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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Louisville Cardinals vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Wed 9:00 PM ET
Louisville Cardinals logo
Louisville
Cardinals70
23-10
versus
North Carolina Tar Heels logo
North Carolina
Tar Heels86
24-8
Final
Team12T
Louisville Cardinals294170
North Carolina Tar Heels464086
NCAAB · Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar Heels

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Louisville Cardinals vs North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 17, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Dean E. Smith Center — Chapel Hill, NC

Article updated Jan 16, 10:17 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Louisville Cardinals will be facing off against the North Carolina Tar Heels in an ACC game on Wednesday evening. With a season record of 6-10, including 1-4 in the ACC,

Game outlook

The Louisville Cardinals will be facing off against the North Carolina Tar Heels in an ACC game on Wednesday evening. With a season record of 6-10, including 1-4 in the ACC, the Cardinals enter this matchup as the underdogs. On the other hand, the Tar Heels boast an impressive record of 24-8, ranking fourth in the country, and maintaining a flawless 5-0 ACC record. The game will commence at 9:00 PM EST. Notably, North Carolina has been established as the betting favorite with an opening line of -21, which has remained unchanged thus far.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cardinals +1,100 | Tar Heels -3,300

Spread: Cardinals +21 (-110) | Tar Heels -21 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 156 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 97%.

Louisville Cardinals

The Louisville Cardinals have a 6-10 overall record and have lost four of their last five games, including a recent 89-83 loss to NC State. Despite falling behind early in the game, they made a strong comeback in the second half. Mike James and Curtis Williams were the top scorers for the Cardinals with 20 and 15 points respectively. Head Coach Kenny Payne acknowledged the challenge of playing against a tough opponent and emphasized the importance of defense in winning games. The Cardinals are looking for their second win in the ACC but face a tough matchup against the 4th-ranked Tar Heels on the road. Offensively, the team ranks 144th in scoring offense, 219th in field goal percentage, and 233rd in 3-point field percentage. Defensively, they rank 267th in scoring defense, 274th in field goal defense, and 140th in 3-point defense. In terms of statistical rankings, the Cardinals are ranked 217th in offense, 285th in defense, and have a power ranking of 334. They have a 6-10 record this season and have performed averagely in shooting percentages, rebounds, assists, and turnovers. Defensively, they allow an average of 45.24% of field goals, 73.40% of free throws, and 31.81% of three-pointers. They average 35.07 defensive rebounds per game and have 14.73 defensive assists and 11.80 turnovers per game. Energy 🔋 #GoCards pic.twitter.com/i2KZ3WvXn5

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

North Carolina Tar Heels Analysis

The North Carolina Tar Heels are currently ranked fourth in the nation after winning six consecutive games, including all five of their ACC games. In their most recent victory against Syracuse, RJ Davis led the team with 22 points and five steals. The Tar Heels' defense held the Orange to just 36% shooting, making it the fifth straight opponent they have held under 40% shooting. Head coach Hubert Davis emphasizes the importance of defense and taking care of the basketball for the team's success. The Tar Heels have a strong record heading into their upcoming game against the Cardinals, with a perfect 5-0 record in ACC play. They are ranked 17th in scoring offense, 109th in field goal percentage, and 99th in 3-point field goal percentage. Defensively, they are ranked 109th in scoring defense, 18th in opposing team's field goal percentage, and 19th in 3-point defense. The Tar Heels excel in rebounding, ranking eighth in total rebounds per game, and they are also solid in limiting turnovers, ranking 48th in turnovers per game. In summary, the Tar Heels are performing well overall, with key strengths in scoring, rebounding, and defense. Assists 🤝 groceries The more assists the Heels rack up, the more savings you get @HarrisTeeter AND they will donate five dollars to the local foodbank for each assist this season! Enter 👉 https://t.co/f8n0nOUmXx pic.twitter.com/w1a2Yyiu8I

Carolina's Domination Over Louisville and Predictions of an Emphatic Victory

Carolina has proved to be the dominant force in the majority of their matchups against Louisville, with a remarkable record of 13 wins out of 18 games. Recent history also favors the Tar Heels, as they have emerged victorious in six out of their last seven encounters. It is noteworthy that in the previous season, Carolina displayed their prowess by winning both games against Louisville, showcasing their ability to excel both on the road and at home. Considering the Tar Heels' experienced roster, I anticipate them being fully focused on the upcoming game against Louisville, leaving no room for complacency. This veteran team is gradually achieving optimal performance, clicking on all cylinders. A key contributing factor to their success lies in their exceptional ability to score, ranking among the top performing teams in the nation. This can be attributed in large part to their distinct advantage in the post, as Carolina currently stands 8th in the nation in rebounding. This gives them the edge to swiftly transition on the court, ranking fifth in the nation in terms of pace of play. Louisville, on the other hand, faces significant challenges in shooting accuracy, ranking a mere 219th in field goal percentage. Their struggles in this area will prove detrimental as they confront a formidable Tar Heels team that excels in defending the field goal, currently holding the commendable 18th position nationally. Carolina is poised to assert dominance in the points painted area and control the game through their superiority in rebounding. This ultimately leads me to predict an emphatic victory for the Tar Heels. Thus, I recommend taking UNC minus the points.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#LouisvilleCardinals#NorthCarolinaTarHeels

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cardinals vs Tar Heels archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Cardinals vs Tar Heels matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Louisville Cardinals+1,100 → +1,250Moved
  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-3,300 → -3,000Moved
  • Spread · Louisville Cardinals+21 (-110) → +21 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-21 (-110) → -21 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over156 (-110) → 156.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under156 (-110) → 156.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Louisville Cardinals
23-10 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
North Carolina Tar Heels
24-8 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-17T03:17:25.809Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-14North Carolina Tar Heels 80 · Louisville Cardinals 59
Final result

Matchup pick recap

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Louisville Cardinals 86-70

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Louisville Cardinals 86-70 on January 17, 2024, a 16-point decision in the series. North Carolina Tar Heels' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 46-29. Against SportsJaw's recorded Louisville Cardinals +21 (-110) spread, Louisville Cardinals covered, while the 156 combined points finished under the recorded total of 156.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DtownsendSpread · Louisville Cardinals -21 (-110)Win
  • BookieslayerSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -21 (-110)Loss
  • JaredkuntzSpread · Louisville Cardinals +21 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartTotal · Over 156 (-110)Push
  • JohnmiznerTotal · Over 156 (-110)Push
  • JohnmiznerSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -21 (-110)Loss
  • TweiskoffTotal · Over 156 (-110)Push
  • TweiskoffSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -21 (-110)Loss
  • NutinbutlocksTotal · Under 156 (-110)Push
  • RainmanSpread · Louisville Cardinals +21 (-110)Win
  • DpxsportsSpread · Louisville Cardinals +21 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Spread · Louisville Cardinals +21 (-110)Win
  • SwamipicksSpread · Louisville Cardinals +21 (-110)Win