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NCAAB PicksSat 7:30 PM ET
TA
Tarleton St.
Texans77
14-18
versus
UT
UT Rio Grande Valley73
Final
Team12T
Tarleton St. Texans265177
UT Rio Grande Valley403373
NCAAB · Tarleton St. Texans at UT Rio Grande Valley

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Tarleton St. Texans vs UT Rio Grande Valley Predictions January 20, 2024

Game time: January 20, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: UTRGV Fieldhouse — Edinburg, TX

Article updated Jan 20, 6:36 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Tarleton St. Texans are on the road playing the UT Rio Grande Valley at the UTRGV Fieldhouse stadium on Saturday, 1/20/2024 @ 7:30pm EST. Tarleton St. is the betting

Game outlook

The Tarleton St. Texans are on the road playing the UT Rio Grande Valley at the UTRGV Fieldhouse stadium on Saturday, 1/20/2024 @ 7:30pm EST. Tarleton St. is the betting favorite opening at -3 and the line hasn't moved.

Texans vs Vaqueros Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Texans to win tonight's game by 2 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the UT Rio Grande Valley to cover the 3 point spread and the total to go under 144 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Tarleton St. 71 to UT Rio Grande Valley 69

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Tarleton St. Texans and UT Rio Grande Valley, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

51% of SportsJaw players predict UT Rio Grande Valley to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tarleton St. will win straight-up is 60%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be tar 75, RIO 69.

OddsShark 's prediction is Tarleton State will win, utrgv will cover, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Tarleton St. Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 282, Tarleton St. is ranked #292 in offense (scoring an average of 69.44 per game), #45 in defense (allowing an average of 65.56 points to be scored against them per game) and are 11-6 (7-7 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Texans hit an average of 43.78% of their field goals (ranked #234) and 73.56% of their free throws (ranked #97) and makes an average of 29.56% of their three pointers ranked #332 in the NCAAB). They average 34.38 rebounds per game (ranked # 265) and average 12.38 offensive assists and 11.94 turnovers per game (ranked # 264 and 158 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Tarleton St. allows an average of 42.81% field goals (ranked #151) and 66.78% free throws (ranked #24 in the NCAAB) The Texans allow an average of 33.13% of the three pointers (ranked #184) and averages 34.88 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.88) Finally, the Texans average 12.06 defensive assists and 14.81 turnovers per game (ranked # 121 and 48 respectively).

UT Rio Grande Valley Key Betting Stats

UT Rio Grande Valley has a power ranking of 211 and are #169 for offense (scoring an average of 75.25 per game), #339 for defense (giving up an average of 79.25 points per game) and 6-11 (7-8 ATS) overall. Tarleton St. went 1-2 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against UT Rio Grande Valley.

For offense, the Vaqueros hit an average of 43.55% of their field goals (ranked #246) and 68.84% of their free throws (ranked #271) and makes an average of 28.67% of their three pointers (ranked #344 in the NCAAB). They average 35.06 rebounds per game (ranked # 223) and average 13.75 offensive assists and 15.13 turnovers per game (ranked # 158) and 345 respectively).

On defense, UT Rio Grande Valley allows an average of 45.26% field goals (ranked #292) and 74.66% free throws (ranked #330 in the NCAAB) The Vaqueros allow an average of 33.76% of the three pointers (ranked #231) and averages 39.88 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 39.88) Finally, the Vaqueros average 15.75 defensive assists and 15.94 turnovers per game (ranked # 347 and 20 respectively).

Betting Summary

Tarleton St. has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the UT Rio Grande Valley to cover the 3 point spread and the total to go under 144 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Texans vs UT Rio Grande Valley archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tarleton St. Texans-145 → -175Moved
  • Moneyline · UT Rio Grande Valley+120 → +155Moved
  • Spread · Tarleton St. Texans-3 (-110) → -4 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · UT Rio Grande Valley+3 (-110) → +4 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over145.5 (-110) → 144 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under145.5 (-110) → 144 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Tarleton St. Texans
14-18 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
UT Rio Grande Valley
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-20T11:36:39.376Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Tarleton St. Texans and UT Rio Grande Valley, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-11Tarleton St. Texans 63 · California Baptist 77
  • 2023-12-02UT Rio Grande Valley 75 · Tarleton St. Texans 77
  • 2023-03-07UT Rio Grande Valley 70 · Tarleton St. Texans 74
  • 2023-02-25Tarleton St. Texans 95 · UT Rio Grande Valley 99
  • 2023-02-11Tarleton St. Texans 75 · Utah Tech 71
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Tarleton St. Texans defeated UT Rio Grande Valley 77-73

Tarleton St. Texans defeated UT Rio Grande Valley 77-73 on January 20, 2024, a 4-point decision in the series. Tarleton St. Texans' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 51-33. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tarleton St. Texans -4 (-110) spread, the spread pushed, while the 150 combined points finished over the recorded total of 144.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MbcSpread · UT Rio Grande Valley +3 (-110)Loss