SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsLive OddsMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsLive OddsTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Live Odds
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Valparaiso Crusaders vs Illinois St. Redbirds
Sun 3:00 PM ET
Valparaiso Crusaders logo
Valparaiso
Crusaders59
18-15
versus
Illinois St. Redbirds logo
Illinois St.
Redbirds50
23-13
Final
Team12T
Valparaiso Crusaders283159
Illinois St. Redbirds203050
NCAAB · Valparaiso Crusaders at Illinois St. Redbirds

Your Picks on Valparaiso vs Illinois St.

Picks closed
Spread
Moneyline
Total

Valparaiso Crusaders vs Illinois St. Redbirds Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 14, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET

Venue: CEFCU Arena — Normal, IL

Article updated Jan 13, 10:23 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Valparaiso basketball team will be playing against the Illinois State team at CEFCU Arena on Sunday at 3:00 p.m. ET. Valpo has a record of 4-12 SU, 9-6 ATS, and 5-10 O/U.

Game outlook

The Valparaiso basketball team will be playing against the Illinois State team at CEFCU Arena on Sunday at 3:00 p.m. ET. Valpo has a record of 4-12 SU, 9-6 ATS, and 5-10 O/U. They recently lost to Southern Illinois with a score of 77-68 and are currently 0-5 in Missouri Valley Conference competition. On the other hand, Illinois State has a record of 8-8 SU, 6-8-1 ATS, and 8-7 O/U. They suffered a loss against Belmont with a score of 67-60 and hold a 2-3 record in MVC play. In the previous season, Valpo secured victories in both meetings between the teams. Valparaiso leads the all-time series with a 18-15 record. The betting odds for the game favor Illinois State, with an opening line of -9 that has not changed.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Crusaders +270 | Redbirds -340

Spread: Crusaders +9 (-110) | Redbirds -9 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 136.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Illinois St. will win straight-up is 77%.

Valparaiso Crusaders

Valparaiso's basketball team has struggled offensively this season, averaging only 67.0 points per game, ranking them 325th in the nation. Their shooting percentages are also low, with a 40.1 percent field goal percentage and a 30.7 percent three-point percentage, ranking 340th and 301st, respectively. They do convert 70.6 percent of their free-throw attempts, though, ranking them 205th. In terms of other statistics, Valparaiso averages 31.7 rebounds, 11.7 assists, and 11.9 turnovers per game, ranking 250th, 261st, and 140th, respectively. On the defensive end, they allow an average of 72.3 points per game and a 44.9 percent field goal percentage, ranking 204th and 280th, respectively. They do, however, average 3.8 blocks and 6.1 steals per game, ranking 118th and 227th, respectively. Their turnover average of 16.3 per game ranks 112th. Overall, KenPom ranks Valparaiso 315th in the nation. In another analysis, Valparaiso is ranked 324th in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 66.93 points per game. Their shooting percentages are low, with a 39.52 percent field goal percentage and a 30.95 percent three-point percentage, ranking them 344th and 293rd, respectively. They do convert 70.40 percent of their free-throw attempts, though, ranking 211th. In terms of other statistics, Valparaiso averages 35.33 rebounds per game and 12.07 offensive assists, ranking 223rd and 282nd, respectively. They also average 12.00 turnovers per game, ranking 157th. Defensively, Valparaiso allows an average of 44.58 percent field goals and 33.02 percent three-pointers, ranking 259th and 192nd, respectively. They do, however, average 39.67 defensive rebounds, 14.27 defensive assists, and 13.60 turnovers per game, ranking 39th, 291st, and 98th, respectively. In terms of their record, Valparaiso is 4-12 this season, with a 9-6 Against the Spread

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Illinois St. Redbirds Analysis

The Illinois State Redbirds have struggled offensively this season, scoring an average of 67.9 points per game, which ranks them 316th in the country. They have also struggled with their shooting, making only 41.7 percent of their field goals and 28.0 percent from long distance. Their free throw shooting is also subpar, with a percentage of 68.9. On the defensive end, the Redbirds allow an average of 69.2 points per game and their opponents shoot 44.3 percent from the field. They also struggle defending the three-point shot, with opponents shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc. In terms of other statistical categories, the Redbirds average 32.3 rebounds, 11.2 assists, and 12.7 turnovers per game. They block 2.4 shots and steal the ball 5.9 times per game. Their performance has earned them a power ranking of 225 and they are ranked 290th in offensive efficiency and 124th in defensive efficiency by KenPom. Overall, the Redbirds have shown inconsistency throughout the season with a record of 8-8 and have struggled to cover the spread with a 6-9 ATS record. RIGHT BACK. @Kenlew32 pic.twitter.com/UoQ26jiK3j

Illinois State's Strong Defense Poised to Cover Against Valpo in Sunday's Match

Based on this season's performance, Valpo has shown to be the more reliable team against the spread (ATS). However, in the upcoming game on Sunday, I anticipate Illinois State to cover. The Redbirds have the potential to secure an ATS victory due to their strong defensive prowess, ranking 124th in defensive efficiency. This should effectively limit the scoring opportunities of the low-scoring Beacons. The Beacons' excessive reliance on three-point shots, despite their low shooting percentage (30.7%), is a weak point in their strategy. Furthermore, they tend to settle for mid-range shots (35.3% of their attempts), rather than aggressively attacking the rim (28.3% of their shots). In this particular game, Illinois State will not be required to amass a significant number of points to cover, as the Beacons struggle offensively, ranking 324th in offensive efficiency. Ultimately, I expect the Redbirds' formidable defense to be the deciding factor in what promises to be a highly competitive conference clash.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#ValparaisoCrusaders#IllinoisStRedbirds

Share this preview

Facebook X Reddit Email
SportsJaw logo
Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Crusaders vs Redbirds archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Crusaders vs Redbirds matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Valparaiso Crusaders+270 → +375Moved
  • Moneyline · Illinois St. Redbirds-340 → -500Moved
  • Spread · Valparaiso Crusaders+9 (-110) → +10 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Illinois St. Redbirds-9 (-110) → -10 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over136.5 (-110) → 135.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under136.5 (-110) → 135.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Valparaiso Crusaders
18-15 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Illinois St. Redbirds
23-13 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-14T03:23:09.958Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-11Illinois St. Redbirds 76 · Valparaiso Crusaders 81
  • 2023-01-21Valparaiso Crusaders 71 · Illinois St. Redbirds 51
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Valparaiso Crusaders defeated Illinois St. Redbirds 59-50

Valparaiso Crusaders defeated Illinois St. Redbirds 59-50 on January 14, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. Valparaiso Crusaders' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 28-20. Against SportsJaw's recorded Valparaiso Crusaders +10 (-110) spread, Valparaiso Crusaders covered, while the 109 combined points finished under the recorded total of 135.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DerekFisherSpread · Illinois St. Redbirds -9 (-110)Loss
  • RcollinsSpread · Valparaiso Crusaders +9 (-110)Win
  • RcollinsTotal · Under 136.5 (-110)Win
  • IrishblueSpread · Valparaiso Crusaders +9 (-110)Win
  • BluedevilSpread · Valparaiso Crusaders +9.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Valparaiso Crusaders +9.5 (-110)Win
  • IroncladlocksTotal · Under 135.5 (-110)Win
  • DrpaulTotal · Under 135.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Valparaiso Crusaders +9.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 135.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Valparaiso Crusaders +9.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 135.5 (-110)Loss