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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Valparaiso Crusaders vs Missouri St. Bears
Wed 8:00 PM ET
Valparaiso Crusaders logo
Valparaiso
Crusaders73
18-15
versus
Missouri St. Bears logo
Missouri St.
Bears72
16-18
Final
Team12T
Valparaiso Crusaders353873
Missouri St. Bears343872
NCAAB · Valparaiso Crusaders at Missouri St. Bears

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Valparaiso Crusaders vs Missouri St. Bears Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 1, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Great Southern Bank Arena — Springfield, MO

Article updated Dec 31, 10:30 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Valparaiso Beacons will face off against the Missouri State Bears in an upcoming game where both teams are seeking their first conference win of the season. The game will

Game outlook

The Valparaiso Beacons will face off against the Missouri State Bears in an upcoming game where both teams are seeking their first conference win of the season. The game will take place at the Great Southern Bank Arena on Wednesday night at 8 PM ET. The Beacons are looking to bounce back from a recent loss to Bradley, while the Bears are coming off a defeat to Evansville. Missouri State has historically had success against Valparaiso, with a 9-1 record in their last 10 matchups. Missouri State is currently favored to win this game, with an opening betting line of -3.5 that has remained unchanged. For more insight on the potential outcome of this game, check out the Valparaiso Beacons vs. Missouri State Bears prediction.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Crusaders +157 | Bears -190

Spread: Crusaders +3.5 (-110) | Bears -3.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 140 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Missouri St. will win straight-up is 66%.

Valparaiso Crusaders

The Valparaiso Beacons had their two-game winning streak broken by Bradley in their last game, leaving them with a 0-2 record in conference play. They will strive to rebound from the loss and secure their first conference victory of the season in their upcoming game. Valparaiso has an offensive average of 80 points per game, shooting 34.4 percent from the field and 29.2 percent from beyond the arc in their last game. Cooper Schwieger led with 21 points and six rebounds, while Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro and Kaspar Sepp contributed with 17 points and six rebounds, and 11 points and 15 rebounds respectively. Defensively, the Beacons have been struggling, allowing an average of 72.4 points per game. They will need to improve on this end of the court to have a chance of winning. With a power ranking of 148, Valparaiso ranks 82nd in offense and 196th in defense in the NCAA. They are 7-6 this season and have shown strengths in free throw shooting and rebounding. For those having trouble handicapping, NCAAB Predictions are available.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Missouri St. Bears Analysis

The Missouri State Bears had won two consecutive home games before suffering a loss on the road to Evansville. They will look to rebound from this defeat and secure their third straight home victory in their upcoming game on Wednesday. Despite averaging 72.3 points per game, the Bears struggled offensively in their last game, scoring only 40 points and making less than 26% of their field goals and 20% of their three-point attempts. Dez White led the team with 12 points, four rebounds, four assists, and six steals, while Michael Osei-Bonsu contributed 10 points and 12 rebounds, and Zaxton King added eight points and four rebounds. Defensively, Missouri State has been solid, allowing an average of 70.7 points per game. In their last game, they gave up only 57 points and will aim to replicate this performance for a chance at victory. The Bears currently hold a power ranking of 132 and rank #202 for offense, averaging 75.00 points per game, and #203 for defense, conceding 71.83 points per game. They have a record of 7-6 overall and 7-4 against the spread. Valparaiso has had success against Missouri State in their recent matchups, going 3-0. The Bears excel in three-point shooting, making an average of 37.72% of their attempts, but struggle with turnovers, averaging 13.08 per game. Defensively, they allow opponents to make 46.20% of their field goals and 71.19% of their free throws. They also average 31.75 defensive rebounds per game. In conclusion, Missouri State will look to improve their shooting efficiency, limit turnovers, and maintain their strong defensive performances as they aim for victory in their upcoming game.

Missouri State Bears Set to Dominate Beacons in Upcoming Matchup

The Missouri State Bears have been dominant in recent home games, winning five out of their last six matchups. Conversely, the Beacons have struggled on the road, losing three out of their last four games. Missouri State's superior shooting percentages at home, including a 47 percent success rate on field goals and 39 percent on three-pointers, give them an advantage in this upcoming game. Additionally, their strong rebounding presence, with over 10 offensive rebounds per game, provides them with more scoring opportunities. Their ability to limit turnovers will also hinder the Beacons' chances of scoring. On the other hand, the Beacons have had difficulty defensively, particularly on the road, where they allow over 84 points per game. Therefore, it is likely that the Bears will outperform the Beacons in this match. It is advisable to favor Missouri State to cover the spread.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#ValparaisoCrusaders#MissouriStBears

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Crusaders vs Bears archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Crusaders vs Bears matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Valparaiso Crusaders+157 → +185Moved
  • Moneyline · Missouri St. Bears-190 → -220Moved
  • Spread · Valparaiso Crusaders+3.5 (-110) → +5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Missouri St. Bears-3.5 (-110) → -5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over140 (-110) → 139.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under140 (-110) → 139.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Valparaiso Crusaders
18-15 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Missouri St. Bears
16-18 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-01-01T03:30:49.782Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-02-17Valparaiso Crusaders 74 · Missouri St. Bears 82
  • 2024-01-27Missouri St. Bears 81 · Valparaiso Crusaders 70
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Valparaiso Crusaders defeated Missouri St. Bears 73-72

Valparaiso Crusaders defeated Missouri St. Bears 73-72 on January 1, 2025, a 1-point decision in the series. Valparaiso Crusaders' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 35-34. Against SportsJaw's recorded Valparaiso Crusaders +5 (-110) spread, Valparaiso Crusaders covered, while the 145 combined points finished over the recorded total of 139.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JtphamSpread · Valparaiso Crusaders -4 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreySpread · Missouri St. Bears -5 (-110)Loss