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  3. Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan St. Spartans
Tue 9:00 PM ET
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NCAAB · Michigan Wolverines at Michigan St. Spartans

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Michigan State Spartans Expected to Dominate Michigan Wolverines in Basketball Showdown

Game time: January 30, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Breslin Center — East Lansing, MI

Article updated Jan 30, 6:23 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Tomorrow night, the Michigan Wolverines and Michigan State Spartans will face off on the basketball court for the first time this season. The game will take place at the

Game outlook

Tomorrow night, the Michigan Wolverines and Michigan State Spartans will face off on the basketball court for the first time this season. The game will take place at the Breslin Center in East Lansing and is set to start at 9:00 p.m. EDT. It is worth noting that the home team has emerged victorious in the last nine meetings between these two teams. Michigan State is currently favored to win the game, with the opening line at -11 and the current line at -12. However, it remains to be seen if the Wolverines can defy the odds and secure a win on the road.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Wolverines +500 | Spartans -750

Spread: Wolverines +12 (-110) | Spartans -12 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 145.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Michigan St. will win straight-up is 88%.

Michigan Wolverines

The Michigan Wolverines have been struggling since mid-December, with their most recent loss being against Iowa. Their defense has been a major issue, allowing an average of 79.2 points per game and at least 88 points in their last three games. They currently have the worst defense in the conference, giving up the most points per game on 45.3% shooting. The Wolverines also struggle with defending threes and fouls, allowing 36.1% shooting on threes and 19.5 free throw attempts per game. However, the team has a positive rebounding differential (+1.8) and a negative turnover differential (-2.3). On the offensive side, Michigan performs well, averaging 78.7 points per game. Sophomore guard Dug McDaniel leads the team with 17.2 points per game. The Wolverines shoot 46.4% from the field, 37.2% from beyond the arc, and 71.9% at the free throw line. They also average 11.0 offensive rebounds per game. Although they failed to reach 70 points in their past two road games, the offense has generally been consistent. Overall, the team's power ranking is 322, with an offense ranking of 72 and a defense ranking of 334. They currently have a 7-13 record this season. Offensively, the Wolverines have a good shooting percentage, ranking 86th in field goal percentage and 36th in three-point percentage. They also have a decent free throw percentage, ranking 172nd. In terms of rebounding, they average 37.16 rebounds per game. Defensively, Michigan allows opponents to shoot 44.88% from the field, ranking 265th. They struggle more against three-pointers, allowing 35.57% shooting and ranking 308th. They do better in defensive rebounds, averaging 35.26 per game and ranking 35th. In terms of turnovers, Michigan has 12.47 turnovers per game, ranking 220th offensively, and 9.95 turnovers per game, ranking 339th defensively.

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Michigan St. Spartans Analysis

The Michigan State Spartans have a power ranking of 132 and have a record of 12-8 (10-9-1 ATS) overall. They are ranked #149 for offense, with an average of 75.70 points per game, and #49 for defense, allowing an average of 66.00 points per game. In their last three matchups against Michigan, they went 1-2 (1-2 ATS). Offensively, the Spartans have a field goal percentage of 47.09% (ranked #61), a free throw percentage of 70.46% (ranked #221), and a three-point percentage of 36.46% (ranked #60 in the NCAAB). They average 35.55 rebounds per game (ranked #195) and have an average of 17.45 offensive assists and 10.20 turnovers per game (ranked #18 and #38 respectively). On defense, the Spartans allow opponents to make 39.93% of their field goals (ranked #29), 72.88% of their free throws (ranked #269 in the NCAAB), and 31.06% of their three-pointers (ranked #62). They average 34.25 defensive rebounds per game (ranked #34.25) and have an average of 12.40 defensive assists and 12.65 turnovers per game (ranked #149 and #148 respectively).

Michigan State's Defensive Prowess Expected to Secure Victory Against Michigan

Both teams' offensive capabilities are commendable, even in a more deliberate pace. The ability to convert open scoring opportunities will not be a major concern in this upcoming game. Nevertheless, the superiority of Michigan State over Michigan lies not in home-court advantage but in their defensive prowess. The Spartans exhibit a considerable edge in forcing their opponents to miss shots. Moreover, their proficiency in winning the turnover battle is expected to significantly benefit their performance. It is anticpated that the Spartans will effectively recover from their previous shortcomings and claim victory against Michigan with a noteworthy point difference, as is often observed among various other Big Ten schools.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wolverines vs Spartans archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Wolverines vs Spartans matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Michigan Wolverines+500 → +550Moved
  • Moneyline · Michigan St. Spartans-770 → -843Moved
  • Spread · Michigan Wolverines+11 (-110) → +12 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Michigan St. Spartans-11 (-110) → -12 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over145.5 (-110) → 144 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under145.5 (-110) → 144 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Michigan Wolverines
6-12 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Michigan St. Spartans
11-8 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-30T11:23:03.634Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-18Michigan St. Spartans 72 · Michigan Wolverines 84
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Michigan St. Spartans defeated Michigan Wolverines 81-62

Michigan St. Spartans defeated Michigan Wolverines 81-62 on January 30, 2024, a 19-point decision in the series. Michigan St. Spartans' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 48-27. Against SportsJaw's recorded Michigan Wolverines +12 (-110) spread, Michigan St. Spartans covered, while the 143 combined points finished under the recorded total of 144.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • 72dolphinsSpread · Michigan Wolverines +12 (-110)Loss
  • UncledavidTotal · Over 145.5 (-110)Loss
  • ThehitmanSpread · Michigan Wolverines +12 (-110)Loss