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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Boise St. Broncos vs New Mexico Lobos
Wed 10:30 PM ET
Boise St. Broncos logo
Boise St.
Broncos86
11-6
versus
New Mexico Lobos logo
New Mexico
Lobos78
16-3
Final
Team12T
Boise St. Broncos414586
New Mexico Lobos384078
NCAAB · Boise St. Broncos at New Mexico Lobos

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New Mexico Lobos Look to Extend Dominance Against Boise State with Impressive Stats

Game time: January 31, 2024 at 10:30 PM ET

Venue: The Pit — Albuquerque, NM

Article updated Jan 30, 10:35 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In this content, it is stated that the 14-6 Boise State Broncos will be facing the #19 New Mexico Lobos in Albuquerque, New Mexico. The Lobos have an impressive record of

Game outlook

In this content, it is stated that the 14-6 Boise State Broncos will be facing the #19 New Mexico Lobos in Albuquerque, New Mexico. The Lobos have an impressive record of 18-3 and currently rank second in the Mountain West conference. Although the Broncos have won 5 of their last 6 games against the Lobos, they are facing their toughest challenge this season. The game is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM MST on Wednesday, January 31. The New Mexico team is the expected favorite with an opening betting line of -9.5, which has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Broncos +370 | Lobos -510

Spread: Broncos +9.5 (-110) | Lobos -9.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 152.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New Mexico will win straight-up is 84%.

Boise St. Broncos

Boise State's basketball team, led by coach Leon Rice, has had a successful run over the past 14 years. They have made the tournament four times, but unfortunately lost in the first round on each occasion. Currently, the team has a 5-2 record in the Mountain West Conference, placing them in third position. According to Joe Lunardi's Bracketology on ESPN, Boise State is currently considered the last team in the tournament. Offensively, the Broncos are performing well, averaging 74 points per game while allowing 66.4 points per game. This gives them a positive margin of 7.6. They have a shooting percentage of 44.8% from the field and 33.8% from beyond the arc. The team has four players averaging double figures, with forward Tyson Degenhart leading the way at 15.6 points per game. Guard Chibuzo Agbo is also performing well, scoring 14.8 points per game with impressive shooting percentages. Despite their size, the Broncos are slightly below average in rebounding, averaging 37 rebounds per game. However, they have four players averaging over 5 rebounds per game. They have improved their turnovers by maintaining a positive assist-to-turnover margin of 12.4 assists to 12 turnovers. In their latest game, the Broncos lost to Utah State on their home court, marking their second loss at home in the conference. Degenhart scored 24 points and Stanley added 20. According to KenPom, Boise State is now ranked 57th in the nation with an adjusted efficiency margin and has the 24th toughest schedule. Looking ahead, the Broncos will face Air Force in their next game. Overall, Boise State's offense is ranked 187th, defense is ranked 51st, and they have a 14-6 season record. They shoot 44.77% from the field, 71.80% from the free-throw line, and 33.79% from three-point range. Their rebounding average is 36.95 rebounds per game, with 12.35 offensive assists and 11.95 turnovers per game. Defensively, they allow opponents to shoot 43.61% from the field and 72.49% from the free-throw line. They also allow 29.89% from three-point range and average 30.25 defensive rebounds per game. Finally, they have 11. poetry in motion. #BleedBlue x @RoddieAnderson pic.twitter.com/Uq2EGMpOvL

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New Mexico Lobos Analysis

The New Mexico Lobos are currently performing well in the season with an 18-3 record and a 6-2 record in the Mountain West Conference. They are ranked 19th in both the AP Poll and on KenPom, highlighting their consistent success. The Lobos have achieved key victories against teams including Santa Clara, SDSU, and Utah State. Impressively, they hold a perfect 11-0 record in their home court, known as The Pit. The team has also performed favorably in terms of betting, holding a 15-5 record against the spread and an even 10-10 record on totals. Offensively, the Lobos boast four scorers averaging double-digits, with two more players just shy of that mark, both averaging 9 points per game. Guards Jamal Mashburn Jr. and Jaelen House lead the team in scoring, averaging 15.6 points per game. House's 2.9 steals per game rank sixth nationally and first in the MWC, contributing to the Lobos' ability to force turnovers, averaging the 12th-best 16.1 turnovers per game in the NCAA. The Lobos also have strong presence in the paint, with center Nelly Junior Joseph standing at 6-10 and weighing 240 pounds, and freshman JT Toppin at 6-9. Combined, they bring in an average of 15.8 rebounds per game, helping the Lobos maintain an average of 39 rebounds per game. The team averages 84.4 points per game while allowing just 68.8, resulting in a winning margin of 15.6 points. Despite their success, it is noted that the Lobos' preseason schedule may have been slightly easier compared to their conference games, as they have won their MWC games by an average margin of 20.1 points. The team shows efficiency in various categories, including a favorable assist-to-turnover ratio of 15.7 assists to 10.4 turnovers, and out rebounding their opponents by approximately 4 rebounds per game. They take a considerable number of free throw shots, ranking 50th in the NCAA with 22.6 attempts per game, but only convert them at a rate of 68.4%. According to KenPom, the Lobos hold the 19th position in adjusted efficiency margin with a score of +20.35, based on the 91st toughest schedule. They

University of New Mexico Lobos Look to Extend Dominance Against Boise State with Impressive Stats

The University of New Mexico men's basketball team, commonly referred to as the Lobos, has proven themselves as a top-tier team in the Mountain West Conference (MWC) and is steadily climbing up the national rankings. This upcoming game against Boise State provides another opportunity for the Lobos to establish their credibility against a formidable opponent. Since the return of key players House and Mashburn from injury in early December, the Lobos have not only emerged victorious in every home game but have done so convincingly, with double-digit margins. The Pit, our home arena, has always been a tough place to play when the Lobos are performing at their best, and our 20.1 margin of victory serves as evidence of that, including wins against 19th-ranked SDSU with an 18-point lead and 16th-ranked Utah State with a 13-point lead. Moreover, the Lobos have made significant strides in their defensive game, thanks in part to the impressive skills of guard Jaelen House. Our team allows an average of only 68.8 points per game on 41% shooting and is ranked 53rd in limiting opponents to 30.7% shooting from beyond the arc. This poses a significant challenge for Boise State's offense, which heavily relies on the shooting prowess of their guards. On the offensive end, the Lobos boast an impressive average of 115.9 points per 100 possessions, ranking 37th nationally, while holding opponents to an average of 95.6 points per 100 possessions, ranking 20th. This stark contrast in efficiency is likely to pose difficulties for Boise State, whose offense ranks 105th with an average of 109.7 points per 100 possessions. Additionally, Boise's below-average assist-to-turnover ratio plays right into the hands of the Lobos' skilled guards, who excel at creating turnovers. Looking at their overall performance, the Lobos boast a 15-5 against-the-spread record, with an average margin of victory of 20 points in their MWC games. It is highly likely that the Lobos will emerge victorious once again with a 9.5-point spread in this game.

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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Broncos vs Lobos archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Broncos vs Lobos matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Boise St. Broncos+370 → +463Moved
  • Moneyline · New Mexico Lobos-510 → -630Moved
  • Spread · Boise St. Broncos+9.5 (-110) → +10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New Mexico Lobos-9.5 (-110) → -10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over152.5 (-110) → 149.75 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under152.5 (-110) → 149.75 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Boise St. Broncos
11-6 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Mexico Lobos
16-3 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-31T03:35:55.539Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The University of New Mexico men's basketball team, commonly referred to as the Lobos, has proven themselves as a top-tier team in the Mountain West Conference (MWC) and is steadily climbing up the national rankings. This upcoming game against Boise State provides another opportunity for the Lobos to establish their credibility against a formidable opponent. Since the return of key players House and Mashburn from injury in early December, the Lobos have not only emerged victorious in every home game but have done so convincingly, with double-digit margins. The Pit, our home arena, has always been a tough place to play when the Lobos are performing at their best, and our 20.1 margin of victory serves as evidence of that, including wins against 19th-ranked SDSU with an 18-point lead and 16th-ranked Utah State with a 13-point lead. Moreover, the Lobos have made significant strides in their defensive game, thanks in part to the impressive skills of guard Jaelen House. Our team allows an average of only 68.8 points per game on 41% shooting and is ranked 53rd in limiting opponents to 30.7% shooting from beyond the arc. This poses a significant challenge for Boise State's offense, which heavily relies on the shooting prowess of their guards. On the offensive end, the Lobos boast an impressive average of 115.9 points per 100 possessions, ranking 37th nationally, while holding opponents to an average of 95.6 points per 100 possessions, ranking 20th. This stark contrast in efficiency is likely to pose difficulties for Boise State, whose offense ranks 105th with an average of 109.7 points per 100 possessions. Additionally, Boise's below-average assist-to-turnover ratio plays right into the hands of the Lobos' skilled guards, who excel at creating turnovers. Looking at their overall performance, the Lobos boast a 15-5 against-the-spread record, with an average margin of victory of 20 points in their MWC games. It is highly likely that the Lobos will emerge victorious once again with a 9.5-point spread in this game.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-22New Mexico Lobos 77 · Boise St. Broncos 82
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Boise St. Broncos defeated New Mexico Lobos 86-78

Boise St. Broncos defeated New Mexico Lobos 86-78 on January 31, 2024, a 8-point decision in the series. Boise St. Broncos' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 45-40. Against SportsJaw's recorded Boise St. Broncos +10.5 (-110) spread, Boise St. Broncos covered, while the 164 combined points finished over the recorded total of 149.75.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CovergirlSpread · Boise St. Broncos +9.5 (-110)Win
  • Sammy52Total · Under 152.5 (-110)Loss
  • AveragejoeSpread · New Mexico Lobos -9.5 (-110)Loss
  • MaddogSpread · Boise St. Broncos +9.5 (-110)Win
  • JeffjacksonTotal · Over 152.5 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreySpread · New Mexico Lobos -9.5 (-110)Loss
  • Randy54Total · Over 152.5 (-110)Win
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Over 152.5 (-110)Win
  • IrishblueSpread · Boise St. Broncos +9.5 (-110)Win
  • Altuve27Total · Over 152.5 (-110)Win
  • BadmanTotal · Under 152.5 (-110)Loss
  • DengWinsSpread · Boise St. Broncos +10.5 (-110)
Win
  • MackintoshSpread · Boise St. Broncos +10.5 (-110)Win
  • 72dolphinsSpread · Boise St. Broncos +11 (-110)Win
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Boise St. Broncos +11 (-110)Win
  • Leadpipe_LocksTotal · Over 151 (-110)Win
  • FlyigglesflyTotal · Over 151 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Boise St. Broncos +10.75 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 149.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Boise St. Broncos +10.75 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 149.5 (-110)Win