NBA Matchups
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

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OKC
DEN
Open
Side
-6
+6
+5.5
Moneyline
-236
+199
+192
Total
O 227.5
U 227.5
227.5

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs
Denver NuggetsPredictions & Preview

Thunder Look to Even Series Against Nuggets in Game Four, Favored by 6 Points

In this Thunder at Nuggets prediction, Oklahoma City will aim to even the series at two games each in game four in Denver. The Nuggets have bounced back from a game two defeat to take a 2-1 series lead. Despite being the favorites, Oklahoma City is currently favored by 6 points over Denver. Make sure to read on for further insights and top NBA predictions to enhance your betting success.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Thunder -236 | Nuggets +199
  • Spread: Thunder -6 (-110) | Nuggets +6 (-110)
  • Total: Over/Under 227.5 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Oklahoma City will win straight-up is 70%.

Oklahoma City vs Denver Stats

Thunder vs Nuggets prediction infographic
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Oklahoma City Thunder

The OKC Thunder have had a successful regular season, winning 68 games and securing the #1 seed in the Western Conference for the second consecutive year. However, the team is facing challenges in the semifinal round of the playoffs, trailing in the series against the Denver Nuggets. Despite leading for much of the game, the Thunder ran out of steam in overtime, resulting in a 2-1 deficit. MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a tough night, missing many shots. Head coach Mark Daigneault emphasized the importance of rising to challenges and pushing to become a great team. The Thunder will need to bounce back in game four, especially with their struggles in shooting and free-throw performance.

In terms of statistics, the Thunder rank high in offense and defense, scoring an average of 120.34 points per game and allowing 107.33 points against them. They perform well in field goal and free throw percentages, but struggle with three-point shooting. Defensively, they excel in limiting field goals and three-pointers but have room for improvement in free throw defense. The Thunder also exhibit strong rebounding and assist numbers, but turnovers remain a concern. Overall, the team has shown potential but needs to address areas of weakness to succeed in the playoffs.

Denver Nuggets Analysis

In game three of their Western Conference semifinal series, the Denver Nuggets secured a 113-104 overtime win over the Thunder, taking a 2-1 series lead. Despite MVP-candidate Nikola Jokic struggling, his teammates stepped up, with Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, and Michael Porter Jr. leading the charge. The Nuggets showcased resilience by coming back from a late deficit to force overtime, where they held the Thunder to just two points. Interim coach David Adelson praised the team's composure in clutch moments. Despite being outrebounded, the Nuggets improved their shooting percentages and limited turnovers, which paid off in their victory. Looking ahead to game four, the Nuggets have a chance to further challenge the Thunder's #1 seed as they aim to capitalize on their offensive strengths and defensive improvements. Their overall power ranking of 20 reflects their strong offensive prowess, but their defense still has room for improvement.

Thunder Poised for Victory in Game Four Against Nuggets

The Thunder have displayed a strong performance in game three, despite the loss, showing an edge in most categories. With a minor adjustment, game four has the potential to result in another decisive win for the Thunder. Historically, OKC has defeated the Nuggets by an average of more than 20 points in their three head-to-head matchups this season. Notably, the Thunder excelled at the free throw line in game two, shooting 90%, resulting in a 43-point victory. Consistency in free throw shooting has proven vital in securing close wins in games one and three where OKC shot just under 70%. Additionally, the Thunder have improved their rebounding performance, bouncing back from a 20 rebound deficit in game one. OKC's defensive strategy has effectively limited the Nuggets' star player, Jokic, in the past two games. With their depth and talent, the Thunder are expected to deliver a strong performance in game four, maintaining their superiority over the Nuggets. It is recommended to consider wagering on the Thunder with a spread of -6.5 points.

Sources: [ 2 ]

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