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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Virginia Cavaliers vs Louisville Cardinals
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Virginia Cavaliers logo
Virginia
Cavaliers69
11-5
versus
Louisville Cardinals logo
Louisville
Cardinals52
3-13
Final
Team12T
Virginia Cavaliers412869
Louisville Cardinals133952
NCAAB · Virginia Cavaliers at Louisville Cardinals

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Virginia Cavaliers vs Louisville Cardinals Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 27, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: KFC Yum! Center — Louisville, KY

Article updated Jan 27, 6:35 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Virginia Cavaliers are traveling to play the Louisville Cardinals at the KFC Yum! Center stadium on Saturday, 1/27/2024 @ 12:00pm EST. Virginia is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The Virginia Cavaliers are traveling to play the Louisville Cardinals at the KFC Yum! Center stadium on Saturday, 1/27/2024 @ 12:00pm EST. Virginia is the betting favorite opening at -7 and the current line is Virginia -8.5.

Cavaliers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Cardinals to win today's game by 7 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Louisville Cardinals to cover the 8 point spread and the total to go under 129 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Virginia 53 to Louisville 60

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Virginia Cavaliers and Louisville Cardinals, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts Virginia Cavaliers to cover the spread (52%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Virginia will win straight-up is 80%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be VIRGA 73, LOUIS 56.

OddsShark predicts Virginia will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Virginia Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 187, Virginia is ranked #342 in offense (scoring an average of 65.50 per game), #2 in defense (allowing an average of 58.22 points to be scored against them per game) and are 14-5 (10-8-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Cavaliers hit an average of 44.68% of their field goals (ranked #186) and 65.33% of their free throws (ranked #334) and makes an average of 36.31% of their three pointers ranked #68 in the NCAAB). They average 32.11 rebounds per game (ranked # 341) and average 15.72 offensive assists and 8.22 turnovers per game (ranked # 53 and 1 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Virginia allows an average of 39.77% field goals (ranked #26) and 71.91% free throws (ranked #228 in the NCAAB) The Cavaliers allow an average of 31.57% of the three pointers (ranked #88) and averages 34.44 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.44) Finally, the Cavaliers average 11.33 defensive assists and 13.78 turnovers per game (ranked # 71 and 80 respectively).

Louisville Key Betting Stats

Louisville Cardinals has a power ranking of 349 and are #230 for offense (scoring an average of 72.89 per game), #324 for defense (giving up an average of 78.11 points per game) and 6-13 (7-9-3 ATS) overall. Virginia went 0-3 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Louisville.

For offense, the Cardinals hit an average of 43.68% of their field goals (ranked #238) and 73.47% of their free throws (ranked #101) and makes an average of 32.18% of their three pointers (ranked #253 in the NCAAB). They average 34.84 rebounds per game (ranked # 228) and average 11.37 offensive assists and 12.11 turnovers per game (ranked # 315) and 188 respectively).

On defense, Louisville allows an average of 46.17% field goals (ranked #324) and 74.51% free throws (ranked #323 in the NCAAB) The Cardinals allow an average of 35.03% of the three pointers (ranked #287) and averages 35.68 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 35.68) Finally, the Cardinals average 15.37 defensive assists and 11.53 turnovers per game (ranked # 337 and 255 respectively).

Betting Summary

Virginia has advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Louisville Cardinals to cover the 8 point spread and the total to go under 129 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#VirginiaCavaliers#LouisvilleCardinals

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cavaliers vs Cardinals archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Cavaliers vs Cardinals matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Virginia Cavaliers-330 → -405Moved
  • Moneyline · Louisville Cardinals+258 → +320Moved
  • Spread · Virginia Cavaliers-7 (-110) → -8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Louisville Cardinals+7 (-110) → +8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over129.5 (-110) → 129 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under129.5 (-110) → 129 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Virginia Cavaliers
11-5 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Louisville Cardinals
3-13 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-27T11:35:15.714Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Virginia Cavaliers and Louisville Cardinals, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-03Louisville Cardinals 53 · Virginia Cavaliers 77
  • 2023-03-04Louisville Cardinals 60 · Virginia Cavaliers 75
  • 2023-02-15Virginia Cavaliers 61 · Louisville Cardinals 58
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Virginia Cavaliers defeated Louisville Cardinals 69-52

Virginia Cavaliers defeated Louisville Cardinals 69-52 on January 27, 2024, a 17-point decision in the series. Virginia Cavaliers' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 41-13. Against SportsJaw's recorded Virginia Cavaliers -8.5 (-110) spread, Virginia Cavaliers covered, while the 121 combined points finished under the recorded total of 129.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Virginia Cavaliers -9 (-110)Win