Washington Wizards vs
Miami HeatPredictions & Preview

Heat Secure 10th Seed, Resting Key Players Against Wizards in Final Regular Season Matchup

The Washington Wizards and Miami Heat will play their final game of the regular season on Sunday, April 13, 2025. The Heat, who are locked into the 10th seed in the Eastern Conference, are looking forward to the upcoming play-in tournament. Meanwhile, the Wizards are finishing a disappointing season and focusing on the NBA Draft Lottery. With not much riding on the outcome of this game, it presents an opportunity for younger players and bench contributors to showcase their talents. Miami opens as the betting favorite at -10.5, with the current line at Miami -9. For more insights and predictions on this matchup and others on the final day of the regular season, check out our NBA free picks.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Wizards +320 | Heat -400
• Spread: Wizards +9 (-110) | Heat -9 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 216 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Miami will win straight-up is 80%.

Washington vs Miami Stats

Washington Wizards

The Washington Wizards are currently at the bottom of the NBA standings with a record of 17-64. They have struggled both offensively and defensively this season, ranking last in points allowed per game and near the bottom in offensive efficiency metrics. Key players like Jordan Poole, Saddiq Bey, Malcolm Brogdon, and Richaun Holmes are all out for their upcoming game. Despite their poor record, the Wizards have shown occasional competitiveness but are focused on securing a high lottery position in the upcoming NBA Draft. In terms of their offensive and defensive stats, the Wizards rank low in field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and defensive rebounds, among other categories. Their focus remains on giving younger players valuable experience as they close out the season.

Miami Heat Analysis

The Miami Heat currently hold a 37-44 record and have secured the final play-in spot in the Eastern Conference, despite facing challenges with injuries throughout the season. The team ranks 24th in scoring with 110.5 points per game, but has excelled defensively, holding opponents to only 109.9 ppg (7th). In their upcoming game, Tyler Herro is listed as probable while Nikola Jovic and Haywood Highsmith remain sidelined. The Heat will likely rest key players ahead of their play-in matchup against the Chicago Bulls. With nothing to gain in terms of seeding, Miami may opt to give bench players more minutes against the Washington Wizards. The team has a power ranking of 13 and ranks 25th in offense, hitting an average of 46.29% of their field goals and 79.14% of their free throws. Defensively, the Heat allow an average of 46.61% of field goals and 77.85% of free throws. Overall, Miami has been competitive and resilient throughout the season.

Upcoming Washington Wizards game presents betting opportunity against resting Miami Heat

The Washington Wizards have faced challenges throughout this season. However, the upcoming game holds little significance for both teams. The Miami Heat are securely in the 10th seed and are likely to prioritize resting key players in preparation for their play-in tournament. This presents an opportunity for Washington to potentially perform better than anticipated. Despite their recent struggles in terms of against-the-spread (ATS) performance, the unique circumstances of this game suggest that conventional statistics may not accurately predict the outcome. Therefore, I am opting to bet on the Wizards +9.5, considering the likelihood of the Heat prioritizing player health over the result of this particular game.

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