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  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Nevada Wolf Pack vs New Mexico Lobos
Sun 10:00 PM ET
Nevada Wolf Pack logo
Nevada
Wolf Pack55
15-4
versus
New Mexico Lobos logo
New Mexico
Lobos89
15-3
Final
Team12T
Nevada Wolf Pack243155
New Mexico Lobos385189
NCAAB · Nevada Wolf Pack at New Mexico Lobos

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New Mexico Favored to Win Against Nevada in College Basketball Showdown, but Unlikely to Cover Spread

Game time: January 28, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: The Pit — Albuquerque, NM

Article updated Jan 28, 6:35 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This content provides a summary of the upcoming college basketball game between Nevada and New Mexico. The article mentions that Nevada has dominated in previous matchups,

Game outlook

This content provides a summary of the upcoming college basketball game between Nevada and New Mexico. The article mentions that Nevada has dominated in previous matchups, winning nine consecutive games against New Mexico. However, despite this, New Mexico is favored to win by 6.5 points with a total score prediction of 153.5. The article also notes that the opening betting line was -7 in favor of New Mexico, but it has since moved to -8.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Wolf Pack +283 | Lobos -360

Spread: Wolf Pack +8 (-110) | Lobos -8 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 153.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New Mexico will win straight-up is 78%.

Nevada Wolf Pack

The Nevada Wolfpack recently broke their three-game losing streak with a 77-64 victory over No. 24 Colorado State. Currently, they have a record of 16-4, with a 12-7-0 record against the spread. In terms of rankings, the Wolfpack are 46th according to KenPom rankings and 52nd in the Bart Torvik rankings. In the game against Colorado State, Nevada shot 50% in the first half, which contributed to their eight-point lead at halftime. They continued to shoot well throughout the game, finishing with an overall shooting percentage of 53.7% and making 15 out of 18 free throws. This showcases their strong shooting ability, as they are ranked 51st in the nation in field-goal percentage. Defensively, Nevada has also been impressive, holding opponents to a 40.2% shooting percentage, which ranks 36th overall. Jarod Lucas led the team with 28 points, shooting 10 out of 14, while Kenan Blackshear added 20 points, shooting 9 out of 12. On average, Lucas scores 17.6 points per game, hitting 43.1% of his shots, while Blackshear contributes 16.2 points per game with a shooting percentage of 51.3%. In terms of overall performance, the Wolfpack rank 63rd in points per 100 possessions, scoring an average of 113.2, and 45th in points allowed per 100 possessions, giving up an average of 98.6. With a power ranking of 220, they are ranked 108th in offense, scoring an average of 76.95 points per game, and 42nd in defense, allowing an average of 65.55 points per game. Offensively, Nevada has a field goal percentage of 47.50% (ranked 49th) and a free throw percentage of 71.46% (ranked 182nd). They also make an average of 33.99% of their three-pointers (ranked 183rd). Regarding rebounds, they average 35.15 per game (ranked 210th), along with 14.25 offensive assists and 9.35 turnovers per game (ranked 120th and 11th, respectively). Defensively, the Wolfpack allow opponents to shoot 40.27% from the field ( 72-71 Nevada. Ice. In. His. Veins. pic.twitter.com/ZUfn7KG46u

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New Mexico Lobos Analysis

The New Mexico Lobos had a decisive victory over San Jose State, winning 95-75. This was their fourth consecutive win, bringing their record to 17-3 and 4-2 in the conference. The Lobos have been undefeated at home this season with a 15-3 record. They are ranked 23rd by Bart Torvik and one place higher in the KenPom rankings. The Lobos had a strong first half, taking an 11-point lead, and they continued to extend their lead in the second half, ultimately winning by 20 points. Their shooting was impressive, with a 50.8% field goal percentage and a 52.6% three-point shooting percentage. This is notable as they typically rank lower in three-point shooting at 33.8% but higher in field goal percentage at 47.7%. The Lobos are also known for taking a high volume of shots, ranking 11th in shots per game and eighth in field goals made per contest. Individual performances of note include Jaelen House scoring 18 points despite a 6-15 shooting performance and JT Toppin achieving a double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds. Toppin has been consistent throughout the season, averaging 13.4 points and 8.3 rebounds per game. In terms of overall team rankings, the Lobos are 44th in points per 100 possessions and 26th in points allowed per 100 possessions. They have a power ranking of 17 and are rated 18th for offense, scoring an average of 84.20 points per game, and 120th for defense, giving up an average of 69.45 points per game. They have a strong field goal percentage of 47.74% and three-point shooting percentage of 33.78%. The Lobos also excel in rebounding, averaging 39.25 rebounds per game, and have solid assist and turnover numbers. On defense, they allow a field goal percentage of 41.88% and a three-point shooting percentage of 31.01%. They also average 35.00 defensive rebounds per game. AZTECS ARE HEADING TO THE NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP. 🔴⚫️🚀 pic.twitter.com/IAt7dk69dt

New Mexico Poised for Win Against Nevada, But Unlikely to Cover Spread

New Mexico is expected to break their winless streak against Nevada, although they are unlikely to cover the spread of 6.5. These two teams are closely matched, with New Mexico having a slight edge and the advantage of playing at home. However, this advantage is not substantial enough to warrant a 7+ point difference. While Nevada recently ended a losing streak and had previously won eight consecutive games, they should not be underestimated. They are a formidable team. Both New Mexico and Nevada excel in shooting and defense. Nevada's superior free-throw shooting and ability to draw fouls will likely keep the game competitive, but it will not be sufficient for them to secure a victory. Overall, it can be anticipated that New Mexico will finally secure a win against Nevada, but it is doubtful that they will cover the spread. With both teams displaying strong offensive and defensive capabilities, the game promises to be a closely contested one.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NevadaWolfPack#NewMexicoLobos

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wolf Pack vs Lobos archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Wolf Pack vs Lobos matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Nevada Wolf Pack+250 → +337Moved
  • Moneyline · New Mexico Lobos-300 → -430Moved
  • Spread · Nevada Wolf Pack+7 (-110) → +8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New Mexico Lobos-7 (-110) → -8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over153.5 (-110) → 155 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under153.5 (-110) → 155 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Nevada Wolf Pack
15-4 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Mexico Lobos
15-3 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-28T11:35:24.213Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

New Mexico is expected to break their winless streak against Nevada, although they are unlikely to cover the spread of 6.5. These two teams are closely matched, with New Mexico having a slight edge and the advantage of playing at home. However, this advantage is not substantial enough to warrant a 7+ point difference. While Nevada recently ended a losing streak and had previously won eight consecutive games, they should not be underestimated. They are a formidable team. Both New Mexico and Nevada excel in shooting and defense. Nevada's superior free-throw shooting and ability to draw fouls will likely keep the game competitive, but it will not be sufficient for them to secure a victory. Overall, it can be anticipated that New Mexico will finally secure a win against Nevada, but it is doubtful that they will cover the spread. With both teams displaying strong offensive and defensive capabilities, the game promises to be a closely contested one.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-07Nevada Wolf Pack 77 · New Mexico Lobos 76
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New Mexico Lobos defeated Nevada Wolf Pack 89-55

New Mexico Lobos defeated Nevada Wolf Pack 89-55 on January 28, 2024, a 34-point decision in the series. New Mexico Lobos' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 51-31. Against SportsJaw's recorded Nevada Wolf Pack +8.5 (-110) spread, New Mexico Lobos covered, while the 144 combined points finished under the recorded total of 155.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AveragejoeSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110)Loss
  • Kentc_Spread · New Mexico Lobos -8 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 153.5 (-110)Loss
  • StevedTotal · Over 153.5 (-110)Loss
  • 2387960509Spread · Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110)Loss
  • CovergirlSpread · New Mexico Lobos -8 (-110)Win
  • DpxsportsSpread · New Mexico Lobos -8 (-110)Win
  • MiamimikeSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110)Loss
  • 1735203231Spread · New Mexico Lobos -8 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110)Loss
  • Sarah_MillerTotal · Under 154 (-110)Win
  • Sarah_Miller
Spread · New Mexico Lobos -8 (-110)
Win
  • JamescashiolaSpread · New Mexico Lobos -8 (-110)Win
  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · New Mexico Lobos -8 (-110)Win
  • UncledavidTotal · Under 154 (-110)Win
  • UncledavidSpread · New Mexico Lobos -8 (-110)Win
  • MikeVargasSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110)Loss
  • JackCohenSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Spread · Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110)Loss
  • MbcTotal · Over 154 (-110)Loss
  • Barry713Total · Under 154 (-110)Win
  • 1707662905Total · Under 154 (-110)Win
  • 1707662905Spread · New Mexico Lobos -8 (-110)Win
  • DawhizSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110)Loss
  • IrishblueSpread · New Mexico Lobos -8 (-110)Win
  • DoclocksSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · New Mexico Lobos -378Win