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  3. Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi St. Bulldogs
Wed 7:00 PM ET
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10-3
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Mississippi St. Bulldogs logo
Mississippi St.
Bulldogs77
8-2
Final
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Tennessee Volunteers225072
Mississippi St. Bulldogs354277
NCAAB · Tennessee Volunteers at Mississippi St. Bulldogs

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#5 Tennessee Volunteers Look to Extend Winning Streak Against Mississippi State Bulldogs in SEC Showdown

Game time: January 10, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Humphrey Coliseum — Starkville, MS

Article updated Jan 9, 10:18 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In a highly anticipated SEC showdown, the #5 ranked Tennessee Volunteers will face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Wednesday night. The Volunteers, with a

Game outlook

In a highly anticipated SEC showdown, the #5 ranked Tennessee Volunteers will face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Wednesday night. The Volunteers, with a current record of 10-3, are riding a five-game winning streak against the Bulldogs. As they enter Humphrey Coliseum, they have the opportunity to extend their winning streak to six. However, the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with a record of 8-2, are determined to put on a strong performance in front of their home crowd. Tennessee is currently favored to win with a line opening at -2.5, which has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Volunteers -133 | Bulldogs +113

Spread: Volunteers -2.5 (-110) | Bulldogs +2.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 140 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tennessee will win straight-up is 57%.

Tennessee Volunteers

The Tennessee Volunteers, currently ranked as the nation's fourth-best college basketball team by KenPom, have achieved seven consecutive victories which have propelled them into the top five rankings. Their recent triumph over Ole Miss by a 26-point margin has solidified their position. Notably, the Volunteers possess an exceptional defense, receiving a second-place rating nationally by KenPom. They have been successful in limiting opponents to a 37.6% shooting percentage from the floor, ranking them fifth in the country. Furthermore, their defense has led to an impressive performance, allowing an average of 64.3 points per game, placing them 34th in the nation. Their proficiency in rebounding, with a +5.8 advantage, and in the turnover battle, with a +2.7 margin, has also contributed to their success. In terms of offensive abilities, the Volunteers employ a faster pace and are able to score an average of 78.7 points per game. Their shooting accuracy is noteworthy, hitting 77.7% of their free throws, 34.1% of three-pointers, and 43.8% of overall field goals. Tennessee has consistently achieved a minimum of 79 points in three of their previous four games. Notably, their scoring has increased to an average of 86.0 points per game in their two away games this season. Overall, Tennessee showcases excellence in all aspects of college basketball. According to power rankings, the Volunteers hold the top spot with an offense ranked 112th, scoring an average of 77.85 points per game. Their defense is ranked 37th, allowing an average of 64.31 points per game to be scored against them. With a record of 11-3 this season (6-8 ATS), the team's offensive statistics include a 43.47% success rate in field goals (ranked 252nd) and a 77.41% success rate in free throws (ranked 17th). Their performance in three-pointers is ranked 178th with a 33.84% success rate. In terms of rebounding, Tennessee averages 39.08 rebounds per game (ranked 72nd) and attains an average of 16.62 offensive assists. Their turnovers average at 10.54 per game, ranked 52nd. Defensively, the Volunteers permit opponents to make 37.35% of field goals (ranked 5

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Mississippi St. Bulldogs Analysis

Mississippi State had a disappointing start to their conference opener, losing to South Carolina despite being the favorites. However, they have a chance to redeem themselves in their upcoming home game against South Carolina using their strong defense, which is ranked 10th in the nation according to KenPom. The Bulldogs have been successful in limiting their opponents' three-point shooting to 27.0%, ranking 11th in the nation. Overall, their opponents only make 38.8% of their attempts and score an average of 63.1 points per game. Mississippi State is also a strong rebounding team, with a rebounding margin of +7.2, and has an even turnover differential. It remains to be seen if they can match Tennessee per possession on Wednesday. The Bulldogs' offense will also need to improve after scoring just 62 points in their previous game against South Carolina. Throughout the season, Mississippi State has averaged 75.2 points per game on 45.1% shooting. They struggle from beyond the arc, shooting only 31.5%, but have a solid free throw percentage of 72.5%. The team is also successful in getting to the free throw line, averaging 21.8 trips per game. Despite the disappointment of their last game, playing at their home stadium in Starkville will provide a fresh boost of energy for the Bulldogs.

Tennessee's Defensive Dominance Set to Secure Victory over Mississippi State

Despite being the road team, Tennessee is expected to emerge victorious in this game and also cover the spread. Mississippi State is known for their strong defense, particularly in limiting three-point attempts, making them one of college basketball's finest in this aspect. However, the Volunteers have proven themselves to be proficient in defense as well, ranking among the elite teams in the nation. Furthermore, Tennessee's ability to score sets them apart from Mississippi State, evident from their impressive 172 points scored in their last two road games. In contrast, the Bulldogs struggled to reach 62 points in their recent game against the Gamecocks and are anticipated to deliver a lackluster performance once again. Ultimately, it is the defensive prowess of the Volunteers that will propel them to a comfortable victory over the Bulldogs.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Pick on the Total

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Volunteers vs Bulldogs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Volunteers vs Bulldogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tennessee Volunteers-133 → -135Moved
  • Moneyline · Mississippi St. Bulldogs+113 → +115Moved
  • Spread · Tennessee Volunteers-2.5 (-110) → -2 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs+2.5 (-110) → +2 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over140 (-110) → 138 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under140 (-110) → 138 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Tennessee Volunteers
10-3 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Mississippi St. Bulldogs
8-2 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-10T03:18:54.326Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-17Tennessee Volunteers 70 · Mississippi St. Bulldogs 59
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Mississippi St. Bulldogs defeated Tennessee Volunteers 77-72

Mississippi St. Bulldogs defeated Tennessee Volunteers 77-72 on January 10, 2024, a 5-point decision in the series. Mississippi St. Bulldogs' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 35-22. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tennessee Volunteers -2 (-110) spread, Mississippi St. Bulldogs covered, while the 149 combined points finished over the recorded total of 138.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MrpinkSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs +2.5 (-110)Win
  • RcollinsSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs +2.5 (-110)Win
  • 1735203231Total · Over 138.5 (-110)Win
  • JamescashiolaSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs +2 (-110)Win
  • KingjamesSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs +2 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 139 (-110)Loss