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NCAAB PicksThu 10:00 PM ET
TA
Tarleton St.
Texans63
14-18
versus
CA
California Baptist77
Final
Team12T
Tarleton St. Texans342963
California Baptist354277
NCAAB · Tarleton St. Texans at California Baptist

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Tarleton St. Texans vs California Baptist Predictions January 11, 2024

Game time: January 11, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center — Riverside, CA

Article updated Jan 11, 6:35 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Tarleton St. Texans are on the road playing the California Baptist at the Fowler Events Center stadium on Thursday, 1/11/2024 @ 10:00pm EST. California Baptist is the

Game outlook

The Tarleton St. Texans are on the road playing the California Baptist at the Fowler Events Center stadium on Thursday, 1/11/2024 @ 10:00pm EST. California Baptist is the betting favorite opening at -2.25 and the current line is California Baptist -4.

Texans vs Lancers Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Lancers to win tonight's game by 8 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the California Baptist to cover the 4 point spread and the total to go over 129.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Tarleton St. 67 to California Baptist 75

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Tarleton St. Texans and California Baptist, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

51% of SportsJaw players predict California Baptist to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that California Baptist will win straight-up is 64%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be tar 60.75, CBU 68.75.

OddsShark 's prediction is Cal Baptist will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Tarleton St. Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 166, Tarleton St. is ranked #264 in offense (scoring an average of 71.43 per game), #33 in defense (allowing an average of 64.14 points to be scored against them per game) and are 10-4 (6-5 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Texans hit an average of 44.63% of their field goals (ranked #191) and 74.27% of their free throws (ranked #75) and makes an average of 29.80% of their three pointers ranked #322 in the NCAAB). They average 35.57 rebounds per game (ranked # 222) and average 12.64 offensive assists and 12.43 turnovers per game (ranked # 245 and 200 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Tarleton St. allows an average of 41.82% field goals (ranked #125) and 66.18% free throws (ranked #24 in the NCAAB) The Texans allow an average of 32.41% of the three pointers (ranked #164) and averages 33.29 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.29) Finally, the Texans average 12.00 defensive assists and 15.29 turnovers per game (ranked # 136 and 43 respectively).

California Baptist Key Betting Stats

California Baptist has a power ranking of 156 and are #300 for offense (scoring an average of 69.07 per game), #58 for defense (giving up an average of 65.50 points per game) and 8-7 (4-9 ATS) overall. Tarleton St. went 3-0 (2-0-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against California Baptist.

For offense, the Lancers hit an average of 41.41% of their field goals (ranked #309) and 65.17% of their free throws (ranked #329) and makes an average of 31.86% of their three pointers (ranked #258 in the NCAAB). They average 38.64 rebounds per game (ranked # 88) and average 10.79 offensive assists and 11.93 turnovers per game (ranked # 334) and 145 respectively).

On defense, California Baptist allows an average of 42.95% field goals (ranked #179) and 71.86% free throws (ranked #235 in the NCAAB) The Lancers allow an average of 34.25% of the three pointers (ranked #258) and averages 33.64 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.64) Finally, the Lancers average 11.07 defensive assists and 11.57 turnovers per game (ranked # 65 and 272 respectively).

Betting Summary

Tarleton St. has advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the California Baptist to cover the 4 point spread and the total to go over 129.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Texans vs California Baptist archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tarleton St. Texans+125 → +153Moved
  • Moneyline · California Baptist-145 → -178Moved
  • Spread · Tarleton St. Texans+2.25 (-110) → +4 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · California Baptist-2.25 (-110) → -4 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over129.5 (-110) → 129.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under129.5 (-110) → 129.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Tarleton St. Texans
14-18 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
California Baptist
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-11T11:35:44.594Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Tarleton St. Texans and California Baptist, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-12-02UT Rio Grande Valley 75 · Tarleton St. Texans 77
  • 2023-03-07UT Rio Grande Valley 70 · Tarleton St. Texans 74
  • 2023-02-25Tarleton St. Texans 95 · UT Rio Grande Valley 99
  • 2023-02-11Tarleton St. Texans 75 · Utah Tech 71
  • 2023-02-04UT Rio Grande Valley 68 · Tarleton St. Texans 65
Final result

Matchup pick recap

California Baptist defeated Tarleton St. Texans 77-63

California Baptist defeated Tarleton St. Texans 77-63 on January 11, 2024, a 14-point decision in the series. California Baptist's strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 42-29. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tarleton St. Texans +4 (-110) spread, California Baptist covered, while the 140 combined points finished over the recorded total of 129.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • IroncladlocksSpread · California Baptist -3.5 (-110)Win