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  3. SMU Mustangs vs East Carolina Pirates
Sat 4:00 PM ET
SMU Mustangs logo
SMU
Mustangs75
6-5
versus
East Carolina Pirates logo
East Carolina
Pirates64
5-6
Final
Team12T
SMU Mustangs373875
East Carolina Pirates283664
NCAAB · SMU Mustangs at East Carolina Pirates

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SMU Mustangs vs East Carolina Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 13, 2024 at 4:00 PM ET

Venue: Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum — Greenville, NC

Article updated Jan 13, 6:23 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The SMU Mustangs will be facing off against the East Carolina Pirates in an American Athletic Conference game at the Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum. The Mustangs are

Game outlook

The SMU Mustangs will be facing off against the East Carolina Pirates in an American Athletic Conference game at the Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum. The Mustangs are coming off a close loss against the Memphis Tigers and currently hold a 6-5 record overall. The Pirates, on the other hand, are on a two-game winning streak after defeating the Temple Owls in their last game. SMU is considered the betting favorite with an opening line of -5, but the current line is SMU -4.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mustangs -190 | Pirates +160

Spread: Mustangs -4 (-110) | Pirates +4 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 137.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that SMU will win straight-up is 66%.

SMU Mustangs

The SMU Mustangs are looking to bounce back from a recent loss to the 15th-ranked Memphis Tigers. In that game, the Mustangs struggled with their shooting, making just 33.8 percent of their field goals and 14.3 percent of their three-point attempts. However, senior forward Tyreek Smith had a strong performance off the bench, scoring 12 points and grabbing seven rebounds. Defensively, the Mustangs did a good job of limiting Memphis's shooting percentages. Overall, the team's offense has been average this season, scoring an average of 74.5 points per game, while their defense has been strong, allowing just 61.7 points per game. Unfortunately, guard Denver Anglin is currently out with a foot injury. In terms of their stats, the Mustangs have been shooting 45.61 percent from the field, 65.76 percent from the free-throw line, and 34.19 percent from beyond the arc. They also average 40.87 rebounds per game. Defensively, they have held opponents to 36.64 percent shooting from the field and 69.86 percent from the free-throw line, while allowing just 26.30 percent from three-point range.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

East Carolina Pirates Analysis

The East Carolina Pirates recently achieved a 73-62 victory over the Temple Owls, showcasing impressive shooting and a strong defensive performance. They shot at a 54.0% overall rate, including 42.9% from beyond the arc, and made 11 free throws. Junior guard RJ Felton played a key role in the win, contributing 20 points, five rebounds, three assists, and one steal and block each. The Pirates' defense limited Temple to a shooting split of 36.4/25.9/78.9 throughout the game. However, the Pirates have struggled on offense this season, averaging only 72.7 points per game, placing them at 239th in the NCAA. Their defense has been relatively average, allowing 69.2 points per game, ranking at 129th. In terms of specific statistics, the Pirates hit 43.27% of their field goals, 69.36% of their free throws, and make 30.82% of their three-point attempts. They also average 36.20 rebounds, 11.93 offensive assists, and 10.80 turnovers per game. On defense, they allow opponents to hit 44.09% of their field goals, 71.85% of their free throws, and make 31.49% of their three-point attempts. The Pirates also average 34.20 defensive rebounds, 12.73 defensive assists, and 13.53 turnovers per game. In terms of their overall performance, the East Carolina Pirates have a power ranking of 187. They are ranked 235th for offense, scoring an average of 72.67 points per game, and 142nd for defense, allowing an average of 69.73 points per game. Their overall record is 9-7, with a 7-7-1 ATS record. In their previous three matchups against SMU, they went 1-2 (1-2 ATS). In regards to the team's injury report, center Callum Richard is listed as questionable with an undisclosed injury, while guard Ta'Korrie Faison is out due to personal reasons. 𝐈𝐭'𝐬 𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐮𝐩 𝐢𝐧 𝐌𝐞𝐦𝐩𝐡𝐢𝐬 🔥 #PonyUpDallas | @American_MBB pic.twitter.com/D7Zb3kCwPZ

Contrasting defensive performances and shooting prowess give SMU Mustangs the edge in upcoming game

A noticeable discrepancy between these programs lies in their defensive performance, particularly evident in recent games. The Mustangs have exhibited a strong defensive presence, allowing a mere 58.2 points in their past five matches. Conversely, the Pirates have struggled defensively, surrendering an average of 71.0 points in their previous four games. Furthermore, the ability to effectively shoot from beyond the arc is a paramount skillset in basketball, and these teams display contrasting prowess in this area. SMU ranks 86th in college basketball, boasting a commendable 35.6 team three-point percentage. In contrast, East Carolina falls behind considerably, occupying the 253rd spot in the nation with a meager 31.4 percentage from beyond the arc. All things considered, it is advisable to favor the SMU Mustangs to cover the spread in their road game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mustangs vs Pirates archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mustangs vs Pirates matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · SMU Mustangs-225 → -180Moved
  • Moneyline · East Carolina Pirates+183 → +155Moved
  • Spread · SMU Mustangs-5 (-110) → -4 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · East Carolina Pirates+5 (-110) → +4 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over136.5 (-110) → 137.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under136.5 (-110) → 137.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

SMU Mustangs
6-5 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
East Carolina Pirates
5-6 matchup record · 5-4-1 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-13T11:23:08.377Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The SMU Mustangs are looking to bounce back from a recent loss to the 15th-ranked Memphis Tigers. In that game, the Mustangs struggled with their shooting, making just 33.8 percent of their field goals and 14.3 percent of their three-point attempts. However, senior forward Tyreek Smith had a strong performance off the bench, scoring 12 points and grabbing seven rebounds. Defensively, the Mustangs did a good job of limiting Memphis's shooting percentages. Overall, the team's offense has been average this season, scoring an average of 74.5 points per game, while their defense has been strong, allowing just 61.7 points per game. Unfortunately, guard Denver Anglin is currently out with a foot injury. In terms of their stats, the Mustangs have been shooting 45.61 percent from the field, 65.76 percent from the free-throw line, and 34.19 percent from beyond the arc. They also average 40.87 rebounds per game. Defensively, they have held opponents to 36.64 percent shooting from the field and 69.86 percent from the free-throw line, while allowing just 26.30 percent from three-point range.

The East Carolina Pirates recently achieved a 73-62 victory over the Temple Owls, showcasing impressive shooting and a strong defensive performance. They shot at a 54.0% overall rate, including 42.9% from beyond the arc, and made 11 free throws. Junior guard RJ Felton played a key role in the win, contributing 20 points, five rebounds, three assists, and one steal and block each. The Pirates' defense limited Temple to a shooting split of 36.4/25.9/78.9 throughout the game. However, the Pirates have struggled on offense this season, averaging only 72.7 points per game, placing them at 239th in the NCAA. Their defense has been relatively average, allowing 69.2 points per game, ranking at 129th. In terms of specific statistics, the Pirates hit 43.27% of their field goals, 69.36% of their free throws, and make 30.82% of their three-point attempts. They also average 36.20 rebounds, 11.93 offensive assists, and 10.80 turnovers per game. On defense, they allow opponents to hit 44.09% of their field goals, 71.85% of their free throws, and make 31.49% of their three-point attempts. The Pirates also average 34.20 defensive rebounds, 12.73 defensive assists, and 13.53 turnovers per game. In terms of their overall performance, the East Carolina Pirates have a power ranking of 187. They are ranked 235th for offense, scoring an average of 72.67 points per game, and 142nd for defense, allowing an average of 69.73 points per game. Their overall record is 9-7, with a 7-7-1 ATS record. In their previous three matchups against SMU, they went 1-2 (1-2 ATS). In regards to the team's injury report, center Callum Richard is listed as questionable with an undisclosed injury, while guard Ta'Korrie Faison is out due to personal reasons. 𝐈𝐭'𝐬 𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐮𝐩 𝐢𝐧 𝐌𝐞𝐦𝐩𝐡𝐢𝐬 🔥 #PonyUpDallas | @American_MBB pic.twitter.com/D7Zb3kCwPZ

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-19East Carolina Pirates 70 · SMU Mustangs 86
  • 2023-02-04SMU Mustangs 72 · East Carolina Pirates 77
Final result

Matchup pick recap

SMU Mustangs defeated East Carolina Pirates 75-64

SMU Mustangs defeated East Carolina Pirates 75-64 on January 13, 2024, a 11-point decision in the series. SMU Mustangs' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 37-28. Against SportsJaw's recorded SMU Mustangs -4 (-110) spread, SMU Mustangs covered, while the 139 combined points finished over the recorded total of 137.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · SMU Mustangs -4 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · East Carolina Pirates +4 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · East Carolina Pirates +4 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Win