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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Illinois St. Redbirds vs Missouri St. Bears
Sat 2:00 PM ET
Illinois St. Redbirds logo
Illinois St.
Redbirds69
7-9
versus
Missouri St. Bears logo
Missouri St.
Bears60
9-8
Final
Team12T
Illinois St. Redbirds422769
Missouri St. Bears332760
NCAAB · Illinois St. Redbirds at Missouri St. Bears

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Illinois St. Redbirds vs Missouri St. Bears Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 20, 2024 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: Great Southern Bank Arena — Springfield, MO

Article updated Jan 20, 6:21 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Illinois State Redbirds will be facing the Missouri State Bears in a Missouri Valley Conference game at Great Southern Bank Arena. The Redbirds are currently on a losing

Game outlook

The Illinois State Redbirds will be facing the Missouri State Bears in a Missouri Valley Conference game at Great Southern Bank Arena. The Redbirds are currently on a losing streak, having lost their last six games, including a recent home defeat against the Drake Bulldogs. The Bears, on the other hand, are coming off a road loss against the Indiana State Sycamores. In terms of betting odds, Missouri State is favored to win with an opening line of -6.5, which has since shifted to -6.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Redbirds +210 | Bears -260

Spread: Redbirds +6 (-110) | Bears -6 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 135 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Missouri St. will win straight-up is 72%.

Illinois St. Redbirds

The Illinois State Redbirds recently suffered a 77-56 home loss against the Drake Bulldogs. Despite scoring 43 points in the first half, their offensive performance was decent, with a 38.3 percent field goal percentage, 27.8 percent from three-point range, and 20 free-throw attempts. Darius Burford, a senior guard, stood out with 14 points, two rebounds, two assists, one steal, and four turnovers. However, their defense struggled, allowing Drake to shoot 55.9 percent from the field, 42.1 percent from deep, and six free-throw attempts. Overall, the Redbirds' offense has been lacking, ranking 332nd in the nation with an average of 66.3 points per game. They sit at 316th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency according to KenPom. On the other hand, their defense has been more impressive, holding opponents to an average of 69.1 points per game, which ranks 114th in college basketball. As for their overall performance, Illinois State has a power ranking of 299 and is currently ranked 325th in offense, scoring an average of 66.88 points per game. Defensively, they rank 104th, allowing an average of 68.59 points against per game. This season, they have an 8-10 record, with a 6-11 ATS (against the spread) record. In terms of shooting, the Redbirds have a field goal percentage of 41.10 percent, ranking 323rd, and a free-throw percentage of 68.08 percent, ranking 285th. Their three-point shooting has been particularly poor, making only 26.91 percent, which ranks last at 351st in the NCAAB. They average 36.71 rebounds per game, ranking 157th, along with 11.76 offensive assists and 12.53 turnovers per game, ranking 297th and 215th, respectively. Defensively, Illinois State allows opponents to make 44.22 percent of their field goals, ranking 240th, and 73.24 percent of free throws, ranking 288th. They allow 35.53 percent of three-pointers to be made by opponents, ranking 308th. The team averages 33.59 defensive rebounds per game, ranking 33rd. They also average 12.88 defensive assists and 12

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Missouri St. Bears Analysis

The Missouri State Bears recently suffered a significant loss to the Indiana State Sycamores, with a final score of 88-66. The team struggled defensively, allowing 44 points in both halves. However, the Bears performed well on offense, shooting 45.0% from the floor, 41.2% from the three-point line, and making 10 free-throw attempts. Sophomore guard Ryan Conwell had an impressive game with 25 points, five rebounds, three assists, and a steal in 32 minutes of play. On the other hand, the Sycamores showcased exceptional shooting skills with a team shooting split of 55.6%/42.3%/73.9% in this game. In terms of overall performance, the Missouri State Bears are facing some challenges on offense, ranking 271st in the nation with an average of 70.7 points per game. According to KenPom, they are also ranked 220th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. However, their defense has shown improvement, allowing an average of 69.7 points per game, which places them at 128th in the NCAA. There are no reported injuries for the Missouri State Bears. Currently, they have a power ranking of 316 and rank 274th for offense, scoring an average of 70.67 points per game. Their defense ranks 135th, giving up an average of 69.67 points per game. Overall, their record stands at 10-8 (9-8-1 ATS). In their last three matchups against Missouri State, Illinois State went 1-2 (1-2 ATS). The Bears have a field goal percentage of 43.81% (ranked 227th) and a free throw percentage of 70.11% (ranked 231st). Their three-point shooting percentage stands at 31.78% (ranked 271st in the NCAAB). They average 38.06 rebounds per game (ranked 95th) and have an average of 12.67 offensive assists and 12.33 turnovers per game (ranked 240th and 196th, respectively). On defense, Missouri State allows opponents to make 41.02% of their field goals (ranked 69th) and 72.50% of their free throws (ranked 255th in the NCAAB). They also allow opponents to make 29 Vicious dunk by Benson! pic.twitter.com/UCgtJWtSNJ

Missouri State Bears: A Strong Bet to Cover the Spread at Home According to KenPom's Adjusted Efficiency Margin

KenPom's adjusted efficiency margin indicates a notable distinction between the two teams, with Illinois State ranked 256th in the nation with a rating of -6.50, whereas Missouri State stands at 154th in the country with a rating of +0.79. In terms of offensive performance, Illinois State has recently averaged 57.5 points in their last four games, while Missouri State has scored an average of 64.3 points in their previous three games. Considering these factors, it is recommended to choose the Missouri State Bears to cover the spread at their home venue.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Redbirds vs Bears archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Redbirds vs Bears matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Illinois St. Redbirds+230 → +245Moved
  • Moneyline · Missouri St. Bears-292 → -298Moved
  • Spread · Illinois St. Redbirds+6.5 (-110) → +7 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Missouri St. Bears-6.5 (-110) → -7 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over134 (-110) → 135 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under134 (-110) → 135 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Illinois St. Redbirds
7-9 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Missouri St. Bears
9-8 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-20T11:21:54.898Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Missouri State Bears recently suffered a significant loss to the Indiana State Sycamores, with a final score of 88-66. The team struggled defensively, allowing 44 points in both halves. However, the Bears performed well on offense, shooting 45.0% from the floor, 41.2% from the three-point line, and making 10 free-throw attempts. Sophomore guard Ryan Conwell had an impressive game with 25 points, five rebounds, three assists, and a steal in 32 minutes of play. On the other hand, the Sycamores showcased exceptional shooting skills with a team shooting split of 55.6%/42.3%/73.9% in this game. In terms of overall performance, the Missouri State Bears are facing some challenges on offense, ranking 271st in the nation with an average of 70.7 points per game. According to KenPom, they are also ranked 220th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. However, their defense has shown improvement, allowing an average of 69.7 points per game, which places them at 128th in the NCAA. There are no reported injuries for the Missouri State Bears. Currently, they have a power ranking of 316 and rank 274th for offense, scoring an average of 70.67 points per game. Their defense ranks 135th, giving up an average of 69.67 points per game. Overall, their record stands at 10-8 (9-8-1 ATS). In their last three matchups against Missouri State, Illinois State went 1-2 (1-2 ATS). The Bears have a field goal percentage of 43.81% (ranked 227th) and a free throw percentage of 70.11% (ranked 231st). Their three-point shooting percentage stands at 31.78% (ranked 271st in the NCAAB). They average 38.06 rebounds per game (ranked 95th) and have an average of 12.67 offensive assists and 12.33 turnovers per game (ranked 240th and 196th, respectively). On defense, Missouri State allows opponents to make 41.02% of their field goals (ranked 69th) and 72.50% of their free throws (ranked 255th in the NCAAB). They also allow opponents to make 29 Vicious dunk by Benson! pic.twitter.com/UCgtJWtSNJ

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Illinois St. Redbirds defeated Missouri St. Bears 69-60

Illinois St. Redbirds defeated Missouri St. Bears 69-60 on January 20, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. Illinois St. Redbirds' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 42-33. Against SportsJaw's recorded Illinois St. Redbirds +7 (-110) spread, Illinois St. Redbirds covered, while the 129 combined points finished under the recorded total of 135.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Mickey619Spread · Missouri St. Bears -6 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Illinois St. Redbirds -6 (-110)Win
  • RainmanTotal · Under 136 (-110)Win