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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi St. Bulldogs
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Vanderbilt Commodores logo
Vanderbilt
Commodores55
2-11
versus
Mississippi St. Bulldogs logo
Mississippi St.
Bulldogs68
9-4
Final
Team12T
Vanderbilt Commodores213455
Mississippi St. Bulldogs363268
NCAAB · Vanderbilt Commodores at Mississippi St. Bulldogs

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Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi St. Bulldogs Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 20, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Humphrey Coliseum — Starkville, MS

Article updated Jan 20, 6:23 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This content provides a brief overview of an upcoming SEC basketball game between the Vanderbilt Commodores and the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Commodores currently hold

Game outlook

This content provides a brief overview of an upcoming SEC basketball game between the Vanderbilt Commodores and the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Commodores currently hold a record of 5-12 for the season and have not achieved a victory in the four SEC games played so far. On the other hand, the Bulldogs have a stronger performance with a 12-5 overall record but have only won one of their SEC games. The game is set to start at 3:30 PM EST. According to betting odds, Mississippi State is favored to win with an initial spread of -14, but the current line has moved to -13.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Commodores +663 | Bulldogs -1,050

Spread: Commodores +13 (-110) | Bulldogs -13 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 138.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Mississippi St. will win straight-up is 91%.

Vanderbilt Commodores

The Vanderbilt Commodores have struggled in the SEC, losing their fourth consecutive conference game to the Auburn Tigers. Despite the efforts of players like Tyrin Lawrence and Jason Rivera-Torres, the Commodores have yet to secure a win in SEC play and are currently ranked 275th in scoring offense, 327th in field goal shooting, and 337th in 3-point shooting. Defensively, they are ranked 160th in scoring defense, 176th in field goal defense, and 342nd in 3-point defense. The team is slightly above average in turnovers per game and total rebounds per game. In terms of power rankings, Vanderbilt is ranked 209th and their offense and defense are ranked 315th and 197th respectively. They have a record of 5-12 this season and have struggled in field goal and free throw shooting, as well as three-point shooting. Defensively, they allow a high percentage of field goals and free throws, as well as three-point shots. They average a decent number of rebounds per game but struggle with both offensive assists and turnovers. Ezzzzzzzzzzz 😤 pic.twitter.com/Hp75ZVpkIW

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Mississippi St. Bulldogs Analysis

The Mississippi State Bulldogs recently suffered a two-game losing streak, with their most recent loss against the 8th-ranked Kentucky Wildcats. Tolu Smith III stood out for the Bulldogs, scoring 26 points and grabbing eight rebounds. Despite falling behind in the first half, the Bulldogs made a comeback in the second half, although they were ultimately unable to sustain it. In terms of performance, Mississippi State had a strong nonconference play but has struggled in the SEC, earning only one win in four games. They currently have the 111th-ranked scoring offense in the nation, ranking 118th in field goal percentage and 235th in 3-point field goal percentage. However, their defense has been impressive, ranking 46th in scoring defense, 43rd in field goal defense, and 9th in 3-point defense. The team has had some issues with turnovers, ranking 238th in the country in turnovers per game. On the rebounding side, the Bulldogs rank 58th in the nation. In terms of their power ranking, Mississippi State ranks 71st and has an offense ranked 166th, with an average of 75.35 points per game. On defense, they rank 63rd, allowing an average of 66.29 points per game. The team's overall record stands at 12-5, with a 9-8 ATS (against the spread) performance. In their previous three matchups against Vanderbilt, Mississippi State won two out of three. Looking at their offensive performance, the Bulldogs have a field goal percentage of 45.19%, ranking 160th, and a free throw percentage of 70.73%, ranking 203rd. Their 3-point shooting percentage is 32.16%, placing them at rank 255 in the NCAAB. The team averages 38.35 rebounds per game, ranking 82nd, and has an average of 15.00 offensive assists and 12.88 turnovers per game, ranking 90th and 243rd, respectively. Defensively, Mississippi State allows opponents to make 40.41% of their field goals, ranking 52nd, and 71.73% of their free throws, ranking 219th. They have been effective against 3-point shooting, allowing opponents to make 27.86% of their shots, ranking 13th. Defensively, the team averages 32.41 defensive rebounds per game, ranking at 10-0 Run in 1:15! The Dawgs open up the half on 🔥 and cut the lead to 6! Wildcats call time! #HailState 🐶 || 📺 » https://t.co/GhnB3wCiiW pic.twitter.com/ErBInAokmh

Mississippi State Bulldogs Set to Dominate Vanderbilt with Strong Offense and Defense

Despite their combined 1-7 SEC record, the Bulldogs prove themselves as the stronger team compared to Vanderbilt. The Bulldogs exhibit a more proficient offensive prowess, in stark contrast to Vanderbilt's ranking of 275th in national scoring offense. Notably, Vanderbilt's poor shooting performance, particularly beyond the arc, is expected to persist against Mississippi State. The latter excels defensively, particularly in terms of perimeter defense. Moreover, Mississippi State's overall defensive abilities outshine those of Vanderbilt, enabling them to effectively contain the Commodores' struggling offense this season. Mississippi State's emphasis on high-volume 3-point shooting, albeit not always accurate, should still grant them quality opportunities against Vanderbilt's defense, which is ranked 342nd in the nation in 3-point defense. Thus, the logical choice lies with the Bulldogs.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Commodores vs Bulldogs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Commodores vs Bulldogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Vanderbilt Commodores+900 → +650Moved
  • Moneyline · Mississippi St. Bulldogs-1,600 → -1,000Moved
  • Spread · Vanderbilt Commodores+14 (-110) → +13 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs-14 (-110) → -13 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over138.5 (-110) → 137 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under138.5 (-110) → 137 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Vanderbilt Commodores
2-11 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Mississippi St. Bulldogs
9-4 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-20T11:23:07.913Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-03-04Mississippi St. Bulldogs 72 · Vanderbilt Commodores 77
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Mississippi St. Bulldogs defeated Vanderbilt Commodores 68-55

Mississippi St. Bulldogs defeated Vanderbilt Commodores 68-55 on January 20, 2024, a 13-point decision in the series. Mississippi St. Bulldogs' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 36-21. Against SportsJaw's recorded Vanderbilt Commodores +13 (-110) spread, the spread pushed, while the 123 combined points finished under the recorded total of 137.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs -13 (-110)Push
  • JohnnywalkerSpread · Vanderbilt Commodores +13 (-110)Push
  • CoolioSpread · Vanderbilt Commodores +13 (-110)Push
  • CoolioTotal · Over 138 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs -13 (-110)Push
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 138 (-110)Loss