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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Cavaliers
Wed 9:00 PM ET
SMU Mustangs logo
SMU
Mustangs54
20-13
versus
Virginia Cavaliers logo
Virginia
Cavaliers52
30-6
Final
Team12T
SMU Mustangs272754
Virginia Cavaliers252752
NCAAB · SMU Mustangs at Virginia Cavaliers

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SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Cavaliers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 15, 2025 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: John Paul Jones Arena — Charlottesville, VA

Article updated Jan 15, 2:30 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In this NCAAB matchup, SMU faces off against Virginia in the Old Dominion. SMU enters the game following a convincing home victory over Georgia Tech, while Virginia suffered

Game outlook

In this NCAAB matchup, SMU faces off against Virginia in the Old Dominion. SMU enters the game following a convincing home victory over Georgia Tech, while Virginia suffered a loss to Stanford on the road. The teams have split the series with SMU winning the most recent matchup. SMU is favored by 6.5 points in the betting lines.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mustangs -279 | Cavaliers +230

Spread: Mustangs -6.5 (-110) | Cavaliers +6.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 135 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that SMU will win straight-up is 74%.

SMU Mustangs

SMU's recent victory over Georgia Tech helped them improve to a 12-4 overall record and 3-2 in the ACC. The Mustangs dominated the game, jumping out to a big lead early and never looking back. They shot 50% from the field, including 14 of 28 from three-point range, and forced 22 turnovers. Chuck Harris led SMU with 21 points in the win. Overall, SMU is averaging 84.7 points per game, ranking 18th in the nation on offense, while giving up an average of 72.6 points per game on defense. Boopie Miller leads the team with 14.6 points per game, followed by Chuck Harris and Samet Yigitoglu. The Mustangs are shooting 47.5% from the field on the year, with solid three-point and free throw shooting percentages. Defensively, they are allowing opponents to shoot 40.99% from the field and 35.43% from three-point range. SMU ranks 25th in offense, 229th in defense, and has an 8-8 ATS record this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Virginia Cavaliers Analysis

Virginia suffered their third consecutive loss against Stanford, falling to 8-8 overall and 1-4 in the ACC. Despite a strong start, the Cavaliers couldn't maintain their lead and ultimately lost to Stanford, shooting 46.7% from the field. Isaac McKneely led the team with 22 points in the loss. Virginia's offense ranks 360th in the nation, averaging 61.6 points per game, while their defense ranks 25th, allowing 64 points per game. McKneely leads the team with 12.3 points per game, supported by Jacob Cofie and Elijah Saunders. Dai Dai Ames, Blake Buchanan, TJ Power, Ishan Sharma, Taine Murray, Anthony Robinson, Andrew Rohde, Desmond Roberts, and Bryce Walker also play key roles for the team. The Cavaliers shoot 43.2% from the field as a team, make 7.9 triples per game, and shoot 75.1% from the free-throw line. Virginia has a power ranking of 335 and is looking to improve their performance in their upcoming games.

SMU Poised to Dominate Virginia in Rematch with Strong Offense and Rebounding Edge

Virginia possesses a strong defensive advantage against most opponents, including SMU. However, their lack of offensive output is a significant hindrance to their overall success, especially against high-scoring teams like SMU. SMU, a top-20 scoring team nationally, also holds a notable rebounding advantage. Despite playing at home, Virginia previously suffered a double-digit loss to SMU on the road. Considering Virginia's struggles on offense, it is likely that SMU will secure another victory in this matchup. Therefore, it is advisable to choose SMU to win and complete the season series sweep.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SMUMustangs#VirginiaCavaliers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mustangs vs Cavaliers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mustangs vs Cavaliers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · SMU Mustangs-265 → -234Moved
  • Moneyline · Virginia Cavaliers+215 → +195Moved
  • Spread · SMU Mustangs-6.5 (-110) → -5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Virginia Cavaliers+6.5 (-110) → +5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over133.5 (-110) → 134.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under133.5 (-110) → 134.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

SMU Mustangs
20-13 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Virginia Cavaliers
30-6 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-01-15T07:30:47.656Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-12-07Virginia Cavaliers 51 · SMU Mustangs 63
Final result

Matchup pick recap

SMU Mustangs defeated Virginia Cavaliers 54-52

SMU Mustangs defeated Virginia Cavaliers 54-52 on January 15, 2025, a 2-point decision in the series. SMU Mustangs' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 27-25. Against SportsJaw's recorded SMU Mustangs -5 (-110) spread, Virginia Cavaliers covered, while the 106 combined points finished under the recorded total of 134.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • EXCELent Sports PicksMoneyline · SMU Mustangs -280Win