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  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Missouri St. Bears vs Southern Illinois Salukis
Wed 8:00 PM ET
Missouri St. Bears logo
Missouri St.
Bears76
11-9
versus
Southern Illinois Salukis logo
Southern Illinois
Salukis75
11-6
Final/OT
Team123T
Missouri St. Bears31321376
Southern Illinois Salukis42211275
NCAAB · Missouri St. Bears at Southern Illinois Salukis

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Missouri State Bears Look to Upset Southern Illinois Salukis in Key Conference Matchup

Game time: January 31, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Banterra Center — Carbondale, IL

Article updated Jan 31, 6:19 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The content highlights an upcoming matchup between the Missouri State Bears and the Southern Illinois Salukis in the Missouri Valley Conference. Both teams are coming off

Game outlook

The content highlights an upcoming matchup between the Missouri State Bears and the Southern Illinois Salukis in the Missouri Valley Conference. Both teams are coming off road wins and have performed well recently. This will be their only meeting this season, and Southern Illinois has historically had the upper hand. The game is scheduled for 8:00 PM EST at the Banterra Center in Carbondale, Illinois, with Southern Illinois initially favored by 7.5 points, but the current line stands at -6.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bears +220 | Salukis -273

Spread: Bears +6 (-110) | Salukis -6 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 135 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Southern Illinois will win straight-up is 73%.

Missouri St. Bears

The Missouri State Bears recently improved their conference record from 2-6 to 4-6 with two hard-earned wins. As the Missouri Valley Conference is projected to only receive one bid to the NCAA Tournament, seeding is crucial. Guard Alston Mason has been a key player for the Bears, currently ranking as the fourth leading scorer in the MVC with 18.4 PPG. Mason is also the team's leading shooter, with 51 made threes on 37.8% shooting from deep. Other notable players include Donovan Clay, a 6'8 senior guard averaging 13.7 PPG and 5.8 RPG, and Chance Moore, a 6'6 junior guard contributing 10.4 PPG and 5.3 RPG. NJ Benson, a 6'8, 235-pound sophomore, is the team's top interior player, averaging 7.9 PPG and 7.3 RPG. Missouri State currently holds a ranking of 156th overall according to KenPom, with their offensive and defensive efficiencies ranked at 224th and 109th, respectively. They play at the 166th fastest tempo in Division I basketball. In terms of statistics, the Bears have a field goal percentage of 43.04%, rank 272nd in three-point shooting with a percentage of 31.74%, and have a free throw percentage of 70.18%. They average 38.90 rebounds per game and have an average of 12.35 offensive assists and 12.40 turnovers per game. Defensively, Missouri State allows opponents to shoot 41.18% from the field, 30.45% from three-point range, and 71.69% from the free-throw line. They average 34.75 defensive rebounds per game and have an average of 11.55 defensive assists and 9.55 turnovers per game. No injuries have been reported for the team. Edwards on 🎯 pic.twitter.com/S40Q43Btzi

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Southern Illinois Salukis Analysis

The Southern Illinois Salukis currently hold fourth place in the Missouri Valley Conference, three games behind the league leader, Indiana State. With a 6-4 league record, the team recently won their last two games against Valpo and Murray State. Guard Xavier Johnson is a standout player for the Salukis, leading the conference in scoring with an average of 23.0 points per game. The team relies heavily on Johnson, as he is the only player averaging over 10 points per game. Other key contributors include AJ Ferguson and Trent Brown in the guard positions, and Clarence Rupert as the team's top interior player. Currently ranked 109th in the nation, the Salukis have a balanced approach, ranking 114th in offensive efficiency and 119th in defensive efficiency. They are known for their slow pace of play, ranking 341st in tempo. In terms of statistics, the team averages 73.05 points per game on offense, shooting 46.67% from the field and 37.13% from beyond the arc. They also excel in free throw shooting, making 76.00% of their attempts. Defensively, they allow opponents to shoot 43.19% from the field and 28.53% from three-point range. Overall, the Salukis have a power ranking of 124 and a record of 11-6. 🚨Prairie Farms Recovery Play of the Week🚨 Xavier Johnson of @SIU_Basketball earns the Salukis their win over the Racers in the last seconds with a drive to the hoop‼️ #ValleyHoops pic.twitter.com/0bBsoulFSC

Missouri State Presents Strong Case as Underdog Against One-Man Team Southern Illinois

Missouri State presents a multitude of reasons why it emerges as a favorable choice. Firstly, in evaluating the opposition, Southern Illinois heavily relies on Xavier Johnson as their key playmaker, rendering them a one-man team. Although Johnson may earn recognition as first team all-conference, depending solely on one player poses a significant risk in a mid-major matchup. Furthermore, Southern Illinois' offensive strategy necessitates Johnson's involvement in every aspect of the game, which may potentially compromise his performance due to the extensive playing time he has already clocked in. Analyzing the game from a statistical standpoint, Missouri State exhibits exceptional defensive efficiency, ranking 109th overall. This defense-oriented approach enables the team to relentlessly target Johnson, thereby compelling Southern Illinois' secondary players to carry the burden of defeating Missouri State. Notably, Missouri State enters this contest as the underdog, while Southern Illinois operates at an exceptionally sluggish pace, occupying one of the lowest ranks for tempo nationally. Consequently, the limited possessions allocated in this game restrict Southern Illinois' offensive opportunities to amass significant points or secure a substantial lead. Conversely, Missouri State possesses offensive talent in the form of Alston Mason, who consistently averages 18.4 PPG. Mason's prowess ensures he cannot be easily overshadowed and further solidifies Missouri State's position as a formidable contender. Additionally, bearing in mind Missouri State's fortitude in the defensive zone, coupled with the reduced tempo of play, the team maintains the potential to remain competitive against the favored Southern Illinois. Therefore, it is advisable to consider Missouri State, taking into account their ability to cover the point spread effectively.

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Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#MissouriStBears#SouthernIllinoisSalukis

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bears vs Salukis archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bears vs Salukis matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Missouri St. Bears+260 → +180Moved
  • Moneyline · Southern Illinois Salukis-323 → -220Moved
  • Spread · Missouri St. Bears+7.5 (-110) → +4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Southern Illinois Salukis-7.5 (-110) → -4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over135.5 (-110) → 134 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under135.5 (-110) → 134 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Missouri St. Bears
11-9 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Southern Illinois Salukis
11-6 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-31T11:19:43.829Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Missouri State Bears recently improved their conference record from 2-6 to 4-6 with two hard-earned wins. As the Missouri Valley Conference is projected to only receive one bid to the NCAA Tournament, seeding is crucial. Guard Alston Mason has been a key player for the Bears, currently ranking as the fourth leading scorer in the MVC with 18.4 PPG. Mason is also the team's leading shooter, with 51 made threes on 37.8% shooting from deep. Other notable players include Donovan Clay, a 6'8 senior guard averaging 13.7 PPG and 5.8 RPG, and Chance Moore, a 6'6 junior guard contributing 10.4 PPG and 5.3 RPG. NJ Benson, a 6'8, 235-pound sophomore, is the team's top interior player, averaging 7.9 PPG and 7.3 RPG. Missouri State currently holds a ranking of 156th overall according to KenPom, with their offensive and defensive efficiencies ranked at 224th and 109th, respectively. They play at the 166th fastest tempo in Division I basketball. In terms of statistics, the Bears have a field goal percentage of 43.04%, rank 272nd in three-point shooting with a percentage of 31.74%, and have a free throw percentage of 70.18%. They average 38.90 rebounds per game and have an average of 12.35 offensive assists and 12.40 turnovers per game. Defensively, Missouri State allows opponents to shoot 41.18% from the field, 30.45% from three-point range, and 71.69% from the free-throw line. They average 34.75 defensive rebounds per game and have an average of 11.55 defensive assists and 9.55 turnovers per game. No injuries have been reported for the team. Edwards on 🎯 pic.twitter.com/S40Q43Btzi

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-03-03Missouri St. Bears 51 · Southern Illinois Salukis 54
  • 2023-02-05Missouri St. Bears 53 · Southern Illinois Salukis 73
  • 2023-01-21Southern Illinois Salukis 61 · Missouri St. Bears 57
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Missouri St. Bears defeated Southern Illinois Salukis 76-75

Missouri St. Bears defeated Southern Illinois Salukis 76-75 on January 31, 2024, a 1-point decision in the series. Missouri St. Bears' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 32-21. Against SportsJaw's recorded Missouri St. Bears +4.5 (-110) spread, Missouri St. Bears covered, while the 151 combined points finished over the recorded total of 134.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • VegaspatSpread · Southern Illinois Salukis -6 (-110)Loss
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Under 135 (-110)Loss
  • DtownsendSpread · Southern Illinois Salukis -5 (-110)Loss
  • 1707662905Spread · Missouri St. Bears +5 (-110)Win