST. Dayton is the betting favorite opening at -9.5 and the current line is Dayton -8.5.

Minutemen vs Flyers Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Minutemen to win today's game by 15 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the UMass Minutemen to cover the 8.5 point spread and the total to go over 148.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: UMass 84 to Dayton 69

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the UMass Minutemen and Dayton Flyers, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

54% of SportsJaw users predict UMass Minutemen to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Dayton will win straight-up is 80%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be UMASS 65.75, DAYTN 82.75.

OddsShark has not made a prediction yet.

57% picked UMass Minutemen on Covers.com

UMass Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 52, UMass is ranked #27 in offense (scoring an average of 84.08 per game), #206 in defense (allowing an average of 72.08 points to be scored against them per game) and are 10-3 (9-4 ATS) this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Offensively, the Minutemen hit an average of 46.89% of their field goals (ranked #81) and 68.64% of their free throws (ranked #262) and makes an average of 33.21% of their three pointers ranked #201 in the NCAAB). They average 38.50 rebounds per game (ranked # 99) and average 18.00 offensive assists and 11.42 turnovers per game (ranked # 20 and 104 respectively).

Defensively speaking, UMass allows an average of 41.03% field goals (ranked #95) and 73.01% free throws (ranked #284 in the NCAAB) The Minutemen allow an average of 31.54% of the three pointers (ranked #124) and averages 35.33 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 35.33) Finally, the Minutemen average 11.92 defensive assists and 15.58 turnovers per game (ranked # 118 and 34 respectively).

Dayton Key Betting Stats

Dayton Flyers has a power ranking of 31 and are #193 for offense (scoring an average of 74.42 per game), #62 for defense (giving up an average of 65.58 points per game) and 11-2 (7-5-1 ATS) overall. UMass went 3-0 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Dayton.

For offense, the Flyers hit an average of 48.15% of their field goals (ranked #45) and 75.76% of their free throws (ranked #35) and makes an average of 41.67% of their three pointers (ranked #2 in the NCAAB). They average 32.50 rebounds per game (ranked # 335) and average 15.75 offensive assists and 10.17 turnovers per game (ranked # 68) and 39 respectively).

On defense, Dayton allows an average of 41.60% field goals (ranked #121) and 72.37% free throws (ranked #258 in the NCAAB) The Flyers allow an average of 34.16% of the three pointers (ranked #260) and averages 32.75 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.75) Finally, the Flyers average 12.42 defensive assists and 10.08 turnovers per game (ranked # 164 and 341 respectively).

Betting Summary

UMass has advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the UMass Minutemen to cover the 8.5 point spread and the total to go over 148.5 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#UMassMinutemen#DaytonFlyers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Minutemen vs Flyers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Minutemen vs Flyers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UMass Minutemen+336 → +280Moved
  • Moneyline · Dayton Flyers-443 → -350Moved
  • Spread · UMass Minutemen+9.5 (-110) → +7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Dayton Flyers-9.5 (-110) → -7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over151 (-110) → 147.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under151 (-110) → 147.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

UMass Minutemen
7-3 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Dayton Flyers
9-2 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-06T22:37:05.004Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the UMass Minutemen and Dayton Flyers, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-22Dayton Flyers 72 · UMass Minutemen 54
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Dayton Flyers defeated UMass Minutemen 64-60

Dayton Flyers defeated UMass Minutemen 64-60 on January 7, 2024, a 4-point decision in the series. Dayton Flyers' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 38-29. Against SportsJaw's recorded UMass Minutemen +7.5 (-110) spread, UMass Minutemen covered, while the 124 combined points finished under the recorded total of 147.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioSpread · UMass Minutemen +8.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 148.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · UMass Minutemen +8.5 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Spread · UMass Minutemen +8.5 (-110)Win
  • JoeThomasTotal · Over 148.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1118240754Spread · Dayton Flyers -8.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · UMass Minutemen +8.5 (-110)Win