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  3. Penn St. Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers
Sat 2:15 PM ET
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Purdue Boilermakers logo
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Penn St. Nittany Lions364278
Purdue Boilermakers563995
NCAAB · Penn St. Nittany Lions at Purdue Boilermakers

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Penn St. Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 13, 2024 at 2:15 PM ET

Venue: Mackey Arena — West Lafayette, IN

Article updated Jan 13, 6:21 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This content provides a brief summary of the upcoming Big Ten basketball game between the Penn State Nittany Lions and the #1 Purdue Boilermakers. The Nittany Lions recently

Game outlook

This content provides a brief summary of the upcoming Big Ten basketball game between the Penn State Nittany Lions and the #1 Purdue Boilermakers. The Nittany Lions recently suffered a narrow defeat against Northwestern, while the Boilermakers faced an unexpected loss to Nebraska. Purdue emerged victorious in both matchups against Penn State last season. The Boilermakers are currently favored by 20 points and the game will be held at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette. The match will be televised on the Big Ten Network. Notably, the opening betting odds favor Purdue by -18.5 points, and there have been no significant changes in the line.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Nittany Lions +1,081 | Boilermakers -2,150

Spread: Nittany Lions +18.5 (-110) | Boilermakers -18.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 152 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Purdue will win straight-up is 96%.

Penn St. Nittany Lions

Penn State basketball team has recently faced setbacks with two losses in their last three games, thus hindering their progress in the challenging Big Ten. The Nittany Lions were defeated by Michigan State in a conference game and also lost their home game against Northwestern, with their sole victory during this period being against the struggling Michigan Wolverines. It is worth noting that Penn State has only played two conference games on the road, losing both, including a setback against Maryland. In their most recent game, guard Kanye Clary stood out with 25 points despite the team's loss to Northwestern. Clary, a 5'11 sophomore guard, is the top scorer for Penn State, averaging 18.8 points per game. He is also the team's leading shooter from beyond the arc, making 22 three-pointers with a success rate of 36.7%. Clary has consistently scored 18 or more points in his last eight games, including a season-high 29-point performance against Rider. Another key contributor for Penn State is 6'1 senior guard Ace Baldwin Jr., who provides an additional 13.1 points per game and leads the team with 4.4 assists per game. Baldwin scored 25 points in the previous game against Michigan but only managed six points against Northwestern. Qudus Wahab, a 6'11, 245-pound post player from Nigeria, is the team's leading presence in the paint, averaging 9.9 points and 8.6 rebounds per game. D'Marco Dunn, a 6'5 junior scorer on the wing, contributes 7.3 points per game. According to KenPom rankings, Penn State currently holds the 113th spot in the nation. Their offensive efficiency ranks at 128th, while their defensive efficiency ranks at 116th. In terms of pace, Penn State plays fast and is ranked 51st in the country. No injuries have been reported for the team. In terms of statistics, Penn State's power ranking is 115, with an offensive ranking of 142, a defensive ranking of 198, and an overall record of 8-8 (6-10 ATS) for the season. Offensively, the Nittany Lions have a field goal percentage of 42.97% (ranked 273rd), a free throw percentage of 73.94% (ranked 81st), and a three-point percentage of 30.26%

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Purdue Boilermakers Analysis

Purdue is currently ranked 1st in the nation for their upcoming game against Penn State, although they are expected to fall from that position regardless of the outcome. Their last game against Nebraska resulted in a loss, with Purdue being favored by 7.5 points. So far, Purdue has lost two out of their first five games in Big Ten play and is currently trailing behind a 4-0 Wisconsin team. In the game against Nebraska, forward Mason Gillis led Purdue with 16 points off the bench. The team is led by center Zach Edey, who stands at 7'4 and weighs 300 pounds. He was the National Player of the Year last season and is currently averaging 21.8 points and 10.4 rebounds per game. However, Edey has been relatively quiet in his last two games, scoring 15 or less in each. Point guard Braden Smith complements Edey's play with an average of 12.8 points, 6.7 assists, and 5.4 rebounds per game. Smith is also known for his strong perimeter defense. Lance Jones and Fletcher Loyer contribute as outside shooters on the team. According to KenPom, Purdue is currently ranked 3rd overall. They have a high offensive efficiency ranking of 2nd and a defensive efficiency ranking of 17th. The team plays at a slower pace to involve Edey in their offense, with a national ranking of 180th in tempo. As for their overall performance, Purdue has a power ranking of 16 and ranks 20th in offense, scoring an average of 84.38 points per game. Their defense is ranked 125th, allowing an average of 69.00 points per game. The team has a record of 14-2 and is 10-5-1 against the spread. Penn State has won three out of their last three matchups against Purdue. Regarding offensive statistics, Purdue has a field goal percentage of 48.90% (ranked 29th), a free throw percentage of 72.37% (ranked 132nd), and a three-point percentage of 39.38% (ranked 11th in the nation). They also average 40.81 rebounds per game (ranked 29th), 18.63 offensive assists, and 12.06 turnovers per game (ranked 10th and 158th, respectively).

Purdue Faces Uphill Battle Against Penn State with a 20-Point Advantage

Purdue's upcoming game against Penn State holds great significance as the former aims to rebound after their loss to Nebraska. However, considering the esteemed reputation of their conference opponent, it appears excessive to grant Purdue a 20-point advantage. This conclusion is supported by a thorough analysis of Purdue's prior performances in conference games, where they failed to secure a victory by a 20-point margin. In fact, their recent triumphs over Illinois and Maryland saw them triumph by a mere five and 14 points, respectively. While it is probable that Purdue will emerge triumphant against the Nittany Lions, it is doubtful that they will exceed the point spread in question. This is particularly notable due to Penn State's formidable guard duo, Kanye Clary and Ace Baldwin Jr., who possess the ability to significantly impact the stat sheet with their scoring prowess. In addition, Penn State's imposing inside presence, Qudus Wahab, a 6'11, 245-pound force, promises to challenge Purdue's Edey. Considering Penn State's ability to limit their losses to a 20-point differential throughout this season, it is improbable that they will perform disappointingly again. Ultimately, while Purdue will secure victory, the strength of Penn State's backcourt guarantees a captivating game, or at the very least, a point difference less than 20. As a result, it is advisable to place one's trust in Penn State's ability to cover the spread.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Nittany Lions vs Boilermakers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Nittany Lions vs Boilermakers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Penn St. Nittany Lions+1,550 → +1,050Moved
  • Moneyline · Purdue Boilermakers-7,001 → -2,300Moved
  • Spread · Penn St. Nittany Lions+18.5 (-110) → +18 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Purdue Boilermakers-18.5 (-110) → -18 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over154.5 (-110) → 151.75 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under154.5 (-110) → 151.75 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Penn St. Nittany Lions
4-7 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 9-1-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Purdue Boilermakers
11-2 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-13T11:21:03.055Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Penn State basketball team has recently faced setbacks with two losses in their last three games, thus hindering their progress in the challenging Big Ten. The Nittany Lions were defeated by Michigan State in a conference game and also lost their home game against Northwestern, with their sole victory during this period being against the struggling Michigan Wolverines. It is worth noting that Penn State has only played two conference games on the road, losing both, including a setback against Maryland. In their most recent game, guard Kanye Clary stood out with 25 points despite the team's loss to Northwestern. Clary, a 5'11 sophomore guard, is the top scorer for Penn State, averaging 18.8 points per game. He is also the team's leading shooter from beyond the arc, making 22 three-pointers with a success rate of 36.7%. Clary has consistently scored 18 or more points in his last eight games, including a season-high 29-point performance against Rider. Another key contributor for Penn State is 6'1 senior guard Ace Baldwin Jr., who provides an additional 13.1 points per game and leads the team with 4.4 assists per game. Baldwin scored 25 points in the previous game against Michigan but only managed six points against Northwestern. Qudus Wahab, a 6'11, 245-pound post player from Nigeria, is the team's leading presence in the paint, averaging 9.9 points and 8.6 rebounds per game. D'Marco Dunn, a 6'5 junior scorer on the wing, contributes 7.3 points per game. According to KenPom rankings, Penn State currently holds the 113th spot in the nation. Their offensive efficiency ranks at 128th, while their defensive efficiency ranks at 116th. In terms of pace, Penn State plays fast and is ranked 51st in the country. No injuries have been reported for the team. In terms of statistics, Penn State's power ranking is 115, with an offensive ranking of 142, a defensive ranking of 198, and an overall record of 8-8 (6-10 ATS) for the season. Offensively, the Nittany Lions have a field goal percentage of 42.97% (ranked 273rd), a free throw percentage of 73.94% (ranked 81st), and a three-point percentage of 30.26%

Purdue's upcoming game against Penn State holds great significance as the former aims to rebound after their loss to Nebraska. However, considering the esteemed reputation of their conference opponent, it appears excessive to grant Purdue a 20-point advantage. This conclusion is supported by a thorough analysis of Purdue's prior performances in conference games, where they failed to secure a victory by a 20-point margin. In fact, their recent triumphs over Illinois and Maryland saw them triumph by a mere five and 14 points, respectively. While it is probable that Purdue will emerge triumphant against the Nittany Lions, it is doubtful that they will exceed the point spread in question. This is particularly notable due to Penn State's formidable guard duo, Kanye Clary and Ace Baldwin Jr., who possess the ability to significantly impact the stat sheet with their scoring prowess. In addition, Penn State's imposing inside presence, Qudus Wahab, a 6'11, 245-pound force, promises to challenge Purdue's Edey. Considering Penn State's ability to limit their losses to a 20-point differential throughout this season, it is improbable that they will perform disappointingly again. Ultimately, while Purdue will secure victory, the strength of Penn State's backcourt guarantees a captivating game, or at the very least, a point difference less than 20. As a result, it is advisable to place one's trust in Penn State's ability to cover the spread.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-03-12Penn St. Nittany Lions 65 · Purdue Boilermakers 67
  • 2023-02-01Penn St. Nittany Lions 60 · Purdue Boilermakers 80
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Purdue Boilermakers defeated Penn St. Nittany Lions 95-78

Purdue Boilermakers defeated Penn St. Nittany Lions 95-78 on January 13, 2024, a 17-point decision in the series. Purdue Boilermakers' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 56-36. Against SportsJaw's recorded Penn St. Nittany Lions +18 (-110) spread, Penn St. Nittany Lions covered, while the 173 combined points finished over the recorded total of 151.75.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Penn St. Nittany Lions +18.5 (-110)Win