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  3. Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers
Tue 9:00 PM ET
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Purdue Boilermakers logo
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14-2
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Michigan Wolverines254267
Purdue Boilermakers495099
NCAAB · Michigan Wolverines at Purdue Boilermakers

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Michigan Wolverines Set to Take on #2 Ranked Purdue Boilermakers in Big Ten Basketball Showdown

Game time: January 23, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Mackey Arena — West Lafayette, IN

Article updated Jan 22, 10:35 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In a highly anticipated Big Ten basketball matchup, the Michigan Wolverines are set to face off against the #2 ranked Purdue Boilermakers. The Wolverines have had a

Game outlook

In a highly anticipated Big Ten basketball matchup, the Michigan Wolverines are set to face off against the #2 ranked Purdue Boilermakers. The Wolverines have had a challenging season with a 7-11 overall record and a 2-5 record in the Big Ten conference. In their most recent game, they suffered a defeat against Illinois, losing 88-73 and failing to cover as 2.5-point home underdogs. On the other hand, the Boilermakers have been in impressive form with a 17-2 overall record and a 6-2 record in the Big Ten. In their previous game, they secured a convincing 84-70 victory over Iowa as 6.5-point road favorites. Last season, Purdue emerged victorious in the only matchup between these teams, winning by a five-point margin on the road. Currently, Purdue is heavily favored, with the opening line set at -17 and the current line at -17.5. The game is scheduled for 9:00 EST at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette and will be available for viewing on Peacock.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Wolverines +1,018 | Boilermakers -2,056

Spread: Wolverines +17.5 (-110) | Boilermakers -17.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 152.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Purdue will win straight-up is 95%.

Michigan Wolverines

The Michigan Wolverines are currently in an unfamiliar position at the bottom of the Big Ten standings with a 2-5 league record. They have lost six of their last seven games, with their only win coming against Ohio State at home. Forward Tarris Reed Jr led the team with 20 points in their recent loss to Illinois. However, leading scorer Dug McDaniel will be suspended for this game, leaving Olivier Nkamhoua as their top scorer. Nkamhoua, a physical 6'8 forward, is averaging 17.0 PPG and 7.3 RPG on the season. Terrance Williams II is the team's top shooter, with 40 threes on the season and shooting 43.0% from deep. Michigan is currently ranked 79th overall according to KenPom, with a ranking of 45th in offensive efficiency and 139th in defensive efficiency. They do not play fast on offense, ranking 212th in tempo. Despite the Big Ten projected to have six teams in the NCAA Tournament, Michigan is currently on the outside looking in. F Tray Jackson is questionable for the upcoming game with an average of 5.5 PPG. Offensively, Michigan scores an average of 79.33 points per game, shooting 47.32% from the field and 71.35% from the free-throw line. They make an average of 37.80% of their three-pointers. Defensively, they allow opponents to score an average of 77.61 points per game, with opponents shooting 44.49% from the field and 72.25% from the free-throw line. They allow opponents to make an average of 33.86% of their three-pointers. Michigan averages 37.17 rebounds per game and commits an average of 12.78 turnovers per game on offense. Defensively, they average 34.67 defensive rebounds and commit an average of 10.11 turnovers per game. The bench loved that one. 😎 @umichbball pic.twitter.com/sRaXrwqUrc

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Purdue Boilermakers Analysis

The Purdue Boilermakers are a highly ranked team in college basketball, currently ranked 2nd overall according to KenPom and the number one overall seed according to Bracketology. Although they do not lead their conference, they have been performing well recently, with their only two losses coming in road conference games against Northwestern and Nebraska. They have won their last three games, with Zach Edey leading the team in scoring with an impressive 23.3 points per game. Edey, a 7'4, 300-pound senior, has been dominating the conference and has scored 30 or more points in his last three games. He has also recorded a 30 point, 20 rebound game against Penn State, showcasing his talents both offensively and defensively. In addition to Edey, Purdue has three guards who contribute to the team's success, with Lance Jones, Braden Smith, and Fletcher Loyer averaging 11 points each. Jones leads the team in three-pointers made. Purdue has a strong offensive and defensive efficiency, ranking 2nd in offensive efficiency and 13th in defensive efficiency in the nation. They play at a similar pace to Michigan and have a power ranking of 21. Offensively, the Boilermakers excel in shooting percentages, with high field goal, free throw, and three-point percentages. They also excel in rebounds and assists. Defensively, they have solid percentages in field goal and three-point defense, as well as in rebounding. They average a high number of defensive assists but have a moderate number of turnovers. Overall, the Purdue Boilermakers are a strong team that excels in offense, defense, and various statistical categories. They have been performing well in recent games and have a key player in Zach Edey leading their scoring efforts. 🔨🔨🔨🔨🔨 PTS: 30 REBS: 18 BLKS: 4 ASTS: 2 ✅: Just 5 performances of at least 30-18-2-4 in the last 15 years. Only one by a major-college player. pic.twitter.com/MkaEtnerb4

Michigan's Abundant Talent and Strategic Advantages Suggest an Upset Over Purdue

The current numerical figure has reached an unreasonably high point, and the recent performance of each team does not provide sufficient evidence to support the notion of an assured overwhelming victory. Purdue, although a formidable team, has failed to meet the spread in their past three games as double-digit favorites. Their aim to control the tempo by employing Edey's skills and taking their time offensively has hindered their ability to secure wins with a margin of 20 or more points. While it is true that Michigan will be without McDaniel in this match, their roster boasts an abundance of talent that will enable them to compete closely. Despite Nkamhoua's lack of size compared to Edey, his presence will create matchup difficulties for Purdue's defensive strategy when Michigan possesses the ball. Additionally, Michigan possesses numerous forwards who can effectively counter Edey, and Burnett's expertise in outside scoring will provide an added advantage. In light of these factors, it is evident that the current assessment of the game's outcome is exaggerated. It is recommended to favor Michigan in this matchup and anticipate them covering the significant spread.

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Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Pick on the Total

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wolverines vs Boilermakers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Wolverines vs Boilermakers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Michigan Wolverines+1,300 → +1,000Moved
  • Moneyline · Purdue Boilermakers-5,000 → -2,200Moved
  • Spread · Michigan Wolverines+17 (-110) → +17.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Purdue Boilermakers-17 (-110) → -17.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over152 (-110) → 152.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under152 (-110) → 152.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Michigan Wolverines
6-10 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Purdue Boilermakers
14-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-23T03:35:35.168Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Michigan Wolverines are currently in an unfamiliar position at the bottom of the Big Ten standings with a 2-5 league record. They have lost six of their last seven games, with their only win coming against Ohio State at home. Forward Tarris Reed Jr led the team with 20 points in their recent loss to Illinois. However, leading scorer Dug McDaniel will be suspended for this game, leaving Olivier Nkamhoua as their top scorer. Nkamhoua, a physical 6'8 forward, is averaging 17.0 PPG and 7.3 RPG on the season. Terrance Williams II is the team's top shooter, with 40 threes on the season and shooting 43.0% from deep. Michigan is currently ranked 79th overall according to KenPom, with a ranking of 45th in offensive efficiency and 139th in defensive efficiency. They do not play fast on offense, ranking 212th in tempo. Despite the Big Ten projected to have six teams in the NCAA Tournament, Michigan is currently on the outside looking in. F Tray Jackson is questionable for the upcoming game with an average of 5.5 PPG. Offensively, Michigan scores an average of 79.33 points per game, shooting 47.32% from the field and 71.35% from the free-throw line. They make an average of 37.80% of their three-pointers. Defensively, they allow opponents to score an average of 77.61 points per game, with opponents shooting 44.49% from the field and 72.25% from the free-throw line. They allow opponents to make an average of 33.86% of their three-pointers. Michigan averages 37.17 rebounds per game and commits an average of 12.78 turnovers per game on offense. Defensively, they average 34.67 defensive rebounds and commit an average of 10.11 turnovers per game. The bench loved that one. 😎 @umichbball pic.twitter.com/sRaXrwqUrc

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Purdue Boilermakers defeated Michigan Wolverines 99-67

Purdue Boilermakers defeated Michigan Wolverines 99-67 on January 23, 2024, a 32-point decision in the series. Purdue Boilermakers' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 49-25. Against SportsJaw's recorded Michigan Wolverines +17.5 (-110) spread, Purdue Boilermakers covered, while the 166 combined points finished over the recorded total of 152.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • PurplebloodTotal · Under 152 (-110)Loss
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Over 152 (-110)Win
  • 1707662905Spread · Michigan Wolverines +17.5 (-110)Loss