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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Illinois Fighting Illini vs Purdue Boilermakers
Fri 8:30 PM ET
Illinois Fighting Illini logo
Illinois
Fighting Illini78
28-9
versus
Purdue Boilermakers logo
Purdue
Boilermakers83
30-9
Final
Team12T
Illinois Fighting Illini324678
Purdue Boilermakers473683
NCAAB · Illinois Fighting Illini at Purdue Boilermakers

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Illinois Fighting Illini vs Purdue Boilermakers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 5, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET

Venue: Mackey Arena — West Lafayette, IN

Article updated Jan 4, 5:17 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Friday night, a highly anticipated Top Ten matchup in the Big Ten takes place as the #9 Illinois Fighting Illini (11-2, 2-0 Big Ten) travel to take on the #1 Purdue

Game outlook

On Friday night, a highly anticipated Top Ten matchup in the Big Ten takes place as the #9 Illinois Fighting Illini (11-2, 2-0 Big Ten) travel to take on the #1 Purdue Boilermakers (13-1, 2-1 Big Ten). Purdue is the favorite, having won their last meeting by five at home, while Illinois comes off a 96-66 victory over Northwestern. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 EST from Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana and can be seen on FS1.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Fighting Illini +425 | Boilermakers -600

Spread: Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110) | Boilermakers -10.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 155 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Purdue will win straight-up is 86%.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois recently suspended their top scorer Terrence Shannon Jr. but still managed to defeat Northwestern by 30 points in their first true test without him. The team is now headed by Marcus Domask, a 6'6 senior averaging 13.2 PPG and 4.6 RPG, with scoring support from Quincy Guerrier, a 6'8 senior forward (11.0 PPG and 7.4 RPG) and Coleman Hawkins, a 6'10 post player (10.3 PPG and 5.5 RPG). Dain Dainja is a 6'9 forward providing 7.5 PPG and 4.3 RPG. With a power ranking of 5, Illinois is ranked #8 overall according to KenPom with their offense #12 and defense #18. They are 11-2 (9-4 ATS) and average 83.92 PPG and allow 65.54 per game. They hit an average of 48.28% of field goals, 70.72% free throws, and 34.51% of their three pointers. Defensively, Illinois allows 37.76% of field goals, 66.67% free throws and 31.13% of three pointers.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Purdue Boilermakers Analysis

Zach Edey is an outstanding 7'4, 300-pound center on the top NCAA basketball team, Purdue Boilermakers. Edey has been averaging an impressive 23.1 PPG and 10.3 RPG and has led the team in scoring in all but 3 games this season. He is surrounded by talented, smart guards such as Braden Smith (12.9 PPG and a team high 6.7 APG), Fletcher Loyer (11.3 PPG and 26 made threes on 39.4% shooting from deep), and Lance Jones (10.8 PPG). Purdue is currently ranked 2nd overall according to KenPom, with the 2nd most efficient offense in the country and the 6th most efficient defense. They are 13-1 (10-3-1 ATS) overall with impressive stats for offense (49.64% field goals, 71.76% free throws, 38.87% three pointers) and defense (39.53% field goals, 67.18% free throws, 28.13% three pointers).

Illinois Facing Tough Challenge from Purdue's Elite Post Player Edey in Upcoming Game

Illinois boasts several impressive big men in Coleman, Guerrier, and Dainja, yet none of them stand taller than 6'10. This may prove challenging when competing with Purdue's Edey, who is widely recognized as the best post player in the country. With the loss of their best perimeter player, Illinois will need to concentrate their efforts of offense around Domask, who isn't known for a consistent three point shooting record. Purdue showed their mettle against a team they were expected to beat, and aren't likely to falter this time. With Edey's commanding presence in the post, Illinois' current post strength may be diminished, leading to a likely big loss. The spread suggests it is in favor of Purdue.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#IllinoisFightingIllini#PurdueBoilermakers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Fighting Illini vs Boilermakers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Fighting Illini vs Boilermakers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Illinois Fighting Illini+425 → +430Moved
  • Moneyline · Purdue Boilermakers-600 → -578Moved
  • Spread · Illinois Fighting Illini+10.5 (-110) → +10 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Purdue Boilermakers-10.5 (-110) → -10 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over155 (-110) → 151.75 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under155 (-110) → 151.75 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Illinois Fighting Illini
28-9 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Purdue Boilermakers
30-9 matchup record · 7-2-1 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-04T22:17:41.622Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-03-05Illinois Fighting Illini 71 · Purdue Boilermakers 76
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Purdue Boilermakers defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 83-78

Purdue Boilermakers defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 83-78 on January 5, 2024, a 5-point decision in the series. Purdue Boilermakers' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 47-32. Against SportsJaw's recorded Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (-110) spread, Illinois Fighting Illini covered, while the 161 combined points finished over the recorded total of 151.75.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DrfeelgoodSpread · Purdue Boilermakers -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • MrmisterTotal · Over 155 (-110)Win
  • RoycejacobsSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win
  • DpxsportsSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win
  • Sammy52Total · Under 153.75 (-110)Loss
  • Steve512Spread · Purdue Boilermakers -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • Philly267Total · Under 153.75 (-110)Loss
  • JeffjacksonSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreySpread · Purdue Boilermakers -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · Purdue Boilermakers -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • DengWinsSpread · Purdue Boilermakers -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Purdue Boilermakers -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • ThehitmanTotal · Over 154 (-110)Win
  • Mr_BiggsMoneyline · Purdue Boilermakers -600Win
  • JtmcentireSpread · Purdue Boilermakers -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • TweiskoffSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win
  • TweiskoffTotal · Over 153.75 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Spread · Purdue Boilermakers -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · Purdue Boilermakers -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 150.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 150.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win
  • ThetotalerSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win
  • MikeVargasTotal · Under 151 (-110)Loss
  • StevehSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win
  • MtgoldsteinSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini +10.5 (-110)Win