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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Cincinnati Bearcats vs SMU Mustangs
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Cincinnati Bearcats logo
Cincinnati
Bearcats54
18-15
versus
SMU Mustangs logo
SMU
Mustangs52
20-13
Final
Team12T
Cincinnati Bearcats292554
SMU Mustangs272552
NCAAB · Cincinnati Bearcats at SMU Mustangs

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Cincinnati Bearcats vs SMU Mustangs Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 14, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET

Venue: Moody Coliseum — Dallas, TX

Article updated Jan 14, 11:09 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Cincinnati is on the road playing SMU at the Moody Coliseum stadium on Saturday, 1/14/2023 @ 4:00pm EST. Cincinnati -5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't

Game outlook

Cincinnati is on the road playing SMU at the Moody Coliseum stadium on Saturday, 1/14/2023 @ 4:00pm EST. Cincinnati -5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

The Cincinnati Bearc ats (12-6, 3-2 AAC) and SMU Mustangs (6-11, 1-3 AAC) meet on Saturday at Moody Coliseum in Dallas. Landers Nolley II scored 20 points to lead Cincinnati past East Carolina 83-55 on Wednesday. Over the last four games, Cincinnati is 2-2. Tulane defeated SMU 97-88 on Wednesday, ending a three-game losing streak and a five-game losing streak. The Cincinnati Reds will be without John Newman III and Rob Phinisee. It is unclear whether Zhuric Phelps can play.

It's difficult to stop Cincinnati's offense

Cincinnati averages 78.1 points per game, ranking 57th in the country. In terms of three-point shooting, Cincinnati is 73rd in the nation, hitting 36.6% of its attempts. The overall field goal shooting percentage for Cincinnati is 45.6%. Opponents are averaging 68.1 points per game against Cincinnati's defense. Among the top 115 defenses in the country, the Bearcats allow just 31.8% three-point shooting and 41.7% field goals.

SMU is giving up too much on defense

SMU allows an average of 73.5 points per game which is 288th in the nation. The Mustangs allow opponents to shoot 43.5% overall and 34.7% from behind the three-point line. SMU’s offense cannot generate enough points to make up for what the defense is giving up. The Mustangs are scoring an average of 69.0 points per game while shooting a below average 42.8% overall and 31.4% from three-point land.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

In its home game, SMU could be without its leading scorer Zhuric Phelps, who is questionable with a quad strain. In addition to being second in assists, Phelps' absence on the court will be noticeable. Averaging 73.5 points per game, SMU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games, including two games without Phelps. Eight of Cincinnati's last ten games have covered the spread, and the team scores 78.1 points per game, which is 57th in the nation. SMU perimeter defense allows opponents to shoot 34.7% from 3-point territory, which is 252nd best in the country, as the Bearcats shoot 36.6% from three-point range.

Cincinnati Highlights

With a power ranking of 96, Cincinnati is ranked #56 in offense (scoring an average of 78.11 per game), #152 in defense (allowing an average of 68.11 points to be scored against them per game) and are 12-6 (12-5 ATS) this season.

SMU Highlights

SMU Mustangs has a power ranking of 311 and are #254 for offense (scoring an average of 69.00 per game), #289 for defense (giving up an average of 68.11 points per game) and 6-11 (6-10-1 ATS) overall. Cincinnati went 1-2 (0-3 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against SMU.

Curated Picks & Predictions

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be CINCY 68, SMU 78. 50% of SportsJaw players predict SMU Mustangs to cover. OddsShark 's prediction is Cincinnati will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

77% picked SMU Mustangs on Covers.com

SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Bearcats 87 to Mustangs 78.

Staff Prediction

Our prediction: Bearcats 87 to Mustangs 78.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#CincinnatiBearcats#SMUMustangs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bearcats vs Mustangs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bearcats vs Mustangs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Cincinnati Bearcats-200 → -225Moved
  • Moneyline · SMU Mustangs+175 → +185Moved
  • Spread · Cincinnati Bearcats-5 (-110) → -5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · SMU Mustangs+5 (-110) → +5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over146.25 (-110) → 145.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under146.25 (-110) → 145.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Cincinnati Bearcats
18-15 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
SMU Mustangs
20-13 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-01-14T16:09:43.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

In its home game, SMU could be without its leading scorer Zhuric Phelps, who is questionable with a quad strain. In addition to being second in assists, Phelps' absence on the court will be noticeable. Averaging 73.5 points per game, SMU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games, including two games without Phelps. Eight of Cincinnati's last ten games have covered the spread, and the team scores 78.1 points per game, which is 57th in the nation. SMU perimeter defense allows opponents to shoot 34.7% from 3-point territory, which is 252nd best in the country, as the Bearcats shoot 36.6% from three-point range.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-03-03Cincinnati Bearcats 71 · SMU Mustangs 76
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Cincinnati Bearcats defeated SMU Mustangs 54-52

Cincinnati Bearcats defeated SMU Mustangs 54-52 on January 14, 2023, a 2-point decision in the series. Cincinnati Bearcats' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 29-27. Against SportsJaw's recorded Cincinnati Bearcats -5 (-110) spread, SMU Mustangs covered, while the 106 combined points finished under the recorded total of 145.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · SMU Mustangs +5.5 (-110)Win