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  3. Long Beach St. 49ers vs UC San Diego Tritons
Thu 10:00 PM ET
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UC San Diego Tritons logo
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Long Beach St. 49ers423274
UC San Diego Tritons424688
NCAAB · Long Beach St. 49ers at UC San Diego Tritons

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Big West Rivals Long Beach State and UC San Diego Set to Face Off at LionTree Arena

Game time: January 11, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: LionTree Arena — San Diego, CA

Article updated Jan 11, 6:23 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Long Beach State and UC San Diego basketball teams are set to face off on Thursday at LionTree Arena. The game, which will tip off at 7:00 p.m. PT, will be a matchup

Game outlook

The Long Beach State and UC San Diego basketball teams are set to face off on Thursday at LionTree Arena. The game, which will tip off at 7:00 p.m. PT, will be a matchup between two Big West Conference rivals. Long Beach State currently holds a record of 11-5 straight-up (SU), 7-7 against the spread (ATS), and 9-5 over/under (O/U). They have performed well on the road this season, with a 6-2 record both SU and ATS. In Big West play, they have started with a strong 3-1 record. UC San Diego, on the other hand, boasts a record of 9-6 SU, 9-4 ATS, and 5-8 O/U. They have been dominant at home, going undefeated with a 6-1 record SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS. In Big West competition, they have a perfect 3-0 record. Last season, the two teams had an exciting series, with each team winning one of the games. UC San Diego won the first matchup 85-83 in overtime, while Long Beach State triumphed in the next game with a score of 112-110 in triple overtime. According to betting odds, UC San Diego is favored to win the game, with an opening line of -4.5, which has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 49ers +165 | Tritons -197

Spread: 49ers +4.5 (-110) | Tritons -4.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 155.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that UC San Diego will win straight-up is 66%.

Long Beach St. 49ers

Long Beach State has been performing well recently, winning eight of its last ten games overall, including a road victory against USC. The team is currently excelling in conference competition but will need to maintain its strong performance to keep up with UC Irvine, Cal State Northridge, and UC San Diego. Offensively, Long Beach State averages 80.8 points per game, shooting at a 46.1 percent success rate, including 28.0 percent from long range. Their free-throw percentage is at 67.3 percent, and they average 37.0 rebounds, 13.7 assists, and 14.1 turnovers per game. Defensively, the team allows 76.9 points per game, with opponents shooting 42.9 percent, including 31.6 percent from three-point distance. Long Beach State averages 4.1 blocks, 8.6 steals, and commits an average of 19.2 fouls per game. In terms of rankings, Long Beach State is currently ranked 149th in the nation and 151st in offensive efficiency, 172nd in defensive efficiency, and 10th in tempo. Its strength of schedule rating is 202nd. Overall, with a power ranking of 175, Long Beach State has a strong offense but struggles defensively.

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UC San Diego Tritons Analysis

UC San Diego has been performing well since the start of conference play, winning their first three games. The team has faced tough competition in non-conference play, including Cal, Washington, and San Diego State. Offensively, UCSD is efficient, scoring an average of 76.6 points per game and shooting at a 45.8 percent field goal percentage. They also have a decent three-point shooting percentage of 34.7 percent. The team performs well in free throws, converting 75.6 percent of their attempts. In terms of rebounds, assists, and turnovers, UCSD averages 31.1 rebounds, 11.6 assists, and 10.2 turnovers per game. Defensively, the Tritons give up an average of 67.5 points per game. Their opponents shoot at a 42.3 percent field goal percentage, including 33.3 percent from beyond the arc. UCSD performs adequately in blocks and steals, averaging 3.1 blocks and 6.2 steals per game. They also commit an average of 16.1 fouls per game. According to KenPom, UC San Diego is ranked 135th in the country and has faced a moderately challenging schedule. For more college basketball predictions, the article recommends checking out their Expert Picks. Overall, the Tritons have a power ranking of 37 and are ranked 141st for offense and 94th for defense. They have a record of 9-6 (9-4 ATS) and their recent matchups against Long Beach State resulted in a 9-5 record. UCSD has a decent shooting percentage of 45.78 percent from the field and 75.62 percent from the free-throw line. Their three-point shooting percentage is 34.73 percent. In terms of rebounds, they average 34.87 per game. The team also averages 13.27 offensive assists and 10.20 turnovers per game. Defensively, UC San Diego allows opponents to shoot at a 42.34 percent field goal percentage and a 67.53 percent free-throw percentage. Their opponents make an average of 33.33 percent of three-pointers. UCSD also averages 34.20 defensive rebounds per game. Finally, their defensive performance includes an average of 12.93 defensive assists and 12.53 turnovers per game.

Long Beach State's Shooting Success and Defensive Dominance Set Stage for Thrilling Matchup

Long Beach State boasts an impressive shooting percentage of nearly 66 percent at the rim, accounting for 38.8 percent of its field goal attempts. Recognizing its deficiency in three-point shooting, the team must capitalize on its opportunities in the paint. Leveraging its rebounding advantage, Long Beach State can generate valuable putbacks and second-chance scoring opportunities. Despite the Tritons' offensive prowess, there remains uncertainty regarding their efficiency in a faster-paced game. This doubt arises from their proficiency being potentially compromised under a different tempo. In contrast, Long Beach State exhibits a strong defensive presence on the perimeter, consistently limiting opponents to a mere 31.6 percent shooting. Remarkably, this statistic gains further merit when considering that the majority of opponents launch 45.7 percent of their shots from long distance. Additionally, the slower tempo employed by UCSD, ranking 319th in adjusted tempo, relinquishes control over the style of play. Subsequently, this allows Long Beach State, ranked 10th in tempo, to maintain a competitive score throughout the duration of Thursday night's game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw 49ers vs Tritons archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past 49ers vs Tritons matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Long Beach St. 49ers+170 → +147Moved
  • Moneyline · UC San Diego Tritons-202 → -175Moved
  • Spread · Long Beach St. 49ers+4.5 (-110) → +3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · UC San Diego Tritons-4.5 (-110) → -3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over155.5 (-110) → 155 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under155.5 (-110) → 155 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Long Beach St. 49ers
9-5 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
UC San Diego Tritons
6-6 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-6-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-11T11:23:03.774Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-21Long Beach St. 49ers 112 · UC San Diego Tritons 110
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UC San Diego Tritons defeated Long Beach St. 49ers 88-74

UC San Diego Tritons defeated Long Beach St. 49ers 88-74 on January 11, 2024, a 14-point decision in the series. UC San Diego Tritons' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 46-32. Against SportsJaw's recorded Long Beach St. 49ers +3.5 (-110) spread, UC San Diego Tritons covered, while the 162 combined points finished over the recorded total of 155.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • OddssharkTotal · Over 155.5 (-110)Win
  • DengWinsSpread · UC San Diego Tritons -4.5 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreySpread · UC San Diego Tritons -4.5 (-110)Win