San Diego St. Aztecs vs
Nevada Wolf PackPredictions & Preview

Nevada Wolf Pack Set to Face San Diego State in Highly Anticipated College Basketball Matchup

On Saturday, January 25, 2025, college basketball fans can look forward to a matchup between San Diego State and Nevada at Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV. Both teams have had success in previous meetings, splitting a two-game set in the 2023-24 season. Despite Nevada being the betting favorite with a -3.5 point spread that has not moved, this game is sure to be an exciting one to watch. Stay tuned for our Aztecs vs. Wolf Pack prediction and other NCAAB picks for Saturday.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Aztecs +142 | Wolf Pack -173
• Spread: Aztecs +3.5 (-110) | Wolf Pack -3.5 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 131 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Nevada will win straight-up is 63%.

San Diego St. vs Nevada Stats

San Diego St. Aztecs

The San Diego State Aztecs have had some recent struggles, dropping two of their last four games. However, they managed to bounce back with an overtime victory against Air Force, with Wayne McKinney hitting a buzzer-beating layup for the win. Despite their offensive and defensive efficiency rankings, the team's performance in conference play has been less impressive. The Aztecs are ranked 245th in offense and 16th in defense, with notable statistics in field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and three-point shooting. On the defensive end, they excel in field goal percentage and defending the three-pointer. Overall, the team has a power ranking of 47 and a record of 12-5, with areas to improve on both offensively and defensively.

Nevada Wolf Pack Analysis

The Nevada Wolf Pack recently experienced a tough loss to Utah State, ending a three-game winning streak. Despite strong performances from players like junior forward Nick Davidson and senior guard Kobe Sanders, the team struggled defensively, allowing Utah State to shoot 58.9% from the field. Overall, the Wolf Pack has shown strength on offense, ranking 33rd in field goal percentage and 19th in three-point percentage in the country. However, their defensive efficiency ranks lower, with room for improvement in field goal and three-point defense. Despite these challenges, the team maintains an overall record of 11-8 and has shown potential for success moving forward.

Nevada Holds Key Statistical Advantages Over San Diego State, Favoring Bettors

Nevada has historically performed well against San Diego State, boasting an 8-1 ATS record in their last nine meetings. This trend suggests a favorable position for bettors. While the Aztecs have a strong defensive unit, their offensive struggles in recent conference games are apparent. Additionally, San Diego State's defensive weakness in free-throw rate, ranking 307th nationally, provides an opportunity for Nevada to capitalize. The Aztecs' recent game against Air Force highlighted this vulnerability, with 44 free-throw attempts allowed. In contrast, the Wolf Pack's proficiency at getting to the free-throw line, ranked 64th nationally, is a strength to leverage. Furthermore, Nevada's superior rebounding performance compared to San Diego State presents another advantage, with the Wolf Pack ranking 16th in defensive rebound percentage. This factor will prove crucial in determining the outcome of this matchup.

Sources: [ 2 ] [ 3 ]