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  3. Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels
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North Carolina Tar Heels5251103
NCAAB · Syracuse Orange at North Carolina Tar Heels

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No. 7 North Carolina Prepares for Tough Battle Against Syracuse in ACC Showdown

Game time: January 13, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Dean E. Smith Center — Chapel Hill, NC

Article updated Jan 13, 6:16 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

No. 7 North Carolina will face off against Syracuse in an ACC game at Dean E. Smith Center on Saturday. The Tar Heels emerged victorious in their only meeting last season,

Game outlook

No. 7 North Carolina will face off against Syracuse in an ACC game at Dean E. Smith Center on Saturday. The Tar Heels emerged victorious in their only meeting last season, winning 72-68 as a 4.5-point favorite. North Carolina is currently favored to win again in this matchup, with an opening line of -13 that has not changed.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Orange +575 | Tar Heels -900

Spread: Orange +13 (-110) | Tar Heels -13 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 154.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 90%.

Syracuse Orange

Adrian Autry has taken on the challenging task of replacing longtime coach Jim Boeheim at Syracuse University, where he was a former star player. Autry inherited a program that had underperformed, finishing with a 17-15 overall record and a 10-10 record in the ACC. However, the team has shown promising signs, recently winning their game against Boston College after suffering a loss to Duke. Prior to this, they had secured victories against Pitt, Niagara, Oregon, Georgetown, and Cornell. In the game against Boston College, Chris Bell delivered an impressive performance with 20 points, supported by Maliq Brown who contributed 19 points, eight rebounds, four blocks, and four assists. Syracuse's shooting percentage was at 38%, but their defensive effort resulted in 22 turnovers by the opposing team, limiting them to a 39% shooting percentage. According to KenPom, Syracuse is currently ranked 74th overall, 38th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, and 33rd in strength of schedule. The team is led by Judah Mintz, a 6-3 sophomore who is considered an NBA prospect, averaging 18.5 points and 3.9 assists per game with a shooting percentage of 43.2%. J.J. Starling, a 6-4 transfer from Notre Dame, adds 11 points and 2.6 assists per game. Overall, Syracuse averages 76.9 points per game, shooting at 45% from the field and 32.1% from three-point range. Defensively, they allow an average of 70.7 points per game, with opponents shooting at 42.2% from the field and 30.7% from beyond the arc. The team is currently struggling in rebounding, ranking 244th in rebounding margin at -0.6. In terms of power ranking, Syracuse is placed at 101. Offensively, they rank 125th, averaging 76.93 points per game. They shoot at 44.97% from the field and 73.87% from the free-throw line, with their three-point shooting percentage at 31.97%. Syracuse averages 37.47 rebounds per game and records 14.07 offensive assists and 12.40 turnovers per game. Defensively, they allow opponents to shoot at 42.21% from the field and 67.63% from the free-throw line Bell beats the shot clock! 🛎️ pic.twitter.com/MoIphhgWar

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North Carolina Tar Heels Analysis

North Carolina has emerged as one of the top teams in the ACC in recent weeks, currently ranked 10th in KenPom and 9th in the NCAA Net Rankings. They recently secured a 67-54 victory over NC State, marking their fifth consecutive win. Prior to this, they suffered losses to UConn and Kentucky on the road. In their win against NC State, R.J. Davis contributed 16 points and Harrison Ingram had an impressive performance with nine points and 19 rebounds. Ingram, a transfer from Stanford, has been a valuable addition to the team with his athleticism and ability to shoot three-pointers. Armando Bacot has also been a key player for North Carolina with his scoring, rebounding, and shot-blocking abilities. Overall, North Carolina boasts a strong offense, averaging 82.5 points per game and shooting at a rate of 45.2% from the field. They are also proficient from beyond the arc, making 36% of their three-point attempts. Defensively, the team has shown improvement, allowing an average of 69.7 points per game and holding opponents to 39.7% shooting. They have also been effective in defending three-point shots, limiting opponents to a 29.2% success rate. North Carolina holds a rebounding margin of +5.1, ranking 69th in the nation. In terms of power rankings, North Carolina is ranked 12th and is known for its strong offense, currently sitting at 31st in scoring with an average of 82.47 points per game. Defensively, they rank 140th, allowing an average of 69.67 points per game. The team holds a 12-3 overall record and has a 9-6 record against the spread. Syracuse has a recent track record of 2-1 in their last three matchups against North Carolina. Digging deeper into North Carolina's offensive statistics, they have a field goal percentage of 45.15%, ranking 165th in the country. Their free throw shooting has been solid at 75.60%, ranking 43rd. From long range, they make an average of 36.00% of their three-point attempts, placing them at 86th nationally. Rebounding is another strength for North Carolina, as they average 40.33 rebounds per game, ranking 40th. They also have notable assist and turnover averages of 13.93 and 10.

North Carolina Faces Formidable Challenge in Upcoming Game against Syracuse

North Carolina's upcoming game against Syracuse poses a significant challenge, despite their current strong performance. The point spread is considerable against a formidable Syracuse squad, as the Heels narrowly won by four points last season and required overtime to secure a nine-point victory in 2022. Notably, the Orange have had ample time for rest, having played only once since January 2nd. Syracuse's defensive prowess is noteworthy, leading the ACC in steals with an impressive 146, including 17 in their most recent game. North Carolina's previous home conference game resulted in a 78-70 victory over Florida State, where they were favored by 12.5 points. Syracuse is a talented team, boasting Judah Mintz as a potential NBA lottery pick, further adding to their competitiveness. Anticipate a closely contested match between these two skilled teams.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SyracuseOrange#NorthCarolinaTarHeels

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Orange vs Tar Heels archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Orange vs Tar Heels matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Syracuse Orange+600 → +565Moved
  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-950 → -804Moved
  • Spread · Syracuse Orange+13 (-110) → +12 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-13 (-110) → -12 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over153.5 (-110) → 157.25 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under153.5 (-110) → 157.25 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Syracuse Orange
9-4 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
North Carolina Tar Heels
9-3 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-13T11:16:16.774Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-24North Carolina Tar Heels 72 · Syracuse Orange 68
Final result

Matchup pick recap

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Syracuse Orange 103-67

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Syracuse Orange 103-67 on January 13, 2024, a 36-point decision in the series. North Carolina Tar Heels' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 52-30. Against SportsJaw's recorded Syracuse Orange +12 (-110) spread, North Carolina Tar Heels covered, while the 170 combined points finished over the recorded total of 157.25.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MauriceJonesSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -13 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -13 (-110)Win