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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. SMU Mustangs vs Wichita St. Shockers
Sun 3:00 PM ET
SMU Mustangs logo
SMU
Mustangs72
20-13
versus
Wichita St. Shockers logo
Wichita St.
Shockers77
24-12
Final
Team12T
SMU Mustangs413172
Wichita St. Shockers374077
NCAAB · SMU Mustangs at Wichita St. Shockers

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SMU Mustangs vs Wichita St. Shockers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 28, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET

Venue: Charles Koch Arena — Wichita, KS

Article updated Jan 28, 6:17 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In this short summary, we learn that the SMU Mustangs will be facing off against the Wichita State Shockers in a Sunday afternoon game. The Shockers currently hold a

Game outlook

In this short summary, we learn that the SMU Mustangs will be facing off against the Wichita State Shockers in a Sunday afternoon game. The Shockers currently hold a seven-game winning streak against the Mustangs. The game will take place at Charles Koch Arena at 3:00 p.m. EDT. Despite SMU being the betting favorite with a -5 opening line, there have been no changes in the odds thus far. The outcome of the game will determine whether Wichita State can extend their winning streak or if SMU will bounce back.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mustangs -220 | Shockers +180

Spread: Mustangs -5 (-110) | Shockers +5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 146 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that SMU will win straight-up is 69%.

SMU Mustangs

SMU faced North Texas in a closely contested game that ended with a score of 68-66 in favor of North Texas. This loss brought SMU's record in AAC play to 4-2 and ended their three-game winning streak. Despite this setback, the team looks to bounce back by relying on their strong defense, which ranks 19th nationally according to KenPom. SMU's defense is impressive, allowing only 62.7 points per game on 37.4% shooting, which is 3rd best in the nation. They also excel at defending against three-point shots, with opponents only making 26.5% of their attempts, ranking them third in the country. SMU also has an advantage in rebounding (+5.4) and turnovers (+1.3). Their opponents are only granted an average of 18.5 free throw attempts per game, indicating the difficulty of scoring against SMU's defense. On the offensive end, SMU typically scores 75.7 points per game. Notably, they are unbeaten when they reach or surpass 75 points, including their recent three-game winning streak. The team shoots at a decent clip, making 45.7% of their field goals, 34.7% of their three-pointers, and 69.0% of their free throws. Additionally, SMU secures an average of 13.5 offensive rebounds per game. Led by Zhuric Phelps, who averages 14.7 points per game, SMU's offense can effectively score against most opponents. In terms of power ranking, SMU ranks 10th. They have a relatively average offensive performance, ranking 126th with an average of 76.28 points per game. However, defensively they rank 8th as they allow an average of 62.39 points per game. Overall, SMU holds a 20-13 record this season, with an 11-5-2 against the spread (ATS). Looking at their offensive statistics, they make 45.72% of their field goals (128th rank), 68.94% of their free throws (272nd rank), and 34.62% of their three-pointers (149th rank in the NCAAB). They also average 40.56 rebounds per game (25th rank) and record 16.17 offensive assists and 12.06 turnovers per game (41st and 𝐂𝐔𝐓𝐓𝐓𝐓𝐓𝐓 𝐔𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏 𝐑𝐄𝐄𝐊𝐊𝐊𝐊𝐊𝐊𝐊𝐊𝐊𝐊 #PonyUpDallas | @cutup_reek pic.twitter.com/3sLNV99A9G

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Wichita St. Shockers Analysis

Wichita State's current losing streak has reached eight games, and they have yet to secure a victory in conference play with a 24-12 record. Despite the negative results, one positive aspect of their most recent loss is their defensive performance. Known for their strong defense, Wichita State limited East Carolina to a shooting percentage of 33.8%. Throughout the season, their opponents have typically shot 41.4% from the floor, 32.2% from beyond the three-point line, and averaged 15.4 free throws per game. However, the team's -3.1 turnover margin offsets their +4.9 rebounding differential. Their defensive struggles have led to an average of 77.6 points allowed per game during the losing streak. On the offensive end, Wichita State averages 72.9 points per game despite playing at the 72nd-fastest pace in the nation. They struggle to convert three-pointers, hitting only 31.0% of their attempts, and have a 67.7% free throw percentage. Overall, their field goal percentage stands at 44.8%. Offensive rebounding and ball security are areas of weakness for the Shockers. After a disappointing offensive performance against East Carolina, it remains to be seen if they can improve in future games. Additionally, it is worth mentioning that Wichita State holds a power ranking of 343 and is ranked #231 for offense, averaging 72.89 points per game, and #237 for defense, allowing 73.63 points per game. Their overall record is 8-11, with a 5-12-1 ATS (against the spread) record. In their last three matchups against SMU, Wichita State has lost all three games, with SMU winning two of them ATS. Further statistical breakdown reveals that the Shockers hit an average of 44.79% of their field goals, 67.70% of their free throws, and 30.99% of their three-point attempts. They average 40.79 rebounds per game but struggle with only 11.26 offensive assists and 13.05 turnovers per game. Defensively, they allow opponents to shoot 41.40% from the field, 73.38% from the free-throw line, and 32.16% from beyond the arc. They also average 35.84 defensive rebounds, 14.16 defensive assists, and 9.95

Wichita State Struggles Continue as SMU's Dominant Defense Threatens Victory

The current performance of the Wichita State team leaves much to be desired. Throughout the season, their offense has encountered numerous challenges, struggling to consistently achieve a score of 70 points. Their recent game saw them scoring an underwhelming 52 points, even on their home court. Furthermore, their defensive capabilities have also weakened during this period of consecutive losses, allowing an average of 77.6 points per game since their last strong showing on Wednesday. Contrarily, SMU boasts one of the most formidable defenses in the nation, indicating that the Shockers will likely face significant obstacles in their offensive endeavors. Moreover, the Mustangs exhibit impressive efficiency in their offensive approach, often guaranteeing victory when they surpass a score of 75 points. Given the circumstances, it is highly probable that SMU will emerge triumphant in this matchup, with their defense proving dominant and contributing to a victory against the spread. In conclusion, expect SMU to secure a win in this contest while showcasing their superior defensive prowess.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SMUMustangs#WichitaStShockers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mustangs vs Shockers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mustangs vs Shockers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · SMU Mustangs-220 → -250Moved
  • Moneyline · Wichita St. Shockers+180 → +205Moved
  • Spread · SMU Mustangs-5 (-110) → -6 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Wichita St. Shockers+5 (-110) → +6 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over145 (-110) → 147 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under145 (-110) → 147 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

SMU Mustangs
20-13 matchup record · 7-2-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Wichita St. Shockers
24-12 matchup record · 1-8-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-28T11:17:24.981Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-12SMU Mustangs 89 · Wichita St. Shockers 91
  • 2023-01-22Wichita St. Shockers 71 · SMU Mustangs 69
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Wichita St. Shockers defeated SMU Mustangs 77-72

Wichita St. Shockers defeated SMU Mustangs 77-72 on January 28, 2024, a 5-point decision in the series. Wichita St. Shockers' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 40-31. Against SportsJaw's recorded SMU Mustangs -6 (-110) spread, Wichita St. Shockers covered, while the 149 combined points finished over the recorded total of 147.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AveragejoeTotal · Under 146 (-110)Loss
  • Novacek84Spread · Wichita St. Shockers +5 (-110)Win
  • VegaspatSpread · Wichita St. Shockers +5 (-110)Win
  • MrmisterSpread · Wichita St. Shockers +5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · SMU Mustangs -5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · SMU Mustangs -220Loss
  • JohnTharpSpread · SMU Mustangs -5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · SMU Mustangs -5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 146 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · SMU Mustangs -5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 146 (-110)Win