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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack
Wed 8:00 PM ET
North Carolina Tar Heels logo
North Carolina
Tar Heels67
24-8
versus
NC State Wolfpack logo
NC State
Wolfpack54
20-13
Final
Team12T
North Carolina Tar Heels303767
NC State Wolfpack282654
NCAAB · North Carolina Tar Heels at NC State Wolfpack

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North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 10, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: PNC Arena — Raleigh, NC

Article updated Jan 9, 10:36 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The North Carolina Tar Heels are on the road playing the NC State Wolfpack at the PNC Arena stadium on Wednesday, 1/10/2024 @ 8:00pm EST. North Carolina is the betting

Game outlook

The North Carolina Tar Heels are on the road playing the NC State Wolfpack at the PNC Arena stadium on Wednesday, 1/10/2024 @ 8:00pm EST. North Carolina is the betting favorite opening at -4.5 and the current line is North Carolina -3.

Tar Heels vs Wolfpack Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Wolfpack to win tonight's game by 25 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the NC State Wolfpack to cover the 3 point spread and the total to go over 153 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: North Carolina 67 to NC State 92

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the North Carolina Tar Heels and NC State Wolfpack, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

51% of SportsJaw users predict North Carolina Tar Heels to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 60%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be UNC 79.5, NCST 73.5.

OddsShark 's prediction is North Carolina State will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

51% picked North Carolina Tar Heels on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

North Carolina Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 12, North Carolina is ranked #20 in offense (scoring an average of 85.00 per game), #199 in defense (allowing an average of 72.00 points to be scored against them per game) and are 11-3 (8-6 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Tar Heels hit an average of 45.91% of their field goals (ranked #129) and 77.13% of their free throws (ranked #22) and makes an average of 36.30% of their three pointers ranked #82 in the NCAAB). They average 39.38 rebounds per game (ranked # 66) and average 14.15 offensive assists and 10.08 turnovers per game (ranked # 134 and 35 respectively).

Defensively speaking, North Carolina allows an average of 40.95% field goals (ranked #87) and 73.49% free throws (ranked #303 in the NCAAB) The Tar Heels allow an average of 31.80% of the three pointers (ranked #130) and averages 34.92 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.92) Finally, the Tar Heels average 11.31 defensive assists and 12.46 turnovers per game (ranked # 80 and 200 respectively).

NC State Key Betting Stats

NC State Wolfpack has a power ranking of 81 and are #111 for offense (scoring an average of 77.85 per game), #122 for defense (giving up an average of 68.77 points per game) and 11-3 (7-7 ATS) overall. North Carolina went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against NC State.

For offense, the Wolfpack hit an average of 44.63% of their field goals (ranked #190) and 69.08% of their free throws (ranked #250) and makes an average of 34.01% of their three pointers (ranked #168 in the NCAAB). They average 36.85 rebounds per game (ranked # 170) and average 13.38 offensive assists and 8.92 turnovers per game (ranked # 193) and 5 respectively).

On defense, NC State allows an average of 42.97% field goals (ranked #184) and 69.17% free throws (ranked #112 in the NCAAB) The Wolfpack allow an average of 33.21% of the three pointers (ranked #203) and averages 36.85 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 36.85) Finally, the Wolfpack average 11.23 defensive assists and 14.38 turnovers per game (ranked # 75 and 67 respectively).

Betting Summary

NC State has the advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the NC State Wolfpack to cover the 3 point spread and the total to go over 153 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NorthCarolinaTarHeels#NCStateWolfpack

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Tar Heels vs Wolfpack archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Tar Heels vs Wolfpack matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-187 → -154Moved
  • Moneyline · NC State Wolfpack+157 → +133Moved
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-4.5 (-110) → -3 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · NC State Wolfpack+4.5 (-110) → +3 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over154.5 (-110) → 153.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under154.5 (-110) → 153.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

North Carolina Tar Heels
24-8 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
NC State Wolfpack
20-13 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-10T03:36:12.481Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the North Carolina Tar Heels and NC State Wolfpack, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-19North Carolina Tar Heels 69 · NC State Wolfpack 77
  • 2023-01-21NC State Wolfpack 69 · North Carolina Tar Heels 80
Final result

Matchup pick recap

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated NC State Wolfpack 67-54

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated NC State Wolfpack 67-54 on January 10, 2024, a 13-point decision in the series. North Carolina Tar Heels' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 37-26. Against SportsJaw's recorded North Carolina Tar Heels -3 (-110) spread, North Carolina Tar Heels covered, while the 121 combined points finished under the recorded total of 153.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Sarah_MillerSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels +4.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnmiznerSpread · NC State Wolfpack +4.5 (-110)Loss
  • StevehSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -4.5 (-110)Win
  • MrmisterSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -4.5 (-110)Win
  • JoeyBergSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -4.5 (-110)Win
  • TweiskoffSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -4 (-110)Win
  • StevedSpread · NC State Wolfpack +4 (-110)Loss
  • EmcSpread · NC State Wolfpack +4 (-110)Loss
  • KryptonMoneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels -165Win
  • JeffjacksonTotal · Under 154.25 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -3.5 (-110)Win