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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Missouri St. Bears vs Valparaiso Crusaders
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Missouri St. Bears logo
Missouri St.
Bears81
10-9
versus
Valparaiso Crusaders logo
Valparaiso
Crusaders70
4-13
Final
Team12T
Missouri St. Bears404181
Valparaiso Crusaders373370
NCAAB · Missouri St. Bears at Valparaiso Crusaders

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Missouri St. Bears vs Valparaiso Crusaders Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 27, 2024 at 4:00 PM ET

Venue: Athletics-Recreation Center — Valparaiso, IN

Article updated Jan 27, 6:35 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Missouri St. Bears are traveling to play the Valparaiso Crusaders at the Athletics-Recreation Center stadium on Saturday, 1/27/2024 @ 4:00pm EST. Missouri St. is the

Game outlook

The Missouri St. Bears are traveling to play the Valparaiso Crusaders at the Athletics-Recreation Center stadium on Saturday, 1/27/2024 @ 4:00pm EST. Missouri St. is the betting favorite opening at -3 and the current line is Missouri St. -4.

Bears vs Beacons Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Beacons to win today's game by 1 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Valparaiso Crusaders to cover the 4 point spread and the total to go over 140.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Missouri St. 72 to Valparaiso 73

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Missouri St. Bears and Valparaiso Crusaders, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts Missouri St. Bears to cover the spread (52%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Missouri St. will win straight-up is 66%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be MOST 74.25, VALPO 66.25.

OddsShark predicts Missouri State will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Missouri St. Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 341, Missouri St. is ranked #282 in offense (scoring an average of 70.11 per game), #122 in defense (allowing an average of 69.63 points to be scored against them per game) and are 11-9 (10-9-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Bears hit an average of 43.30% of their field goals (ranked #261) and 70.84% of their free throws (ranked #202) and makes an average of 31.28% of their three pointers ranked #294 in the NCAAB). They average 38.16 rebounds per game (ranked # 80) and average 12.37 offensive assists and 12.47 turnovers per game (ranked # 260 and 216 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Missouri St. allows an average of 41.11% field goals (ranked #64) and 71.99% free throws (ranked #233 in the NCAAB) The Bears allow an average of 30.22% of the three pointers (ranked #43) and averages 34.37 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.37) Finally, the Bears average 11.47 defensive assists and 9.47 turnovers per game (ranked # 82 and 355 respectively).

Valparaiso Key Betting Stats

Valparaiso Crusaders has a power ranking of 201 and are #315 for offense (scoring an average of 67.89 per game), #176 for defense (giving up an average of 71.68 points per game) and 6-14 (13-6 ATS) overall. Missouri St. went 0-3 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Valparaiso.

For offense, the Beacons hit an average of 40.74% of their field goals (ranked #333) and 72.87% of their free throws (ranked #120) and makes an average of 32.19% of their three pointers (ranked #252 in the NCAAB). They average 35.11 rebounds per game (ranked # 212) and average 12.11 offensive assists and 11.84 turnovers per game (ranked # 275) and 162 respectively).

On defense, Valparaiso allows an average of 44.65% field goals (ranked #253) and 67.37% free throws (ranked #32 in the NCAAB) The Beacons allow an average of 34.18% of the three pointers (ranked #240) and averages 38.00 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 38.00) Finally, the Beacons average 14.37 defensive assists and 12.68 turnovers per game (ranked # 299 and 149 respectively).

Betting Summary

Valparaiso has the advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Valparaiso Crusaders to cover the 4 point spread and the total to go over 140.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MissouriStBears#ValparaisoCrusaders

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bears vs Crusaders archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bears vs Crusaders matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Missouri St. Bears-163 → -192Moved
  • Moneyline · Valparaiso Crusaders+135 → +165Moved
  • Spread · Missouri St. Bears-3 (-110) → -4 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Valparaiso Crusaders+3 (-110) → +4 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over140.5 (-110) → 140.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under140.5 (-110) → 140.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Missouri St. Bears
10-9 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Valparaiso Crusaders
4-13 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-27T11:35:56.380Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Missouri St. Bears and Valparaiso Crusaders, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-01Valparaiso Crusaders 67 · Missouri St. Bears 76
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Missouri St. Bears defeated Valparaiso Crusaders 81-70

Missouri St. Bears defeated Valparaiso Crusaders 81-70 on January 27, 2024, a 11-point decision in the series. Missouri St. Bears' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 41-33. Against SportsJaw's recorded Missouri St. Bears -4 (-110) spread, Missouri St. Bears covered, while the 151 combined points finished over the recorded total of 140.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Valparaiso Crusaders +3.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 139.5 (-110)Win
  • Altuve27Total · Under 139.5 (-110)Loss
  • 2387960509Moneyline · Missouri St. Bears -175Win
  • CoolioSpread · Missouri St. Bears -3.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Missouri St. Bears -3.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 140.25 (-110)Win