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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Air Force Falcons vs Colorado St. Rams
Tue 9:00 PM ET
Air Force Falcons logo
Air Force
Falcons69
6-8
versus
Colorado St. Rams logo
Colorado St.
Rams78
11-3
Final/OT
Team123T
Air Force Falcons2737569
Colorado St. Rams24401478
NCAAB · Air Force Falcons at Colorado St. Rams

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Colorado State Rams Favored to Win Against Air Force Falcons in Conference Matchup

Game time: January 16, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Moby Arena — Fort Collins, CO

Article updated Jan 15, 10:35 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Air Force Falcons will be aiming to secure their first conference win of the season as they face off against the Colorado State Rams on Tuesday night. The game will take

Game outlook

The Air Force Falcons will be aiming to secure their first conference win of the season as they face off against the Colorado State Rams on Tuesday night. The game will take place at Moby Arena and is set to start at 9 PM ET. Both teams are entering the game after recent losses, with the Falcons falling to San Jose State and the Rams being defeated by Boise State. Historical data shows that Colorado State has been dominant in their previous matchups against Air Force, winning 9 out of their last 10 games. The opening betting line favors Colorado State at -16.5, and there have been no changes in the line thus far.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Falcons +908 | Rams -1,590

Spread: Falcons +16.5 (-110) | Rams -16.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 135.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Colorado St. will win straight-up is 94%.

Air Force Falcons

The Air Force basketball team has been struggling in recent weeks, currently on a six-game losing streak. They hope to end this streak with a win on Tuesday, which would also be their first conference win of the season. Offensively, Air Force has been averaging 67.4 points per game. In their last game, they scored 67 points, making 52.1 percent of their field goals and 42.9 percent of their three-pointers. Leading the team in scoring was Ethan Taylor with 19 points and two rebounds. Beau Becker contributed 18 points and seven rebounds, while Rytis Petraitis added 15 points, seven rebounds, and four assists. Defensively, Air Force has been allowing an average of 67 points per game. In their last game, they gave up 70 points and will need to improve defensively if they want to secure a victory. In terms of rankings, Air Force is currently ranked 320th in offense, scoring an average of 67.4 points per game. Defensively, they are ranked 80th, allowing an average of 67 points per game. Overall, their power ranking is 277. In terms of specific statistics, Air Force hits an average of 45.8 percent of their field goals, ranking them 130th in the nation. They also make 67.8 percent of their free throws, ranking them 288th. From three-point range, they make an average of 36.05 percent of their shots, ranking 80th. Rebounding has been a weakness for Air Force, averaging 30.73 rebounds per game and ranking 352nd. They do, however, have an average of 14.93 offensive assists per game, ranking 100th in the nation. On the defensive end, Air Force allows opponents to make 43.82 percent of their field goals, ranking 223rd. They also allow opponents to make 70.92 percent of their free throws, ranking 178th. From three-point range, they allow opponents to make 35.03 percent of their shots, ranking 293rd. They have been strong in defensive rebounding, averaging 32.53 defensive rebounds per game and ranking 32nd. They also have an average of 11.93 defensive assists and 12.67 turnovers per game, ranking 109th and 164th respectively. Too much space for Beau 💦 pic.twitter.com/QwNrUPQ4NM

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Colorado St. Rams Analysis

The Colorado State Rams recently ended a four-game winning streak with two consecutive losses. However, they have a strong record at home, winning their last three games and hoping to make it four when they face the Falcons on Tuesday. On offense, the Rams have been averaging 79.6 points per game and scored 58 points in their last game. They have a field goal percentage of 47.1% and a three-point percentage of 25%. Isaiah Stevens led the team with 15 points, four rebounds, and three assists, while Nique Clifford had 12 points and eight rebounds, and Josiah Strong contributed nine points and two rebounds. Defensively, the Rams have struggled, allowing an average of 70.1 points per game. In their last game, they gave up 65 points and will need a similar defensive effort to secure a win. Additionally, the Rams have a power ranking of 213 and are ranked #36 in offense, averaging 81.69 points per game, and #108 in defense, allowing 68.56 points per game. They have a record of 13-3 overall and have performed well against Air Force in their last three matchups. The Rams have impressive shooting percentages, with a field goal percentage of 52.03% (ranked #2), a free throw percentage of 75.84% (ranked #40), and a three-point percentage of 37.43% (ranked #38). They average 32.63 rebounds per game and are ranked #327 in that category. On defense, they allow a field goal percentage of 43.37% (ranked #189), a free throw percentage of 74.05% (ranked #310), and a three-point percentage of 32.11% (ranked #135). They average 31.63 defensive rebounds per game (ranked #31.63) and have an average of 11.19 defensive assists and 13.13 turnovers per game, ranking #66 and #128 respectively. Zay with his 3rd assist of the half 🤝 #Stalwart x #TeamTogether pic.twitter.com/dREE8XgiKg

Colorado State Rams Expected to Dominate Air Force Falcons in Upcoming Match

The Rams have been performing exceptionally well in their recent home games, having won eight out of their last nine. Their offensive prowess is evident, with an impressive average of over 83 points per game at home. Additionally, they have been making the most of their free throw opportunities, with a conversion rate of over 79 percent. Their ability to locate open teammates and their aggressive approach to offensive rebounding in their last three games have significantly increased their chances of scoring. Moreover, the Rams have exhibited great ball security, minimizing the likelihood of the Falcons capitalizing on easy-scoring opportunities. Conversely, the Falcons have encountered difficulties defensively, allowing an average of 75 points per game in their last three matches. Therefore, it is anticipated that they will struggle to impede the Rams' offensive performance. Furthermore, the Falcons have been plagued by six consecutive losses and have struggled significantly on the road, averaging less than 70 points per game. Their free throw efficiency has also been lacking, with a success rate of less than 70 percent. In contrast to the Rams, the Falcons have not been as effective in rebounding, which will limit their opportunities for additional scoring. Furthermore, their carelessness with the ball will likely offer the Rams easy-scoring chances, benefiting from their ability to secure an average of more than seven steals per game at home. Given the Rams' commendable defensive performances, having held their last three opponents to an average of 70 points per game, it is reasonable to expect that they will contain Air Force's offense effectively. Taking into account these factors, it is recommended to bet on Colorado State to cover the spread.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Falcons vs Rams archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Falcons vs Rams matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Air Force Falcons+908 → +861Moved
  • Moneyline · Colorado St. Rams-1,590 → -1,500Moved
  • Spread · Air Force Falcons+16.5 (-110) → +15.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Colorado St. Rams-16.5 (-110) → -15.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over135.5 (-110) → 135 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under135.5 (-110) → 135 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Air Force Falcons
6-8 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Colorado St. Rams
11-3 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-16T03:35:40.360Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-07Colorado St. Rams 69 · Air Force Falcons 53
  • 2023-01-10Air Force Falcons 85 · Colorado St. Rams 74
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Colorado St. Rams defeated Air Force Falcons 78-69

Colorado St. Rams defeated Air Force Falcons 78-69 on January 16, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. Colorado St. Rams' strongest period was the overtime, when it outscored its opponent 14-5. Against SportsJaw's recorded Air Force Falcons +15.5 (-110) spread, Air Force Falcons covered, while the 147 combined points finished over the recorded total of 135.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DtownsendTotal · Over 135.5 (-110)Win
  • Fisher49Spread · Air Force Falcons -16.5 (-110)Win
  • ThetotalerTotal · Under 135.5 (-110)Loss
  • MoneymouthSpread · Air Force Falcons +16.5 (-110)Win
  • ThehitmanSpread · Colorado St. Rams -16.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1707662905Spread · Colorado St. Rams -16.5 (-110)Loss
  • RainmanSpread · Colorado St. Rams -16.5 (-110)Loss
  • MiamimikeSpread · Colorado St. Rams -15.5 (-110)Loss
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · Colorado St. Rams -15.5 (-110)Loss
  • BluedevilSpread · Colorado St. Rams -15.5 (-110)Loss
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · Air Force Falcons +15.5 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartSpread · Air Force Falcons +15.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Colorado St. Rams -1,450Win
  • Hustle$Spread · Air Force Falcons +16 (-110)Win