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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Boise St. Broncos vs Nevada Wolf Pack
Fri 10:30 PM ET
Boise St. Broncos logo
Boise St.
Broncos64
8-4
versus
Nevada Wolf Pack logo
Nevada
Wolf Pack56
14-1
Final
Team12T
Boise St. Broncos303464
Nevada Wolf Pack272956
NCAAB · Boise St. Broncos at Nevada Wolf Pack

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Highly-Anticipated Matchup: Boise State Broncos Face Nevada Wolf Pack in Battle for Mountain West Conference Supremacy

Game time: January 12, 2024 at 10:30 PM ET

Venue: Lawlor Events Center — Reno, NV

Article updated Jan 11, 10:36 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Mountain West Conference is experiencing intense competition this season, with seven out of the eleven teams having a real chance of winning the MWC Tournament and

Game outlook

The Mountain West Conference is experiencing intense competition this season, with seven out of the eleven teams having a real chance of winning the MWC Tournament and securing a spot in the NCAA tournament. This upcoming game between the Boise State Broncos, with an 8-4 record, and the Nevada Wolfpack, with a remarkable 15-1 record, showcases two of these teams. Both teams currently boast a 2-0 record in the MWC, easily defeating their conference opponents. However, one of them will have to face their first loss during this highly-anticipated match. Taking place on January 1st at 7:30 PM PST, at the Lawlor Events Center, this game holds significance as it is featured on the limited Friday night NCAA schedule. Nevada opens as the favored team with a -6 point spread, and the line has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Broncos +180 | Wolf Pack -218

Spread: Broncos +6 (-110) | Wolf Pack -6 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 140 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Nevada will win straight-up is 69%.

Boise St. Broncos

Boise State basketball coach Leon Rice is currently in his 14th year leading the team. Although the Broncos have made the tournament four times during his tenure, they have not advanced past the first round each time. This season, the team has improved its scoring average to 75.3 points per game, an increase of 3.2 points from the previous year. They have also maintained a strong defensive performance, allowing 65.3 points per game and achieving a 10-point positive margin. The team has a shooting percentage of 45.9% from the field and 24.7% from behind the arc. Notably, forward Tyson Degenhart, who was the Mountain West Freshman of the Year two seasons ago, is averaging 15.1 points per game. Additionally, senior guard Chibuzo Agbo is contributing 15.1 points per game while shooting 49% from the field and a team-best 46.3% from three-point range. Junior forward Omar Stanley, along with Degenhart, contributes 13.1 points per game and 5.8 rebounds. While the team's rebounding average of 37 per game is relatively low for a team with their size, four separate players are averaging over 5 rebounds per game. The team's assist-to-turnover ratio has also improved to 12.9 assists to 11.8 turnovers. In their recent game, Boise State impressively defeated the highly ranked Colorado State Rams by a score of 65-58. This win held the Rams to their lowest point total of the season, 23 points below their average. Omar Stanley recorded his third double-double of the season, scoring 17 points and grabbing 11 rebounds. According to Kenpom, Boise State has moved up to 58th in the nation with an adjusted efficiency margin of 12.66. They have also faced the 51st toughest relative strength of schedule. With an adjusted tempo of 69.8 possessions per 40 minutes, the team maintains a relatively fast-paced style of play. However, the availability of starter Cam Martin is uncertain due to a shoulder injury. Martin currently averages 6.6 points per game and 5.4 rebounds. In terms of power rankings, Boise State is ranked 42nd. Offensively, they are ranked 169th, averaging 75.27 points per game. Defensively, they are ranked 56th, allowing an average Bigs who can shoot >>> @OmarStanley4 gives Boise State the lead! pic.twitter.com/B5kCkyzyai

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Nevada Wolf Pack Analysis

The Nevada Wolfpack have had a successful season so far, with a record of 14-1. Their only loss came in early December against the Drake Bulldogs, where they had their lowest offensive output of the season, scoring only 53 points. Despite this loss, the Wolfpack have been performing well offensively, averaging 78.4 points per game and boasting a positive scoring margin of 15.2. This has allowed them to cover the spread in 11 out of their 15 games. The team is led by veteran coach Steve Alford, who has been with Nevada for six years. The team consists of a mix of Super-Seniors and 4-year seniors, and they are all working towards making a final run towards a championship appearance. In their most recent game, the Wolfpack secured a victory against the Air Force Falcons, winning 67-54. They shot well during the game, making 47% of their field goals and 47% of their shots from behind the arc. Nick Davidson, the team's only underclassman starter, recorded his second double-double of the season with 12 points and 10 rebounds. Additionally, senior guard Kenan Blackshear scored 22 points, which was higher than his season average. The team's offensive prowess is evident in their statistics, as they shoot 47.7% from the field and 34.3% from three-point range. They also demonstrate good efficiency, averaging 14.1 assists and 9.1 turnovers per game, while shooting 72.8% from the free-throw line. Nevada also excels in rebounding, outperforming their opponents with an average of 33.4 rebounds per game. According to KenPom, the team is currently ranked 37th with a strong adjusted efficiency margin of +16.55. They have a power ranking of 102 and are ranked 92nd for offense and 22nd for defense. In their last three matchups against the Boise State Broncos, Nevada has a record of 14-1. Overall, the team has been performing well but still has areas for improvement, particularly in three-point shooting defense and turnover management.

Boise State University Poised for Victory Against Nevada in Intense Matchup

Boise State University has faced a challenging schedule this year, ranking 31st according to KenPom. Coming off an impressive victory against the Colorado State Rams, they are poised to continue their strong performance. The key to their success lies in the dynamic scoring capabilities of Chibuzo Agbo, who consistently creates scoring opportunities both inside the paint and from the perimeter with his exceptional athleticism. Nevada's defense will need to make a concerted effort to contain Agbo and limit his impact on the game. Additionally, Nevada's KJ Hymes will face the difficult task of guarding Boise State's Omar Stanley, who possesses the potential for a double-double. It should be noted that Hymes is currently recovering from an illness which may affect his performance. On the other side, Nevada's offensive strategy heavily relies on point guard Kenan Blackshear, whose tall 6-6 frame allows him to create mismatches on the court. However, Boise State has a capable answer in their own 6-5 senior point guard, Max Rice. In their previous matchup, Rice impressively scored 29 points while Blackshear contributed 12. Both teams have a similar lineup structure, employing three forwards and two guards, and consistently score in the upper 70's, indicating that this game promises to be an intense battle. This will serve as Nevada's first significant challenge since their victory over Georgia Tech in Hawaii on December 24th. Adjusting their pace to counter Boise State's athleticism will be crucial for the Wolfpack. It is worth noting that in the recent series between these two teams, Boise State has emerged victorious in four out of the last five matchups dating back to January 2022. However, in the sole Nevada win, Agbo displayed an outstanding performance with a double-double, while Blackshear contributed 20 points. The closely contested game resulted in a 74-72 win for Nevada. Based on the similarities between these teams and their previous matchups, it is likely that this game will have a similar outcome. Considering Boise State's strong performance, they have a legitimate chance to secure a victory. Therefore, taking the 6.5 points seems reasonable.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

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#BoiseStBroncos#NevadaWolfPack

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Broncos vs Wolf Pack archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Broncos vs Wolf Pack matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Boise St. Broncos+180 → +229Moved
  • Moneyline · Nevada Wolf Pack-218 → -279Moved
  • Spread · Boise St. Broncos+6 (-110) → +6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Nevada Wolf Pack-6 (-110) → -6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over140 (-110) → 139.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under140 (-110) → 139.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Boise St. Broncos
8-4 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Nevada Wolf Pack
14-1 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-12T03:36:04.656Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Boise State basketball coach Leon Rice is currently in his 14th year leading the team. Although the Broncos have made the tournament four times during his tenure, they have not advanced past the first round each time. This season, the team has improved its scoring average to 75.3 points per game, an increase of 3.2 points from the previous year. They have also maintained a strong defensive performance, allowing 65.3 points per game and achieving a 10-point positive margin. The team has a shooting percentage of 45.9% from the field and 24.7% from behind the arc. Notably, forward Tyson Degenhart, who was the Mountain West Freshman of the Year two seasons ago, is averaging 15.1 points per game. Additionally, senior guard Chibuzo Agbo is contributing 15.1 points per game while shooting 49% from the field and a team-best 46.3% from three-point range. Junior forward Omar Stanley, along with Degenhart, contributes 13.1 points per game and 5.8 rebounds. While the team's rebounding average of 37 per game is relatively low for a team with their size, four separate players are averaging over 5 rebounds per game. The team's assist-to-turnover ratio has also improved to 12.9 assists to 11.8 turnovers. In their recent game, Boise State impressively defeated the highly ranked Colorado State Rams by a score of 65-58. This win held the Rams to their lowest point total of the season, 23 points below their average. Omar Stanley recorded his third double-double of the season, scoring 17 points and grabbing 11 rebounds. According to Kenpom, Boise State has moved up to 58th in the nation with an adjusted efficiency margin of 12.66. They have also faced the 51st toughest relative strength of schedule. With an adjusted tempo of 69.8 possessions per 40 minutes, the team maintains a relatively fast-paced style of play. However, the availability of starter Cam Martin is uncertain due to a shoulder injury. Martin currently averages 6.6 points per game and 5.4 rebounds. In terms of power rankings, Boise State is ranked 42nd. Offensively, they are ranked 169th, averaging 75.27 points per game. Defensively, they are ranked 56th, allowing an average Bigs who can shoot >>> @OmarStanley4 gives Boise State the lead! pic.twitter.com/B5kCkyzyai

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-17Nevada Wolf Pack 62 · Boise St. Broncos 77
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Boise St. Broncos defeated Nevada Wolf Pack 64-56

Boise St. Broncos defeated Nevada Wolf Pack 64-56 on January 12, 2024, a 8-point decision in the series. Boise St. Broncos' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 34-29. Against SportsJaw's recorded Boise St. Broncos +6.5 (-110) spread, Boise St. Broncos covered, while the 120 combined points finished under the recorded total of 139.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsTotal · Over 140 (-110)Loss
  • JaredkuntzSpread · Boise St. Broncos +6 (-110)Win
  • JeffjacksonSpread · Boise St. Broncos +6 (-110)Win
  • JtgarciaSpread · Boise St. Broncos +6 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncSpread · Boise St. Broncos +6 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsTotal · Over 140 (-110)Loss
  • MoneymouthTotal · Under 140 (-110)Win
  • GsimmsSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack -6 (-110)Loss
  • BillywatersSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack -6 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Boise St. Broncos +6.5 (-110)Win
  • TweiskoffSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • JackCohen
Spread · Boise St. Broncos +6.5 (-110)
Win
  • MauriceJonesSpread · Boise St. Broncos +6.5 (-110)Win
  • Sammy52Spread · Nevada Wolf Pack -6 (-110)Loss
  • BookieslayerSpread · Boise St. Broncos +6 (-110)Win
  • HopkinspicksSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack -6 (-110)Loss
  • KrockpicksSpread · Nevada Wolf Pack -6 (-110)Loss
  • TjwinsSpread · Boise St. Broncos +6 (-110)Win
  • JamescashiolaTotal · Over 140 (-110)Loss
  • Lockpicker69Spread · Nevada Wolf Pack -6 (-110)Loss
  • 8051275132Spread · Boise St. Broncos +6 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Boise St. Broncos +6 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 140 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Boise St. Broncos +6 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 140 (-110)Loss