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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Duke Blue Devils vs SMU Mustangs
Sat 2:15 PM ET
Duke Blue Devils logo
Duke
Blue Devils89
35-3
versus
SMU Mustangs logo
SMU
Mustangs62
20-13
Final
Team12T
Duke Blue Devils414889
SMU Mustangs323062
NCAAB · Duke Blue Devils at SMU Mustangs

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Duke Blue Devils vs SMU Mustangs Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 4, 2025 at 2:15 PM ET

Venue: Moody Coliseum — Dallas, TX

Article updated Jan 4, 1:15 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This Saturday, two undefeated teams in ACC play, Duke (11-2, 3-0 ACC) and SMU (11-2, 2-0 ACC), will face off for the first time since 1988. Duke recently won against Virginia

Game outlook

This Saturday, two undefeated teams in ACC play, Duke (11-2, 3-0 ACC) and SMU (11-2, 2-0 ACC), will face off for the first time since 1988. Duke recently won against Virginia Tech, while SMU defeated Longwood in their final non-conference game. The game will take place at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas at 2:15 EST and will be televised on The CW Network. Duke is the favorite with a betting line of -8.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Blue Devils -360 | Mustangs +290

Spread: Blue Devils -8 (-110) | Mustangs +8 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 149 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Duke will win straight-up is 78%.

Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils are currently one of the frontrunners to win the ACC this season with a strong performance, entering the matchup with seven consecutive wins. The team is undefeated in conference play, showcasing dominant performances with blowout wins against Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech. Led by standout freshman Cooper Flagg, who is projected to be a top pick in the upcoming NBA draft, Duke boasts a talented roster including star freshman Kon Knueppel and junior guard Tyrese Proctor. The team is ranked 2nd out of 364 Division I teams according to KenPom, excelling in offensive and defensive efficiency. Offensively, the Blue Devils have impressive shooting percentages while defensively they excel in limiting opponent field goal percentages. Duke's well-rounded performance has propelled them to a successful 35-3 record this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SMU Mustangs Analysis

The SMU Mustangs are off to a strong start in both football and basketball this season. The football team made a run to the College Football Playoff, while the basketball team is 2-0 in league play and has won seven straight games. Their top scorer and playmaker is Boopie Miller, a junior guard who is averaging 15.4 PPG and 5.9 APG. Chuck Harris is their top shooter, making 27 threes on 49.1% shooting from deep. Matt Cross is a key player in the frontcourt, averaging 10.7 PPG and 8.2 RPG. SMU is ranked 43rd overall by KenPom, with a strong offense ranked 19th in the nation. They play at a fast pace, ranking 71st in pace of play. In terms of sports wagering, the Mustangs have a power ranking of 20 and are 20-13 overall. They have a strong offense, shooting 49.62% from the field and 39.13% from three-point range. On defense, they allow opponents to shoot 39.57% from the field and 33.89% from beyond the arc.

Underdog SMU Mustangs Poised to Cover Spread Against Duke in Upcoming ACC Showdown

The SMU Mustangs have quietly made a name for themselves in the ACC this season, securing impressive victories against teams such as Washington State, Virginia, LSU, and Boston College. With five players averaging double figures, SMU has demonstrated a balanced offensive approach that will be advantageous in their upcoming matchup against Duke. Noteworthy is their recent success in covering the spread in five of their last six games. Hosting Duke at home provides SMU with a strategic advantage, as the young Duke team has yet to prove themselves consistently on the road. Riding a seven-game winning streak, SMU, though unlikely to secure an upset, is poised to put up a strong fight and potentially cover the spread. Consider SMU to cover in this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#DukeBlueDevils#SMUMustangs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Blue Devils vs Mustangs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Blue Devils vs Mustangs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Duke Blue Devils-348 → -370Moved
  • Moneyline · SMU Mustangs+265 → +290Moved
  • Spread · Duke Blue Devils-7.5 (-110) → -8 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · SMU Mustangs+7.5 (-110) → +8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over149 (-110) → 149 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under149 (-110) → 149 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Duke Blue Devils
35-3 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
SMU Mustangs
20-13 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-01-04T06:15:47.550Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Duke Blue Devils defeated SMU Mustangs 89-62

Duke Blue Devils defeated SMU Mustangs 89-62 on January 4, 2025, a 27-point decision in the series. Duke Blue Devils' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 48-30. Against SportsJaw's recorded Duke Blue Devils -8 (-110) spread, Duke Blue Devils covered, while the 151 combined points finished over the recorded total of 149.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

No graded public tipster picks were recorded for this matchup.