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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. San Diego St. Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos
Sat 2:00 PM ET
San Diego St. Aztecs logo
San Diego St.
Aztecs70
12-2
versus
New Mexico Lobos logo
New Mexico
Lobos88
11-3
Final
Team12T
San Diego St. Aztecs373370
New Mexico Lobos404888
NCAAB · San Diego St. Aztecs at New Mexico Lobos

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San Diego State Favored to Win Road Matchup Against New Mexico

Game time: January 13, 2024 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: The Pit — Albuquerque, NM

Article updated Jan 13, 6:23 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

This summary highlights a basketball game between two programs, set to take place in New Mexico. The San Diego State team will be on the road, facing off against the New

Game outlook

This summary highlights a basketball game between two programs, set to take place in New Mexico. The San Diego State team will be on the road, facing off against the New Mexico team on a Saturday afternoon. In their recent matches, San Diego State secured a close victory against San Jose State, but failed to cover the 10-point favorite line. On the other hand, New Mexico suffered a loss to UNLV in a game where they were favored by two points. In terms of their historical series, the Lobos hold a slight advantage with a 49-44 lead, but the Aztecs have won four out of the last five meetings. Notably, the Aztecs won their most recent encounter by a two-point margin. Currently, New Mexico is favored to win with a -3.5 line opening at -3.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Aztecs +145 | Lobos -174

Spread: Aztecs +3.5 (-110) | Lobos -3.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 150.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New Mexico will win straight-up is 64%.

San Diego St. Aztecs

San Diego State recently extended their winning streak to seven games with a close victory over San Jose State on the road. The team currently holds a record of 14-2 overall and is tied for the top spot in the Mountain West conference with a 3-0 record in conference play. In the game against San Jose State, San Diego State had a lead of up to eight points in the first half, but their advantage was reduced to just one point at halftime. The Aztecs held a lead of up to five points in the second half, but the game was tied at 74 with 3:01 remaining before they managed to regroup. San Diego State scored five consecutive points to take a 79-74 lead with 1:52 left on the clock and held on for the win. In terms of shooting, the Aztecs made 47.4% of their field goal attempts, including six of 18 from three-point range, and converted 21 of 29 free throw attempts. Jaedon Ledee was the standout performer for the Aztecs, scoring 31 points and grabbing 10 rebounds in the victory. On the season, San Diego State averages 77.3 points per game, ranking them 118th in the country in terms of scoring offense. They also pull down an average of 38.1 rebounds per game and distribute 13.3 assists per game. Defensively, the Aztecs allow an average of 66 points per game, positioning them 64th in terms of scoring defense. Ledee is one of three players on the team who average double figures in scoring, with 22 points and 8.8 rebounds per game. Reese Waters (12.3 points) and Micah Parrish (10.6 points) also contribute solid scoring options. Lamont Butler, Darrion Trammell, Elijah Saunders, Jay Pal, Miles Byrd, and Miles Heide are considered key role players for the Aztecs. Overall, the team shoots 45.1% from the field and connects on an average of 7.1 three-pointers per game, shooting 32.6% from beyond the arc. They have been slightly above average at the free throw line, converting 73.9% of their attempts. Summarizing the statistical rankings, San Diego State is ranked 121st in offense, averaging 77.31 points per game, and 66th in The highlights from last night's thrilling victory at San Jose State! #GoAztecs pic.twitter.com/fzeN9OJHmH

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New Mexico Lobos Analysis

The New Mexico Lobos suffered their second loss in three games, falling to UNLV in their most recent matchup. With a record of 13-3 overall and a 1-2 conference mark in the Mountain West, the Lobos currently sit tied for sixth place in the standings. Despite trailing early in the game, New Mexico managed to take a brief lead before ultimately falling behind again. They struggled in the second half, allowing UNLV to build a substantial lead and eventually losing by 20 points. In terms of shooting percentages, the Lobos shot 49.1% from the field and allowed UNLV to shoot 50%. Leading scorers for New Mexico in the game were JT Toppin and Jaelen House, each with 16 points. For the season, the Lobos rank 33rd in the nation in scoring offense, averaging 82.3 points per game. They also collect an average of 39.7 rebounds per game and distribute 15.9 assists per contest. Defensively, the team ranks 107th in scoring defense, allowing 68.2 points per game. Jamal Mashburn Jr. leads the team in scoring with an average of 16.2 points per game. Other key contributors include Donovan Dent, JT Toppin, and Jaelen House. The Lobos shoot 46.7% from the field as a team, make an average of 6.3 three-pointers per game, and shoot 66.9% from the free-throw line. Overall, the New Mexico Lobos have a power ranking of 143 and rank 33rd in offense and 107th in defense. They currently hold a record of 13-3 and have been performing well against the spread with a 10-5 ATS record. In their last three matchups against San Diego State, the Lobos went 1-2. On offense, they shoot 46.7% from the field, 34.2% from beyond the arc, and 66.9% from the free-throw line. They average 39.7 rebounds per game and 15.9 offensive assists. Defensively, they allow opponents to shoot 41.1% from the field, 72.3% from the free-throw line, and 30.8% from three-point range. They average 35.1 defensive rebounds per game and 12.6 defensive assists. Their 3rd double-figure game of the season for Mustapha Amzil!! #GoLobos 📺 @FS1 pic.twitter.com/nFnQszSZ4o

New Mexico and San Diego State Set to Clash in Highly Anticipated Matchup

The upcoming matchup between New Mexico and San Diego State presents an interesting challenge for both teams. New Mexico has demonstrated an explosive offensive game thus far, although they will be facing a seasoned San Diego State team that made it to the national title game last season. Ledee has significantly enhanced the Aztecs' offensive prowess compared to the prior year. While Brian Dutcher's team may not possess the same level of suffocating defense as last season, they still excel in this aspect of the game. New Mexico enjoys the advantage of playing on their home court at The Pit, yet recent data shows they have struggled with two losses in their last three games. Ultimately, despite the tenacity displayed by the Lobos, San Diego State's experience and resilience make them the favorites to secure a road victory in this contest.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SanDiegoStAztecs#NewMexicoLobos

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Aztecs vs Lobos archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Aztecs vs Lobos matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · San Diego St. Aztecs+121 → +148Moved
  • Moneyline · New Mexico Lobos-148 → -173Moved
  • Spread · San Diego St. Aztecs+3 (-110) → +3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New Mexico Lobos-3 (-110) → -3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over150 (-110) → 149 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under150 (-110) → 149 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

San Diego St. Aztecs
12-2 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Mexico Lobos
11-3 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-13T11:23:04.622Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-25San Diego St. Aztecs 73 · New Mexico Lobos 71
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New Mexico Lobos defeated San Diego St. Aztecs 88-70

New Mexico Lobos defeated San Diego St. Aztecs 88-70 on January 13, 2024, a 18-point decision in the series. New Mexico Lobos' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 48-33. Against SportsJaw's recorded San Diego St. Aztecs +3.5 (-110) spread, New Mexico Lobos covered, while the 158 combined points finished over the recorded total of 149.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs +3.5 (-110)Loss