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  1. Home
  2. NBA Picks
  3. Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Fri 8:00 PM ET
Miami Heat logo
Miami
Heat100
35-27
versus
Oklahoma City Thunder logo
Oklahoma City
Thunder107
43-18
Final
Team1234T
Miami Heat29281627100
Oklahoma City Thunder27203030107
NBA · Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder

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Miami Heat face tough test against red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder squad

Game time: March 8, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Paycom Center — Oklahoma City, OK

Article updated Mar 8, 2:15 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Miami Heat, currently in 6th place in the Eastern Conference, are set to visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday night. Before this matchup, Miami will face the Dallas

Game outlook

The Miami Heat, currently in 6th place in the Eastern Conference, are set to visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday night. Before this matchup, Miami will face the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Miami is coming off a strong performance, defeating the Detroit Pistons 118-110. Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder, tied for 1st in the Western Conference, are on a hot streak with eight wins in their last 10 games, including a recent victory over the Portland Trail Blazers. Miami will be missing key players Josh Richardson, Kevin Love, and Tyler Herro, while Oklahoma City will be without Jaylin Williams and potentially Bismack Biyombo. Oklahoma City is favored to win by 8.5 points, with the line remaining unchanged. Stay tuned for our NBA Predictions for potential game-changing insights.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Heat +285 | Thunder -353

Spread: Heat +8.5 (-110) | Thunder -8.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 223.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Oklahoma City will win straight-up is 78%.

Miami Heat

Miami Heat is currently ranked 6th in the Eastern Conference, with strong defensive stats allowing an average of 109.9 points per game and holding opponents to 47.0% shooting overall and 36.1% shooting from three-point land. Offensively, they are averaging 110.8 points per game, shooting 46.5% overall and 37.5% from three-point land. Top scorers include Jimmy Butler with 21.9 points per game, Tyler Herro with 20.8 points per game (currently injured), and Bam Adebayo with 20.4 points per game. Terry Rozier leads in assists, and Adebayo leads in rebounds. The Heat have a power ranking of 10, ranking 27th in offense and 6th in defense. They have a record of 35-27 this season, with key stats on field goal percentages, rebounds, assists, turnovers, and defensive numbers.

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Oklahoma City Thunder Analysis

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank second in the NBA for scoring, averaging 121.0 points per game, and have the best three-point shooting percentage in the league at 39.5%. Their defense allows 113.4 points per game, placing them 13th in the league for points allowed. Leading the team in scoring is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander with an average of 31.1 points per game and 6.5 assists per game. Jalen Williams is the second leading scorer with 19.3 points per game. The Thunder have three other players averaging double figures in scoring. Defensively, the Thunder hold opponents to 45.3% shooting overall and 36.4% shooting from three-point territory. With a power ranking of 7, the Thunder have an overall record of 43-18. They excel in field goal and free throw shooting, rebounding, and defensive statistics such as opponent shooting percentages and turnovers forced. This oop 👀 https://t.co/BuYufhD1Bb pic.twitter.com/wlwWmMkz2s

Miami Heat face tough test against red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder squad

The Miami Heat are preparing for their second consecutive game, coming off a loss against Dallas on Thursday. Unfortunately, the Heat will be without Josh Richardson for the remainder of the season, while Kevin Love and Tyler Herro will also be absent from the lineup due to injury. On the other hand, the Oklahoma City Thunder have shown strong offensive capabilities, ranking second in scoring and boasting impressive shooting percentages. Additionally, the Thunder's defense has been solid, ranking 13th in points allowed. Oklahoma City has demonstrated their consistency by covering the spread in eight of their last 10 games. Miami will face challenges in the absence of key players like Herro, who is second in scoring for the team, as well as Kevin Love's rebounding and scoring contributions.

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Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#MiamiHeat#OklahomaCityThunder

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Heat vs Thunder archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Heat vs Thunder matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Heat+275 → +291Moved
  • Moneyline · Oklahoma City Thunder-343 → -355Moved
  • Spread · Miami Heat+8.5 (-110) → +8.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Oklahoma City Thunder-8.5 (-110) → -8.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over223.5 (-110) → 226.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under223.5 (-110) → 226.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Heat
35-27 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Oklahoma City Thunder
43-18 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-3-3 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-08T19:15:03.113Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Miami Heat is currently ranked 6th in the Eastern Conference, with strong defensive stats allowing an average of 109.9 points per game and holding opponents to 47.0% shooting overall and 36.1% shooting from three-point land. Offensively, they are averaging 110.8 points per game, shooting 46.5% overall and 37.5% from three-point land. Top scorers include Jimmy Butler with 21.9 points per game, Tyler Herro with 20.8 points per game (currently injured), and Bam Adebayo with 20.4 points per game. Terry Rozier leads in assists, and Adebayo leads in rebounds. The Heat have a power ranking of 10, ranking 27th in offense and 6th in defense. They have a record of 35-27 this season, with key stats on field goal percentages, rebounds, assists, turnovers, and defensive numbers.

The Miami Heat are preparing for their second consecutive game, coming off a loss against Dallas on Thursday. Unfortunately, the Heat will be without Josh Richardson for the remainder of the season, while Kevin Love and Tyler Herro will also be absent from the lineup due to injury. On the other hand, the Oklahoma City Thunder have shown strong offensive capabilities, ranking second in scoring and boasting impressive shooting percentages. Additionally, the Thunder's defense has been solid, ranking 13th in points allowed. Oklahoma City has demonstrated their consistency by covering the spread in eight of their last 10 games. Miami will face challenges in the absence of key players like Herro, who is second in scoring for the team, as well as Kevin Love's rebounding and scoring contributions.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-10Oklahoma City Thunder 128 · Miami Heat 120
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Oklahoma City Thunder defeated Miami Heat 107-100

Oklahoma City Thunder defeated Miami Heat 107-100 on March 8, 2024, a 7-point decision in the series. Oklahoma City Thunder's strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 30-16. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Heat +8.5 (-110) spread, Miami Heat covered, while the 207 combined points finished under the recorded total of 226.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MiamimikeSpread · Miami Heat +8.5 (-110)Win
  • MikehuffTotal · Over 224 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Total · Under 224 (-110)Win
  • DoclocksSpread · Miami Heat +8.5 (-110)Win
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Miami Heat +8.5 (-110)Win