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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Cal Poly Mustangs
Sat 10:00 PM ET
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos logo
UC Santa Barbara
Gauchos61
3-6
versus
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs52
3-11
Final
Team12T
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos322961
Cal Poly Mustangs242852
NCAAB · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos at Cal Poly Mustangs

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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 6, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Robert A. Mott Athletics Center — San Luis Obispo, CA

Article updated Jan 6, 1:36 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos are traveling to play the Cal Poly Mustangs at the Robert A. Mott Gym stadium on Saturday, 1/6/2024 @ 10:00pm EST. UC Santa Barbara is the

Game outlook

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos are traveling to play the Cal Poly Mustangs at the Robert A. Mott Gym stadium on Saturday, 1/6/2024 @ 10:00pm EST. UC Santa Barbara is the betting favorite opening at -8 and the current line is UC Santa Barbara -6.5.

Gauchos vs Mustangs Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Gauchos to win tonight's game by 7 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to cover the 6.5 point spread and the total to go over 138.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: UC Santa Barbara 79 to Cal Poly 72

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos and Cal Poly Mustangs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to cover the spread (53%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that UC Santa Barbara will win straight-up is 74%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be SABAR 75.75, CP 62.75.

OddsShark predicts UC-Santa Barbara will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

63% picked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos on Covers.com

UC Santa Barbara Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 257, UC Santa Barbara is ranked #65 in offense (scoring an average of 79.85 per game), #278 in defense (allowing an average of 75.38 points to be scored against them per game) and are 7-6 (3-7-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Gauchos hit an average of 51.43% of their field goals (ranked #5) and 70.24% of their free throws (ranked #213) and makes an average of 37.85% of their three pointers ranked #31 in the NCAAB). They average 38.15 rebounds per game (ranked # 111) and average 15.00 offensive assists and 13.38 turnovers per game (ranked # 104 and 276 respectively).

Defensively speaking, UC Santa Barbara allows an average of 45.54% field goals (ranked #304) and 66.36% free throws (ranked #28 in the NCAAB) The Gauchos allow an average of 32.62% of the three pointers (ranked #181) and averages 30.38 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 30.38) Finally, the Gauchos average 12.23 defensive assists and 9.08 turnovers per game (ranked # 151 and 360 respectively).

Cal Poly Key Betting Stats

Cal Poly Mustangs has a power ranking of 288 and are #342 for offense (scoring an average of 65.47 per game), #252 for defense (giving up an average of 73.80 points per game) and 4-11 (7-7 ATS) overall. UC Santa Barbara went 0-3 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Cal Poly.

For offense, the Mustangs hit an average of 41.01% of their field goals (ranked #320) and 72.60% of their free throws (ranked #125) and makes an average of 30.65% of their three pointers (ranked #296 in the NCAAB). They average 32.33 rebounds per game (ranked # 337) and average 9.20 offensive assists and 12.87 turnovers per game (ranked # 358) and 229 respectively).

On defense, Cal Poly allows an average of 44.87% field goals (ranked #272) and 70.54% free throws (ranked #169 in the NCAAB) The Mustangs allow an average of 35.07% of the three pointers (ranked #296) and averages 39.33 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 39.33) Finally, the Mustangs average 11.40 defensive assists and 12.67 turnovers per game (ranked # 83 and 186 respectively).

Betting Summary

Cal Poly has the advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to cover the 6.5 point spread and the total to go over 138.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#UCSantaBarbaraGauchos#CalPolyMustangs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Gauchos vs Mustangs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Gauchos vs Mustangs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos-265 → -290Moved
  • Moneyline · Cal Poly Mustangs+215 → +240Moved
  • Spread · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos-8 (-110) → -6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs+8 (-110) → +6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over140.5 (-110) → 138.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under140.5 (-110) → 138.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
3-6 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cal Poly Mustangs
3-11 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-06T06:36:54.719Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos and Cal Poly Mustangs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-03-09Cal Poly Mustangs 54 · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 64
  • 2023-02-02Cal Poly Mustangs 62 · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 68
  • 2023-01-07UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 62 · Cal Poly Mustangs 57
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 61-52

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 61-52 on January 6, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 32-24. Against SportsJaw's recorded UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -6.5 (-110) spread, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos covered, while the 113 combined points finished under the recorded total of 138.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioSpread · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -6.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 138.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -6.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 138.5 (-110)Loss
  • DtownsendSpread · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -6.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -6.5 (-110)Win