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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Riverside Highlanders
Thu 10:00 PM ET
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs56
14-19
versus
UC Riverside Highlanders logo
UC Riverside
Highlanders71
10-22
Final
Team12T
Cal Poly Mustangs233356
UC Riverside Highlanders323971
NCAAB · Cal Poly Mustangs at UC Riverside Highlanders

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Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Riverside Highlanders Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 11, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: SRC Arena — Riverside, CA

Article updated Jan 11, 6:22 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The 2023-24 NCAAB season continues on January 11 with the Cal Poly Mustangs facing off against the UC Riverside Highlanders in a Big West Conference battle at SRC Arena in

Game outlook

The 2023-24 NCAAB season continues on January 11 with the Cal Poly Mustangs facing off against the UC Riverside Highlanders in a Big West Conference battle at SRC Arena in Riverside, California. The game is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET. This will be the first meeting of the season between the Mustangs and Highlanders, and UC Riverside aims to extend its winning streak over Cal Poly to nine games. The Highlanders are initially favored by 8.5 points, but the current line has been adjusted to UC Riverside -9.5.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mustangs +350 | Highlanders -474

Spread: Mustangs +9.5 (-110) | Highlanders -9.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 134 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that UC Riverside will win straight-up is 83%.

Cal Poly Mustangs

The Cal Poly Mustangs have struggled in their recent games, winning only one of their last nine games overall. They have lost four straight contests in league play, including a game where they failed to cover a 6.5-point spread. In that game, they shot poorly from the field and allowed their opponent to make 50.0% of their field goals. Senior guard Kobe Sanders has been a standout player for the Mustangs this season, averaging 18.8 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 2.5 assists. The team is ranked low in the NCAA NET Rankings and the KenPom rankings, and they struggle offensively, making a low number of three-pointers and shooting with a low percentage. Defensively, they allow a high percentage of field goals and three-pointers. Overall, the Mustangs have a 14-19 record this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

UC Riverside Highlanders Analysis

The UC Riverside Highlanders recently suffered a 83-75 defeat at the hands of Long Beach State, marking their second consecutive loss and fifth loss in their last six games. The team failed to cover a 7-point spread in the away game, allowing Long Beach State to score 48 points in the second half. In their previous game, UC Riverside made only 38.4% of their field goals, shooting 6-for-36 from beyond the 3-point line and 13-for-24 from the foul line. Despite the loss, senior guard Kyle Owens and freshman forward Kaleb Smith each contributed 19 points, while freshman guard Barrington Hargress added 14 points and eight rebounds. In terms of rankings, UC Riverside is ranked No. 265 in the NCAA NET Rankings and No. 256 in the KenPom rankings. The team scores an average of 102.7 points per 100 possessions, ranking 221st in the nation, while yielding 109.5 points in return, ranking 273rd. In terms of their shooting percentages, the Highlanders make 8.1 three-pointers per game with a 29.2% clip, ranking 134th, and hit just 38.4% of their field goals, ranking 334th. Furthermore, UC Riverside has a power ranking of 132 and their offense is ranked #290, scoring an average of 69.56 points per game. Their defense is ranked #229, giving up an average of 73.19 points per game. In terms of specific shooting percentages, they make 39.10% of their field goals, ranking #351, and 71.21% of their free throws, ranking #175. They also make an average of 29.19% of their three-pointers, ranking #331 in the NCAAB. Additionally, they average 36.88 rebounds per game, ranking #164, and have 13.81 offensive assists and 9.31 turnovers per game, ranking #161 and #13, respectively. Defensively, UC Riverside allows opponents to make 46.52% of their field goals, ranking #330, and 72.27% of their free throws, ranking #252. They also allow opponents to make an average of 38.01% of their three-pointers, ranking #352, and average 36.00 defensive rebounds per game, ranking #36.

Cal Poly Mustangs' Scoring Challenges Surmountable Against UC Riverside Highlanders

The Cal Poly Mustangs are currently facing challenges in terms of scoring options. Aside from Kobe Sanders, who has consistently performed well, Jarred Hyder is the only player on the team averaging double-digit points per game. In comparison, the UC Riverside Highlanders possess greater depth than Cal Poly. However, they also struggle to score, with only two players averaging over 10.0 points per game. Despite their defensive weaknesses, I anticipate the Mustangs will be able to keep up with the Highlanders and cover the 8.5-point spread. Both teams exhibit a preference for a slower pace of play, further diminishing the likelihood of UC Riverside comfortably outpacing Cal Poly. It is worth noting that UC Riverside has a mixed track record in terms of against the spread (ATS) performance, going 2-2 as favorites in their four previous outings this season.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#CalPolyMustangs#UCRiversideHighlanders

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mustangs vs Highlanders archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mustangs vs Highlanders matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Cal Poly Mustangs+306 → +408Moved
  • Moneyline · UC Riverside Highlanders-404 → -560Moved
  • Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs+8.5 (-110) → +10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · UC Riverside Highlanders-8.5 (-110) → -10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over134 (-110) → 132 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under134 (-110) → 132 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Cal Poly Mustangs
14-19 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
UC Riverside Highlanders
10-22 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 8-1-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-11T11:22:41.551Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-03-04UC Riverside Highlanders 73 · Cal Poly Mustangs 72
  • 2023-01-16Cal Poly Mustangs 78 · UC Riverside Highlanders 83
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UC Riverside Highlanders defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 71-56

UC Riverside Highlanders defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 71-56 on January 11, 2024, a 15-point decision in the series. UC Riverside Highlanders' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 32-23. Against SportsJaw's recorded Cal Poly Mustangs +10.5 (-110) spread, UC Riverside Highlanders covered, while the 127 combined points finished under the recorded total of 132.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DrfeelgoodSpread · UC Riverside Highlanders -9.5 (-110)Win
  • JwSpread · UC Riverside Highlanders -9.5 (-110)Win