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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Maryland Terrapins vs Illinois Fighting Illini
Sun 2:00 PM ET
Maryland Terrapins logo
Maryland
Terrapins76
12-21
versus
Illinois Fighting Illini logo
Illinois
Fighting Illini67
28-9
Final
Team12T
Maryland Terrapins373976
Illinois Fighting Illini392867
NCAAB · Maryland Terrapins at Illinois Fighting Illini

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Maryland Terrapins vs Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 14, 2024 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: State Farm Center — Champaign, IL

Article updated Jan 13, 10:22 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The 10-6 Maryland Terrapins and the 12-3 Illini are set to face off in a BIG10 Sunday matinee battle on January 14. Illinois currently holds the second spot in the conference

Game outlook

The 10-6 Maryland Terrapins and the 12-3 Illini are set to face off in a BIG10 Sunday matinee battle on January 14. Illinois currently holds the second spot in the conference with a 28-9 record, while Maryland is at 2-3 after their recent victory against the Michigan Wolverines. In last year's game, Maryland came out on top with a 71-66 win and has had a strong record against Illinois, winning 8 out of their last 10 encounters. Nevertheless, the Illini are riding high on their recent victory over Michigan State and are eager to regain their dominance. The game will take place at the State Farm Center with a 1 PM CST start time. Illinois is the betting favorite, opening at -8, and the odds have remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Terrapins +250 | Fighting Illini -310

Spread: Terrapins +8 (-110) | Fighting Illini -8 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 139 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Illinois will win straight-up is 76%.

Maryland Terrapins

The content discusses the performance of the Maryland Terrapins basketball team during the current season. Although the team has a record of 10-6, their performance against the spread suggests that they have been overrated. Additionally, their relatively weak schedule, ranked 228th in KenPom's strength of schedule category, further supports this notion. In terms of their conference standing, the team sits in the middle of the pack with a 2-3 record. In their last game, they were fortunate to secure a win against Michigan, who is at the bottom of the conference. Maryland struggled in the first half of the game, scoring only 21 points and trailing by 12 at halftime. However, forward Donta Scott stepped up in the second half, scoring 20 of his 22 points to lead the team to victory. Jahmir Young, the team's leading scorer with an average of 19.3 points per game, contributed 12 points in the game. Offensively, Maryland has struggled, averaging only 70.6 points per game and shooting poorly from both the field and three-point range. Their shooting percentages rank among the lowest in the nation. Even their free throw shooting has been subpar, with a success rate of 70.1%. On the defensive end, the team has been more successful, allowing just 63.3 points per game, which ranks 20th nationally. However, their slow tempo of play is a contributing factor to their low points allowed. According to KenPom, the Terps are ranked 80th overall. To summarize, Maryland's basketball team has underperformed this season, despite their 12-21 record. Their struggles on offense, particularly in shooting, have hindered their performance. On the other hand, their defense has been relatively strong, allowing few points per game. However, their slow pace of play may contribute to their defensive success. Overall, the team has been overvalued due to their weak schedule and poor performance against the spread. Donta Scott puttin' on A SHOW! 💥 @TerrapinHoops pic.twitter.com/aFBlGMeOXG

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Illinois Fighting Illini Analysis

The Illinois Fighting Illini have had a successful start to the season, with a record of 12-3 and a ranking of 10th in the country. However, they recently faced a setback when their top scorer, Terrence Shannon Jr., was suspended indefinitely from the team. Shannon was averaging 21.7 points per game, significantly more than any other player on the team, and had a high success rate in three-point shooting. Despite the loss of Shannon, the Illini managed to score close to 200 points in their first two games without him. However, in their following two games against top-ranked Purdue and Michigan State, their offensive performance declined, scoring 78 and 71 points respectively. Their victory over Michigan State was crucial in maintaining a good conference record, as they now stand at 3-1 behind Wisconsin and tied with Northwestern. In the absence of Shannon, guard Marcus Domask has stepped up, averaging over 24 points in his last three games. The team's overall statistics show a strong offensive performance, with an average of 82.7 points per game and a positive margin of 15.8. Their rebounding game is also impressive, ranking 7th in the country with an average of 39.5 boards per game. The Illini's efficiency is recognized by Kenpom, where they are ranked 10th with a +24.77 adjusted efficiency margin. Their upcoming game against Maryland will be followed by a match against the Michigan Wolverines.

Illini Faces Maryland: A Lower-Paced Matchup and Chance for Redemption

The upcoming game against Maryland provides the Illini with a well-deserved opportunity for a lower-paced and less intense matchup. This comes after a challenging stretch where they faced Northwestern, Purdue, and Michigan State consecutively. Remarkably, Illinois managed to secure a 2-1 record during this period, with their sole loss occurring on the road against the top-ranked Purdue team. In the last 11 games, Illinois has demonstrated consistent performance in covering the spread, with only two instances resulting in ties. Unfortunately, they failed to cover the spread in their previous game and are likely to fall short again in this match. Nevertheless, their recent accomplishments and resilience cannot be overlooked. Following this contest, the team will embark on a road trip next Thursday, making this game against Maryland pivotal. Additionally, it is worth noting that Maryland had the upper hand in their previous encounters with the Illini, as highlighted by stellar performances from Senior guard Jahmir Young and forward Donta Scott. Both players were the top scorers in their respective games last season, contributing significantly to Maryland's victories. Scott's recent performance, where he achieved a season-high score of 22 points, further underscores his current form, while Young consistently delivers double-digit figures, except for a 9-point performance against Villanova. As a result, this upcoming game is expected to be much closer than anticipated. Considering these factors, taking the Terps with the points seems like a prudent decision.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Terrapins vs Fighting Illini archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Terrapins vs Fighting Illini matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Maryland Terrapins+250 → +358Moved
  • Moneyline · Illinois Fighting Illini-310 → -490Moved
  • Spread · Maryland Terrapins+8 (-110) → +9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Illinois Fighting Illini-8 (-110) → -9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over139 (-110) → 138.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under139 (-110) → 138.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Maryland Terrapins
12-21 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Illinois Fighting Illini
28-9 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-14T03:22:23.210Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Maryland Terrapins defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 76-67

Maryland Terrapins defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 76-67 on January 14, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. Maryland Terrapins' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 39-28. Against SportsJaw's recorded Maryland Terrapins +9.5 (-110) spread, Maryland Terrapins covered, while the 143 combined points finished over the recorded total of 138.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • ThehitmanSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -8 (-110)Loss
  • TjwinsTotal · Over 139 (-110)Win
  • Kentc_Total · Over 139.5 (-110)Win
  • MikeVargasSpread · Maryland Terrapins +9 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Maryland Terrapins +9 (-110)Win
  • AveragejoeSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -9 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -9 (-110)Loss