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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Southern Illinois Salukis vs Valparaiso Crusaders
Wed 8:00 PM ET
Southern Illinois Salukis logo
Southern Illinois
Salukis77
8-3
versus
Valparaiso Crusaders logo
Valparaiso
Crusaders68
2-10
Final
Team12T
Southern Illinois Salukis443377
Valparaiso Crusaders244468
NCAAB · Southern Illinois Salukis at Valparaiso Crusaders

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Southern Illinois Salukis Expected to Dominate Valparaiso Beacons in Missouri Valley Conference Matchup

Game time: January 10, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Athletics-Recreation Center — Valparaiso, IN

Article updated Jan 9, 10:36 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Southern Illinois Salukis will be facing off against the Valparaiso Beacons in a Missouri Valley Conference matchup at the Athletics-Recreation center on Wednesday night.

Game outlook

The Southern Illinois Salukis will be facing off against the Valparaiso Beacons in a Missouri Valley Conference matchup at the Athletics-Recreation center on Wednesday night. The Salukis have been in impressive form, with a five-game winning streak, including a recent road victory against the Illinois State Redbirds. In contrast, the Beacons have been struggling, enduring a nine-game losing streak and most recently falling to the UIC Flames on the road. Southern Illinois is currently favored to win, with an opening line of -10.5 and a current line of -9.5.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Salukis -540 | Crusaders +390

Spread: Salukis -9.5 (-110) | Crusaders +9.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 134.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Southern Illinois will win straight-up is 84%.

Southern Illinois Salukis

The Southern Illinois Salukis are currently performing at a high level, evident in their recent 71-64 road win over the Illinois State Redbirds. In this game, the Salukis showcased impressive shooting, hitting over 50% of their field goals and three-pointers. Senior guard Xavier Johnson stood out with his exceptional performance, contributing 26 points, five rebounds, nine assists, one steal, and four turnovers in nearly 40 minutes of play. Defensively, the Salukis limited their opponent to a shooting percentage of 44.1% from the field, 16.7% from beyond the arc, and only allowed 15 free throw attempts. This strong defensive effort has been consistent throughout the season, as they are currently ranked 25th in the country, allowing an average of 63.5 points per game. Offensively, the Salukis rank 180th in college basketball, scoring an average of 75.0 points per game. Despite this, their shooting percentages and three-point conversion rate rank in the top 100 nationally. They also display an ability to generate assists while minimizing turnovers. The team has been successful this season, holding a record of 11-4 with an 11-2-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record. Although they will be without center Cade Hornecker due to an ankle injury, their power ranking stands at 65, with an offensive ranking of 179 and a defensive ranking of 24. Overall, the Salukis have displayed a strong offensive and defensive performance, with proficient shooting and effective defense being key factors in their success.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Valparaiso Crusaders Analysis

The Valparaiso Beacons are seeking to break their extensive losing streak following a 70-64 loss against the UIC Flames. Their defensive performance was commendable in holding UIC to a shooting split of 43.5/25.0/62.5. However, their offense struggled, shooting 35.5 percent from the floor and 34.8 percent from the three-point line. Isaiah Stafford had a standout performance off the bench, contributing 19 points, two rebounds, and one steal. The Beacons currently rank 325th in the sport with an average of 66.9 points per game and 203rd in defense, allowing an average of 72.0 points per game. Center Lual Mayang is out with a knee injury. The Beacons have an overall power ranking of 295 and a record of 4-11 (8-6 ATS). In their last three matchups against Valparaiso, Southern Illinois went 0-3 (0-3 ATS). On offense, the Beacons shoot 39.81 percent from the field, 70.39 percent from the free-throw line, and 30.67 percent from three-point range. They average 34.71 rebounds, 12.21 offensive assists, and 11.93 turnovers per game. On defense, Valparaiso allows opponents to shoot 44.66 percent from the field, 68.03 percent from the free-throw line, and 33.67 percent from three-point range. They average 40.14 defensive rebounds, 14.21 defensive assists, and 14.07 turnovers per game.

Southern Illinois Salukis' Dominant Defense and Superior Shooting Make Them Favorites to Cover the Spread Away from Home

The defensive performances of Southern Illinois and the Beacons in their recent games have displayed a significant contrast. Southern Illinois has been conceding an average of 56.8 points per game, while the Beacons have allowed a much higher 79.3 points per game. The importance of being proficient in shooting three-pointers cannot be understated, and in this aspect, there is a significant discrepancy between the two teams. Valpo ranks poorly in college basketball, sitting at 310th place, with a team three-point percentage of 29.7%. In contrast, Southern Illinois ranks impressively high in the sport, securing 19th place with a three-point percentage of 38.2%. Taking all factors into consideration, it is advisable to support the Southern Illinois Salukis to cover the spread, particularly given that they are playing away from home.

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Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#SouthernIllinoisSalukis#ValparaisoCrusaders

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Salukis vs Crusaders archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Salukis vs Crusaders matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Southern Illinois Salukis-590 → -500Moved
  • Moneyline · Valparaiso Crusaders+425 → +385Moved
  • Spread · Southern Illinois Salukis-10.5 (-110) → -9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Valparaiso Crusaders+10.5 (-110) → +9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over133 (-110) → 135 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under133 (-110) → 135 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Southern Illinois Salukis
8-3 matchup record · 9-1-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Valparaiso Crusaders
2-10 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-10T03:36:07.691Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Southern Illinois Salukis are currently performing at a high level, evident in their recent 71-64 road win over the Illinois State Redbirds. In this game, the Salukis showcased impressive shooting, hitting over 50% of their field goals and three-pointers. Senior guard Xavier Johnson stood out with his exceptional performance, contributing 26 points, five rebounds, nine assists, one steal, and four turnovers in nearly 40 minutes of play. Defensively, the Salukis limited their opponent to a shooting percentage of 44.1% from the field, 16.7% from beyond the arc, and only allowed 15 free throw attempts. This strong defensive effort has been consistent throughout the season, as they are currently ranked 25th in the country, allowing an average of 63.5 points per game. Offensively, the Salukis rank 180th in college basketball, scoring an average of 75.0 points per game. Despite this, their shooting percentages and three-point conversion rate rank in the top 100 nationally. They also display an ability to generate assists while minimizing turnovers. The team has been successful this season, holding a record of 11-4 with an 11-2-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record. Although they will be without center Cade Hornecker due to an ankle injury, their power ranking stands at 65, with an offensive ranking of 179 and a defensive ranking of 24. Overall, the Salukis have displayed a strong offensive and defensive performance, with proficient shooting and effective defense being key factors in their success.

The Valparaiso Beacons are seeking to break their extensive losing streak following a 70-64 loss against the UIC Flames. Their defensive performance was commendable in holding UIC to a shooting split of 43.5/25.0/62.5. However, their offense struggled, shooting 35.5 percent from the floor and 34.8 percent from the three-point line. Isaiah Stafford had a standout performance off the bench, contributing 19 points, two rebounds, and one steal. The Beacons currently rank 325th in the sport with an average of 66.9 points per game and 203rd in defense, allowing an average of 72.0 points per game. Center Lual Mayang is out with a knee injury. The Beacons have an overall power ranking of 295 and a record of 4-11 (8-6 ATS). In their last three matchups against Valparaiso, Southern Illinois went 0-3 (0-3 ATS). On offense, the Beacons shoot 39.81 percent from the field, 70.39 percent from the free-throw line, and 30.67 percent from three-point range. They average 34.71 rebounds, 12.21 offensive assists, and 11.93 turnovers per game. On defense, Valparaiso allows opponents to shoot 44.66 percent from the field, 68.03 percent from the free-throw line, and 33.67 percent from three-point range. They average 40.14 defensive rebounds, 14.21 defensive assists, and 14.07 turnovers per game.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-14Southern Illinois Salukis 66 · Valparaiso Crusaders 62
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Southern Illinois Salukis defeated Valparaiso Crusaders 77-68

Southern Illinois Salukis defeated Valparaiso Crusaders 77-68 on January 10, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. Southern Illinois Salukis' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 44-24. Against SportsJaw's recorded Southern Illinois Salukis -9.5 (-110) spread, Valparaiso Crusaders covered, while the 145 combined points finished over the recorded total of 135.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • PeytoncSpread · Valparaiso Crusaders -10.5 (-110)Win
  • RcollinsTotal · Under 133 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Southern Illinois Salukis -9.5 (-110)Loss
  • Altuve27Spread · Southern Illinois Salukis -9.5 (-110)Loss
  • GustavosintoSpread · Southern Illinois Salukis -9.5 (-110)Loss
  • Roderick806Spread · Southern Illinois Salukis -9.5 (-110)Loss
  • Hustle$Spread · Southern Illinois Salukis -9.5 (-110)Loss