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  3. Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Pacific Tigers
Sat 10:00 PM ET
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Gonzaga Bulldogs344882
Pacific Tigers353873
NCAAB · Gonzaga Bulldogs at Pacific Tigers

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Louisville Cardinals Favored to Cover Point Spread Against Virginia Cavaliers in Rematch

Game time: January 27, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Alex G. Spanos Center — Stockton, CA

Article updated Jan 27, 6:23 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The upcoming basketball game between the Virginia Cavaliers and the Louisville Cardinals is set to take place on Saturday at noon ET at the KFC Yum! Center. Virginia

Game outlook

The upcoming basketball game between the Virginia Cavaliers and the Louisville Cardinals is set to take place on Saturday at noon ET at the KFC Yum! Center. Virginia currently holds a record of 14-5, with a 5-3 record in ACC competition. In their last game, they defeated NC State 59-53. On the other hand, Louisville has a record of 6-13 and a 1-7 record in ACC play. They recently lost 83-69 to Duke. It is worth noting that Virginia previously defeated Louisville 77-53 on January 3, with strong shooting and rebounding performances. As for the betting odds, Gonzaga opens as the favorite with a point spread of -25.25, which remains unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bulldogs -5,000 | Tigers +1,200

Spread: Bulldogs -25.25 (-110) | Tigers +25.25 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 154.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Gonzaga will win straight-up is 98%.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Virginia's basketball team has been performing below average in terms of scoring, shooting, and rebounding. They average 65.2 points per game, ranking 346th nationally, and have a shooting percentage of 44.2%, ranking 212th. Their three-point shooting percentage is 35.7%, ranking 96th. Their free-throw conversion rate is 64.8%, ranking 344th. In terms of rebounding, they average 30.0 rebounds per game, ranking 313th. However, they excel in assists, ranking 45th with an average of 15.6 per game. They also perform well in terms of turnovers, ranking 3rd with an average of 8.6 per game. On the defensive end, Virginia is much stronger. They allow an average of 57.9 points per game, ranking 2nd nationally. Their opponents have a shooting percentage of 39.4%, ranking 16th. From beyond the arc, opponents shoot 31.5%, ranking 84th. Virginia also performs well in terms of blocks and steals, averaging 4.9 blocks (ranking 30th) and 8.1 steals (ranking 56th) per game. Their opponents average 31.4 rebounds per game (ranking 171st). KenPom ranks Virginia 64th nationally. Their offensive efficiency is ranked 176th, defensive efficiency is ranked 9th, and they are ranked 360th in terms of tempo. In terms of Gonzaga, they have a power ranking of 4 and are ranked 12th offensively, scoring an average of 85.11 points per game. Defensively, they are ranked 98th, allowing an average of 68.21 points per game. They have a record of 14-5 this season, with an 8-10 ATS record. Offensively, Gonzaga has a field goal percentage of 50.25%, ranking 7th nationally. Their free-throw percentage is 68.86%, ranking 274th. From three-point range, they shoot 32.73%, ranking 229th. They average 41.74 rebounds per game, ranking 9th, and have averages of 16.58 offensive assists and 11.00 turnovers per game, ranking 30th and 93rd, respectively. Defensively, Gonzaga allows opponents to shoot

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Pacific Tigers Analysis

Louisville's basketball team has a moderate scoring average of 72.9 points per game, ranking them 233rd in the nation. Their shooting percentage is 43.7 percent, which places them at 238th place. They struggle with shooting beyond the arc, hitting only 32.2 percent, ranking them 258th. However, they excel at free throws, converting 73.5 percent of their attempts, which puts them at 98th place. In terms of other statistics, they average 32.4 rebounds per game (193rd), 11.4 assists (281st), and 12.1 turnovers (183rd). Defensively, the Cardinals struggle and surrender an average of 78.1 points per game, placing them at 324th. Their opponents have a shooting percentage of 46.2 percent (323rd), with a 35.0 percent success rate from downtown (291st). Louisville's defense also lacks in blocks and steals, averaging 2.7 blocks (260th) and 5.3 steals (309th) per game. They commit an average of 16.9 fouls per game, ranking them 169th. Louisville is currently ranked 195th nationally by KenPom. They are 168th in offensive efficiency, 247th in defensive efficiency, and 124th in tempo. In contrast, the Pacific Tigers have a lower power ranking of 358. They struggle on offense, ranking 346th with an average of 65.05 points per game. They have a field goal percentage of 41.69 percent (315th), a free throw percentage of 62.44 percent (356th), and a three-point percentage of 31.00 percent (298th). On defense, they allow a field goal percentage of 47.31 percent (343rd), a free throw percentage of 71.26 percent (187th), and a three-point percentage of 34.51 percent (266th). The Tigers average 27.71 rebounds per game (362nd) and have 14.00 offensive assists (ranked 133rd) and 12.62 turnovers per game. Defensively, they average 37.00 defensive rebounds per game (37th), 13.57 defensive assists (240th), and 12.43 turnovers per game (167th).

Louisville Favored to Cover the Point Spread Against Virginia

Betting Analysis: In recent games, Louisville has demonstrated a strong against the spread record, being victorious in four out of the last five matchups. However, it is unlikely that the Cavaliers will exhibit the same level of efficiency in shooting as they did in their initial encounter, during which they achieved a remarkable 51.7% success rate and scored almost 40 points in each half. Virginia, although one of the lowest-scoring teams in the nation with an average of 65.2 points per game, exhibited dominance in both the paint and beyond the arc. Conversely, the Cardinals' rim defense has been criticized for being subpar. Nevertheless, I am confident that they will perform significantly better when playing in their home court, exerting their energy on the perimeter. While UVA will manage to secure several baskets in the paint, their missed three-point attempts will enable the faster-paced Cardinals to take advantage of scoring opportunities and potentially cover the point spread tomorrow.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#GonzagaBulldogs#PacificTigers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bulldogs vs Tigers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bulldogs vs Tigers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Gonzaga Bulldogs-5,000 → -7,965Moved
  • Moneyline · Pacific Tigers+1,200 → +1,609Moved
  • Spread · Gonzaga Bulldogs-25.25 (-110) → -24.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Pacific Tigers+25.25 (-110) → +24.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over154.25 (-110) → 154 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under154.25 (-110) → 154 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Gonzaga Bulldogs
10-5 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pacific Tigers
1-15 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-27T11:23:03.635Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-21Gonzaga Bulldogs 99 · Pacific Tigers 90
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Gonzaga Bulldogs defeated Pacific Tigers 82-73

Gonzaga Bulldogs defeated Pacific Tigers 82-73 on January 27, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. Gonzaga Bulldogs' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 48-38. Against SportsJaw's recorded Gonzaga Bulldogs -24.5 (-110) spread, Pacific Tigers covered, while the 155 combined points finished over the recorded total of 154.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DengWinsSpread · Pacific Tigers +25.25 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 154.5 (-110)Win
  • 2387960509Moneyline · Gonzaga Bulldogs -5,000Win
  • MrpinkSpread · Gonzaga Bulldogs -25 (-110)Loss