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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Baylor Bears vs Texas Longhorns
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Baylor Bears logo
Baylor
Bears73
9-3
versus
Texas Longhorns logo
Texas
Longhorns75
8-5
Final
Team12T
Baylor Bears413273
Texas Longhorns423375
NCAAB · Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns

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Baylor Bears vs Texas Longhorns Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 20, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Moody Center — Austin, TX

Article updated Jan 20, 6:17 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In a highly anticipated Big 12 basketball game, the #9 ranked Baylor Bears (14-3, 3-1 Big 12) will face off against the Texas Longhorns (12-5, 1-3 Big 12). Baylor is looking

Game outlook

In a highly anticipated Big 12 basketball game, the #9 ranked Baylor Bears (14-3, 3-1 Big 12) will face off against the Texas Longhorns (12-5, 1-3 Big 12). Baylor is looking to bounce back after their recent loss to Kansas State, while Texas hopes to recover from their defeat against UCF. The two teams split their previous-season matchups, with the home team emerging victorious in each game. The game is set to begin at 12:00 PM EST at the Moody Center in Austin, Texas and will be broadcast nationally on ESPN. As of now, Texas opens as the favorite, with a -3.5 point spread which has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bears +140 | Longhorns -168

Spread: Bears +3.5 (-110) | Longhorns -3.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 146.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Texas will win straight-up is 63%.

Baylor Bears

The Baylor Bears were on a five-game winning streak and climbing in the AP Polls until they suffered a loss to Kansas State. Despite Kansas State being unranked, they are still considered a strong program. Baylor has no bad losses this season, with their only defeats coming from Michigan State, Duke, and Kansas State. In their last game against Kansas State, guard Langston Love led Baylor with 15 points off the bench. Baylor's leading scorer is freshman guard Ja'Kobe Walter, who is averaging 14.8 points per game. However, he is projected to enter the NBA Draft after this season. Senior guard RayJ Dennis adds 13.4 points per game and has the team's highest assists per game average at 6.2. Langston Love, a sophomore scorer off the bench, averages 11.6 points per game. Jalen Bridges, a senior forward, contributes 10.4 points and 4.6 rebounds per game, while 7-foot freshman Yves Missi starts at center and averages 9.6 points and 6.3 rebounds per game. Baylor is currently ranked 15th overall according to KenPom and excels offensively, ranking 5th in the nation in efficiency. Their defense ranks 47th in efficiency. They have a slower pace of play, ranking 214th in tempo. In Bracketology, Baylor is currently projected to be a 3-seed in the tournament. In terms of statistical rankings, Baylor is ranked 16th in offense, scoring an average of 84.76 points per game. Defensively, they are ranked 109th, allowing an average of 68.82 points per game. Baylor has a strong field goal percentage of 49.61% (ranked 14th), a decent free throw percentage of 71.93% (ranked 153rd), and a strong three-point percentage of 40.37% (ranked 4th). They average 36.47 rebounds per game (ranked 171st), 15.65 offensive assists (ranked 62nd), and 11.47 turnovers per game (ranked 120th). Defensively, Baylor allows opponents to shoot 43.72% from the field (ranked 214th), 73.61% from the free throw line (ranked 296th), and 30.36% from three-point Let him cook👨‍🍳 BU 64, KSU 59 | 1:12 OT @rayjdennis10 #SicEm | #CultureofJOY pic.twitter.com/ColjBPdDjO

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Texas Longhorns Analysis

Texas Longhorn basketball coach Rodney Terry was offended by UCF players signaling "Horns Down" after their loss. The Longhorns have been struggling, losing three of their last four games, and their chances of making the tournament are in jeopardy. In their most recent game against UCF, guard Ithiel Horton led the team with 20 points, having previously struggled to score in his last three games. Senior guard Max Abmas is the leading scorer for Texas, averaging 17.8 points per game and showcasing his outside shooting ability. Dylan Disu provides size and contributes 14.1 points per game, while Tyrese Hunter adds 12.1 points and 4.3 assists per game. Dillon Mitchell is a promising post player with potential for an NBA future, averaging 11.3 points and a team-high 8.8 rebounds per game. Texas currently ranks 48th overall according to KenPom, with a 47th ranking in offensive efficiency and 64th in defensive efficiency. They play at a similar pace as Baylor, ranking 199th in tempo. While they are not projected to make the NCAA Tournament, quality conference wins could improve their chances. As for injuries, none have been listed. The Longhorns' power ranking is 46, and their offensive rank is 101, scoring an average of 77.69 points per game. Their defensive rank is 69, allowing an average of 66.44 points per game. They hold a 12-5 (5-12 ATS) record overall. In their last three matchups against Texas, Baylor went 1-2 (1-2 ATS). The Longhorns have impressive shooting percentages, making 48.10% of their field goals, 74.31% of their free throws, and 36.62% of their three-pointers. They average 37.06 rebounds per game and have 15.75 offensive assists and 12.69 turnovers per game. Defensively, they allow opponents to make 40.85% of their field goals and 67.86% of their free throws. They allow 33.67% of three-pointers and average 33.44 defensive rebounds per game. Finally, they have 10.75 defensive assists and 13.44 turnovers per game. season high 20 points for IT 🔥🤘 #HookEm pic.twitter.com/H5eejrWDFf

Longhorns Seek Redemption and Victory in Critical Matchup at Home

The upcoming nationally televised matchup at home presents a critical opportunity for the Longhorns to redeem themselves. Coach Terry's leadership will foster a collective determination within the team, as they adopt an us-against-the-world mentality following the Horns Down incident with UCF. Given Texas's abundant talent, it is improbable for them to continue underperforming on their home turf. It is worth noting that they started the season with an impressive ranking of 18th in the Top 25, a testament to their abilities. In terms of size, Texas possesses formidable assets that can compete effectively against Baylor's front line. With athletic forwards Disu and Mitchell, along with the presence of 6'11 senior Kadin Shedrick, the Longhorns possess the necessary strength and skill near the rim. Furthermore, Max Abmas stands out as the game's premier scorer and exhibits a higher level of dependability in challenging situations compared to Baylor's star player. Conversely, Ja'Kobe Walter, though regarded as a potential professional player, has demonstrated inconsistency in major away games. His recent performances at Kansas State and Oklahoma State, where he accumulated just eight and seven points respectively, underscore this fact. Walter's combined shooting performance of 5-22 in those two games raises questions about his ability to perform under pressure. Texas finds itself in a precarious situation and urgently needs a consequential victory to salvage the season. Consequently, they can be expected to demonstrate tenacity and capitalize on the momentum generated by the postgame incident with UCF. This game carries immense significance for Texas, while for Baylor, it remains just another Saturday. Considering these factors, it would be prudent to support the Longhorns' potential for success in this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BaylorBears#TexasLonghorns

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bears vs Longhorns archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bears vs Longhorns matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Baylor Bears+140 → +128Moved
  • Moneyline · Texas Longhorns-168 → -150Moved
  • Spread · Baylor Bears+3.5 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Texas Longhorns-3.5 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over146.5 (-110) → 146.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under146.5 (-110) → 146.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Baylor Bears
9-3 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Texas Longhorns
8-5 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-20T11:17:04.617Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Texas Longhorn basketball coach Rodney Terry was offended by UCF players signaling "Horns Down" after their loss. The Longhorns have been struggling, losing three of their last four games, and their chances of making the tournament are in jeopardy. In their most recent game against UCF, guard Ithiel Horton led the team with 20 points, having previously struggled to score in his last three games. Senior guard Max Abmas is the leading scorer for Texas, averaging 17.8 points per game and showcasing his outside shooting ability. Dylan Disu provides size and contributes 14.1 points per game, while Tyrese Hunter adds 12.1 points and 4.3 assists per game. Dillon Mitchell is a promising post player with potential for an NBA future, averaging 11.3 points and a team-high 8.8 rebounds per game. Texas currently ranks 48th overall according to KenPom, with a 47th ranking in offensive efficiency and 64th in defensive efficiency. They play at a similar pace as Baylor, ranking 199th in tempo. While they are not projected to make the NCAA Tournament, quality conference wins could improve their chances. As for injuries, none have been listed. The Longhorns' power ranking is 46, and their offensive rank is 101, scoring an average of 77.69 points per game. Their defensive rank is 69, allowing an average of 66.44 points per game. They hold a 12-5 (5-12 ATS) record overall. In their last three matchups against Texas, Baylor went 1-2 (1-2 ATS). The Longhorns have impressive shooting percentages, making 48.10% of their field goals, 74.31% of their free throws, and 36.62% of their three-pointers. They average 37.06 rebounds per game and have 15.75 offensive assists and 12.69 turnovers per game. Defensively, they allow opponents to make 40.85% of their field goals and 67.86% of their free throws. They allow 33.67% of three-pointers and average 33.44 defensive rebounds per game. Finally, they have 10.75 defensive assists and 13.44 turnovers per game. season high 20 points for IT 🔥🤘 #HookEm pic.twitter.com/H5eejrWDFf

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-25Texas Longhorns 72 · Baylor Bears 81
  • 2023-01-30Baylor Bears 71 · Texas Longhorns 76
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas Longhorns defeated Baylor Bears 75-73

Texas Longhorns defeated Baylor Bears 75-73 on January 20, 2024, a 2-point decision in the series. Texas Longhorns' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 42-41. Against SportsJaw's recorded Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110) spread, Baylor Bears covered, while the 148 combined points finished over the recorded total of 146.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Baylor Bears +3.5 (-110)Win